WashingtonWise

Bull Market Keeps Running—What Could Trip It Up?


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The bull market has been running since April, despite persistent economic and political headwinds, including tariffs, sticky inflation, a weakening jobs outlook, questions about the Fed's independence, and now a government shutdown. On this episode of WashingtonWise, Joe Mazzola, head trading and derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab, joins host Mike Townsend to discuss traders’ perspectives on whether this market can sustain its momentum amid policy and political uncertainty. Joe shares his thoughts on the potential impact of the government shutdown, especially the lack of crucial economic data, on the markets and the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. He shares how traders are thinking about tariffs, the artificial intelligence boom, and the strategic use of cash in a portfolio. And he offers some practical guidance on whether it is time for investors to take some profits and where to look for potential opportunities.

Mike also shares updates on what to watch for as lawmakers try to find a path to ending the shutdown, how the Supreme Court is getting set to weigh in on whether the president can fire a Fed governor, and why investors should pay attention to two recent White House personnel decisions. 

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.

Technical analysis is not recommended as a sole means of investment research.

There is no guarantee that execution of a stop order will be at or near the stop price.

Money market funds are neither insured nor guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although the fund seeks to preserve the value of an investment at $1.00 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the fund.

Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. 

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses (and/or "transaction fees or other related expenses"), and cannot be invested in directly.  For more information on indexes, please see ​schwab.com/indexdefinitions

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

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WashingtonWiseBy Charles Schwab

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