Bulls, Bears & BS

This week we are obliterating some of the myths surrounding the economy and stock market. If you've ever wondered why the economic data doesn't "feel" right... or why stocks go up despite BAD news... or what REALLY matters when it comes to making money from the stock market, this episode is for you.

Oh, and we also break down AI and its true relevance as far as the markets are concerned. Check it out!

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Bulls Bear and BS is back.

I am beyond thrilled to announce that my new book Into the Abyss: Life After the Bubble is now available to purchase at Amazon. You can purchase it by CLICKING HERE.

This book is the sequel to my 2017 best-seller The Everything Bubble. It is divided into two sections (The Everything Bubble Has Burst and How to Invest After the Bubble). If you're looking for specific investment strategies to employ to profit from what's happening in the financial system today, Into the Abyss has you covered!

This week we also dive into the stock market, specifically the Fed's fight with inflation, why the Fed is talking about easing rates, and what this means for investors going forward.

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The Fed has abandoned its "higher for longer" narrative and is now talking about cutting rates three if not four times in 2024.  There are several reasons for the Fed to do this. Some are HIGHLY questionable. Others are valid. But regardless the Fed Pivot will have a dramatic effect on risk assets going forward.

This week we delve into all of this as well as a history of Fed interventions... as well as why the S&P 500 will hit 5,000 before the end of 1Q24.

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Bonds are telling us that the Fed is done raising rates. The yield on the 2-Year U.S. Treasury peaked in early October and has since fallen from 5.2% to 4.8%. Interest rates are at 5.5%, so the bond market is not only telling us that the Fed is done raising rates, but that the Fed will have cut rates by two or three times in the next two years.

This has ignited one of the best single month returns for stocks in 30 years. This week we delve into where stocks go from here and why.

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Bonds continue to break down in anticipation of the U.S. Treasury's Quarterly Refunding Announcement due out next week. We are now getting to the point at which a panic could hit bonds, which would trigger an aggressive drop in stocks. This week we delve into these issues as well as what's happening in gold and oil.

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War has broken out in the Middle East... and everyone has an "expert" opinion on it. We're staying in our lane this week and focusing on the markets, specifically, what bonds are telling us about the potential for a full-scale crisis. We also break down the framework we've developed for trading the markets over the last 20 years... and why it works as opposed to the "rules based" trading that you can learn from a book.

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Treasury yields continue to spike. Regional banks are breaking down. Bank of America is back at the March 2023 lows.  Is a bank crisis about to hit? And what does this mean for the broader stock market.

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This week, Graham Summers, MBA delves into the stock market framework he's developed over the last 20 years of its career. He also explains why stocks are finally dropping, where this leg down will end, and what to do about it.

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Bonds yields are back at the highs, but stocks are refusing to break down. This week we delve into why this is happening, as well as why the U.S. economy refuses to enter a recession despite the fact inflation remains a major problem. 

We also spend time analyzing the stock market on a relative basis to bonds and cash, as well as our thoughts on oil and gold.

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Stocks have broken out to new highs, but there are signs that inflation, as measured by CPI might in fact be bottoming right now.  Moreover, the bond market is finally waking up to the fact the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer, which will ultimately have a profound impact on asset prices going forward.

This week we delve into all of these issues as well as what they mean for the markets. 

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