Bulls, Bears & BS

The Fed has announced it is pausing its rate hikes at a time when there is clearly too much froth in the system and core inflation remains at 5%. This week we delve into what this means for stocks and other risk assets. We also assess whether the U.K. is about to trigger a new debt crisis. 

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This week we assess one of the most important aspects of investing: being wrong and losing money. In an industry in which no one openly admits their mistakes and everyone pretends to have a 100% success rate, this is the ULTIMATE Guru Taboo.

We also assess the ongoing battle between the Fed and the Federal Government when it comes to spending/ inflation, why the economy continue to grow,  whether or not stocks have indeed bottomed, and where risk assets go from here. 

Buckle up, this is not your usual guru podcast.

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Ignore what the media is telling you, the debt deal  opens the door to even more spending; $6 trillion, to be specific. In this week's episode  we delve into the impact this would have on inflation, the economy, the stock market and more.

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The U.S. will hit its debt ceiling some time in the next 60 days. Stocks are ignoring this and other significant risks. Meanwhile, large divergences are forming "beneath the surface" in the markets. This week we delve into all of these issues in great detail.

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Thus far in 2023, banks with a combined $532 BILLION in assets have failed in the U.S.. And yet, the S&P 500 remains near its highs year to date. We delve into the big picture for the markets and why stocks are stuck in a range... for now.

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The financial system is in the grips of two major macro forces.  How this plays out will  decide which framework investors will need to use. And once again the "Death of the U.S. Dollar" narrative is taking hold of the investment community. Is the great U.S. Dollar crisis finally here?

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This week Graham does a deep dive into the "smart money" asset class: bonds. Graham outlines how the bond market works, why it's extremely important for understanding the economy, and what it's saying about buying stocks today. 

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Stocks rallied hard to end the quarter. Is the bear market over? Or is this the result of some short-term developments that will be ending soon? Graham dives deep into the macro picture covering stocks, bonds, gold, and oil.

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The Fed is adamant that everything is fine in the financial system. But its actions don't support this claim: the Fed has expanded its balance sheet by over $400 billion in just two weeks while also opening currency swap lines with other central banks. 

In this episode, Graham Summers, MBA breaks down  the real reason he thinks the Fed is freaking out.

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Support the show

Thanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.