Bulls vs. Bears

Bulls vs. Bears

By MPC MarketsBusinessInvesting
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Bulls vs. Bears episodes

  • Episode 20: Rising yields and Salesforce dent AI optimism (except Nvidia)

    Stock Highlights

    • Nvidia (NVDA) – Grew into a monster, topping $2.8T in market cap. The company rallied the WHOLE value of the worlds biggest bank, JP Morgan, in less than a week
    • Salesforce (CRM) share price slumped 20% as the company said clients are scaling back
    • BHP Group (BHP) – abandoned its $74 billion takeover bid for Anglo American, following Anglo’s refusal to extend the deadline further
    • Trade of the Week

      • Short S&P500 Warrants (SPFKOW) – The US market looks vulnerable, heres how to take advantage
      • Recorded 31st May 2024

        45 min
      • Episode 19: Bond Bears Battle NVIDIA Bulls​

        Stock Highlights

        • Nvidia (NVDA) - reported upbeat guidance for the current quarter as first-quarter results topped Wall Street estimates, driven by robust AI-led demand in data center business and the chipmaker also announced a 10:1 forward stock split.
        • Webjet (WEB) share price jumped 10% as its key financial metrics at its WebBeds hotel distribution solutions businesses well ahead of FY 2023.
        • Eagers Automotive (APE) share price has declined by 14% to $10.51 following an update at the auto retailer's annual general meeting on Wednesday.
        • Trade of the Week

          • Physical Silver (ETPMAG) – Silver has 3 reasons to be heading higher, find out why we are adding to our holding
          • 50 min
          • Episode 18: Coppertunity knocks​

            Stock Highlights:

            • Incitec Pivot (IPL): Reported a $148 million loss due to gas price uncertainty, wiping out nearly a third of its fertilizer business value. Optimistic about selling the fertilizer business and the Gibson Island Hydrogen project.
            • Aristocrat (ALL): Revenue up 6.1% to $3.27 billion, net profit after tax up 16.8% to $723.3 million. Boosted dividend and announced a $350 million share buyback. Strong growth in North America and Aristocrat Interactive.
            • GrainCorp (GNC): Net profit down to $57 million from $200 million last year, revenue fell 25% to $3.38 billion. Focus on stabilizing operations and controlling costs.
            • Trade of the Week:

              • Copper Warrants (ZHGKOB): Copper has been trending higher since March and recently reached record highs. The ongoing supply shortages and the lengthy process to bring new supplies online are expected to continue driving prices up. The trade involves an entry price of $2.42 with a target of $2.75 and a stop loss at $2.15, aiming to capitalize on the high demand and limited supply in the copper market.
              • 32 min
              • Episode 17: Stocks sail higher on rate cut optimism

                Stock Highlights:

                • Commonwealth Bank (CBA): Despite a 3% slip in March quarter profit to $2.4 billion, CBA showed resilience with a 3.1% growth in home loan volumes. Increased loan impairment expenses and a slight rise in doubtful debts highlight cautious credit management amidst economic uncertainties.

                • Westpac (WBC): Announced a significant $1 billion share buyback and a special dividend, signaling strong balance sheet confidence. This comes with a 7% increase in its interim dividend, showcasing robust financial health and shareholder commitment.

                • JB Hi-Fi (JBH): Reported a slight downturn with Australian same-store sales dropping by 0.3% in the March quarter, reflecting a broader slowdown in the consumer sector. Overall, sales remained flat, with The Good Guys segment experiencing a sharper decline.

                • Orica (ORI): Demonstrated effective cost management leading to a better-than-expected 10% rise in earnings, despite an 8.5% revenue drop. The focus on reducing operational costs has been crucial in mitigating financial impacts and maintaining profitability.

                • Trade of the Week:

                  • Elevate Uranium Ltd (EL8): Recommended as a strong buy with an entry price at $0.54 and a target price of $0.70. Elevate has enhanced its strategic position in the uranium sector, particularly with significant updates to the Koppies project in Namibia, which suggests cost-effective mining possibilities. The U.S. ban on Russian uranium imports has favourably altered market dynamics, creating an attractive investment opportunity amid rising sector demand. A 10% trailing stop loss at $0.40 provides a risk-managed approach to this promising trade.
                  • 39 min
                  • Episode 16: Investors Interpret Fed Through Rose Coloured Glasses

                    Market Insight: The U.S. earnings season continues to unfold with notable performances and surprises. This week, several key companies reported significant shifts in their business dynamics, reflecting broader economic pressures and opportunities. Stagflation concerns persist as U.S. growth decelerates while inflation pressures mount, challenging central banks and impacting global market sentiments.

                    Stock Spotlight:

                    • Macquarie Group (MQG): Macquarie reported a 32% decline in net profit to $3.5 billion, influenced by fewer asset sales and lower commodity prices. The bank reduced its dividend amidst ongoing economic uncertainties, though its client franchises remained resilient.
                    • Clarity Pharmaceuticals (CU6): Shares rose by 10% after announcing successful treatment outcomes with their radiopharmaceutical, showing promising clinical results and no significant toxicities, marking a milestone in prostate cancer treatment.
                    • Block (SQ2): Despite rumors of regulatory scrutiny, Block enjoyed a robust quarter in its buy now, pay later transactions, with its share price rebounding by nearly 10% after clarifications from CEO Jack Dorsey.
                    • National Australia Bank (NAB): NAB’s results were in line with expectations, though it faced some challenges such as flat revenues and increased costs, which led to a slight decline in pre-provision profit. The size of the announced buyback surprised the market given its lower than peer tier 1 capital.
                    • Trade of the Week:

                      • Worley (WOR): Worley’s shares dropped significantly early in the week due to a large stake sale by its biggest shareholder. However, the outlook remains positive with significant potential for earnings growth from global energy investments and decarbonization projects. The strategic re-buy under $15 is anticipated to leverage upcoming opportunities.
                      • 39 min
                      • Episode 15: Google results save the day... but for how long?

                        Market Insight: Earnings season in the US went into full swing with 25% of the S&P500 delivering updates this week, with some wild swings in the Magnificent 7.

                        Stagflation, the enemy of Central Banks and the equity market is looking more and more real as growth slows in the US and inflation rises

                        Meanwhile, the Copper party continued with big M&A movement in the space as the worlds biggest miner doubles down on the essential energy transition material & fresh 2-year highs 

                        Stock Spotlight:

                        • BHP (BHP): BHP already one of the biggest copper miners in the world, doubles down on the essential energy transition mineral with a whopping $60B bid for Anglo American
                        • Resmed (RMD): GLP-1? What GLP-1? Resmed results defy Eli Lily Drug advances for sleep apnea
                        • Newmont (NEM): The S&P500’s only gold miner, shot the lights out with a big earnings result
                        • Trade of the Week: Newmont (NEM) one of our largest holdings, Newmont surged around 15% late in the week on earnings report

                          36 min
                        • Episode 14: Israel Fires Rockets into Iran

                          Market Insight: a string of Federal Reserve board members “called the cops” on the stock market party this week, with some even saying that rate hikes could be appropriate if inflation doesn’t come under control

                          Meanwhile, Copper bulls rejoiced as the essential energy transition material hit 2-year highs 

                          Stock Spotlight:

                          • Droneshield (DRO): Profit update, new contracts…. And a capital raise
                          • Resmed (RMD): are CPAP machines the future of sleep apnea treatment, Eli Lily doesn’t think so
                          • Pilbara Minerals (PLS): Lithium major still performing well
                          • Evolution Mining (EVN): Finally a gold miner that is good at mining! Evolution delivers a better than expected production update
                          • Trade of the Week: Physical Silver ETF (ETPMAG) was trimmed in our Balanced Portfolio for a 23% profit, check out what we are doing next in the “store of value” trade

                            35 min
                          • Episode 13: Major Banks Set to Reveal Q1 Earnings Amid Rising Costs and Challenges

                            Market Insight: March saw a notable uptick in U.S. consumer prices, with the CPI climbing by 3.5% year-over-year, driven largely by rising costs in shelter and energy. This acceleration challenges previous Federal Reserve expectations, potentially delaying planned rate cuts.

                            Stock Spotlight:

                            • Boral Ltd (BLD): Moves closer to a full acquisition by Seven Group after a revised $1.9 billion offer, with enhanced dividends boosting shareholder incentives.
                            • Netwealth Group Ltd (NWL): Despite strong fund inflows, shares fell by 5% due to lower revenue points and a decrease in cash holdings.
                            • Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd (VUL): Shares surged by 25% as the company announced the start of lithium chloride production in Germany, marking a significant step towards commercial production.
                            • Winsome Resources Ltd (WR1): Disclosed a new high-grade lithium discovery, potentially expanding the Adina Lithium Resource with further drilling expected.
                            • Trade of the Week: Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) recommended as a buy with a target price of $2.1, backed by strong financial results and strategic expansions in defense technologies.

                              38 min
                            • Episode 12: Silver Bulls Dance the Comeback Waltz

                              Market Insight: Silver shines with an 8% gain in March, signaling potential outperformance over gold, bolstered by demand in tech and green energy sectors.

                              Stock Spotlight:

                              • Austal (ASB): Rejects buyout offer, stock climbs 11%.
                              • Winsome Resources (WR1): Expands into diamond mining for lithium advantage.
                              • Mesoblast (MSB): Soars 67% on positive FDA nod.
                              • Elders Limited (ELD): Upgraded by analysts, expecting strong performance.
                              • Webinars Ahead: Value trade, energy transition, and AI investment strategies.

                                Commodities & FX: Gold, silver, and copper hit new highs; Bitcoin stable; lithium fluctuates.

                                Economic Pulse: China's production, U.S. inflation concerns, and Fed's interest rate plans under the microscope.

                                Trade of the Week: Hillgrove Resources (HGO) shines in copper, spotlighting its market potential.

                                38 min

                              About Bulls vs. Bears

                              From the publisher's feed

                              Bulls vs Bears is a weekly Australian stock market podcast from MPC Markets. Every Friday, Mark Gardner, Jonathan Tacadena, and Kai Chen wrap up the week in markets, what moved, what mattered, and…