Capitol Weekly Podcast

While most political junkies have their eyes on DC in the wake of Donald Trump's successful bid to return to the White House, we're looking south, where Los Angeles voters delivered a seismic shift to the region's politics, passing Measure G, which expands the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors from five members to nine, and Charter Amendment DD, which creates an independent redistricting commission for the city. Support for reform measures exploded after the 2022 release of "The Tape," a secret recording of council members Nury Martinez, Gil Cedillo and Kevin de Leon and LA County Labor Fed President Ron Herrera making racist and derisive comments about their colleagues and constituents, and planning a gerrymander of Nithya Raman's district in order to oust her. Two years after the release of the tape, de Leon was the only one of the four still in place, and on November 5, District 14 voters handed the former state senator his walking papers in favor of DSA candidate Ysabel Jurado, giving the Democratic Socialists a four seat bloc on the city council. We asked political consultant and California Target Book co-editor Robb Korinke to walk us through what just happened and what it all means.

Plus: Who Had the Worst Week in California Politics?

2:01 Measure G

4:37 County Executive

5:52 What will the new districts look like?

9:30 Charter Amendment DD

11:48 KDL

15:38 Nithya Raman

16:15 Adrin Nazarian

17:02 George Gascon

19:20 Turnout

23:00 Incumbency

25:24 #WWCA

Want to support the Capitol Weekly Podcast? Make your tax deductible donation here: capitolweekly.net/donations/ 

Capitol Weekly Podcast theme is "Pickin' My Way" by Eddie Lang 

"#WorstWeekCA" Beat provided by freebeats.io

On Thursday, November 7, 2024, Capitol Weekly and the UC Student and Policy Center presented A Post-Mortem of the 2024 Election.

We gathered a score of experts for a timely and informative review of the November 5 election, providing analysis, opinions and insight. What happened inside the campaigns? Why? What happens next? Nearly two dozen California insiders will discuss the results of the election and provide a look-ahead at what it means for 2025.

In this episode we present The Keynote: THE NATIONAL PICTURE

The National Picture was recorded live at the UC Student and Policy Center, and featured a panel of expert voices from both sides of the aisle. The discussion shared insights into how the 2024 election will influence California’s policy and politics in 2025 and beyond.

Panelists: Mark Baldassare, Public Policy Institute of California; Marva Diaz, Marva Diaz Strategies; Thad Kousser, UC San Diego; Paul Mitchell, Political Data Intelligence; and Kristin Olsen-Cate, California Strategies.

Moderated by Laurel Rosenhall of the Los Angeles Times

On Thursday, November 7, 2024, Capitol Weekly and the UC Student and Policy Center presented A Post-Mortem of the 2024 Election.

We gathered a score of experts for a timely and informative review of the November 5 election, providing analysis, opinions and insight. What happened inside the campaigns? Why? What happens next? Nearly two dozen California insiders will discuss the results of the election and provide a look-ahead at what it means for 2025.

In this episode we present Panel 3: A LOOK AHEAD

What happens now? A Red Wave election threatened Dem super majorities in Sacramento and soundly rejected progressive crime policies across the state. And, the results of the presidential contest are more consequential than ever: President Trump will head back to the White House in January 2025 with promises to deport millions and punish his political enemies. Given this titanic political shift, what will be the big issues under Sacramento's capitol dome next year? And, what does it mean for the race to replace Governor Gavin Newsom in 2026?

Panelists: Susannah Delano, Close the Gap California; Jon Fleischman, Fleischman Consulting Group; Jodi Hicks, Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California; Evan McLaughlin, California Professional Firefighters; Roger Salazar, ALZA Strategies

Moderated by Rich Ehisen of Capitol Weekly

On Thursday, November 7, 2024, Capitol Weekly and the UC Student and Policy Center presented A Post-Mortem of the 2024 Election.

We gathered a score of experts for a timely and informative review of the November 5 election, providing analysis, opinions and insight. What happened inside the campaigns? Why? What happens next? Nearly two dozen California insiders will discuss the results of the election and provide a look-ahead at what it means for 2025.

In this episode we present Panel 2: THE BALLOT INITIATIVES

California voters confronted a wide variety of themes on this year’s ballot - how did they vote on these important issues, and why?

Panelists: Brandon Castillo, Bicker, Castillo, Fairbanks & Spitz Public Affairs; Jeff Gozzo, Gozzo Strategy & Campaigns;  Susie Shannon, AIDS Healthcare Foundation; Becky Warren, Elevate Public Affairs

Moderated by Robin Epley of the Sacramento Bee

On Thursday, November 7, 2024, Capitol Weekly and the UC Student and Policy Center presented A Post-Mortem of the 2024 Election.

We gathered a score of experts for a timely and informative review of the November 5 election, providing analysis, opinions and insight. What happened inside the campaigns? Why? What happens next? Nearly two dozen California insiders will discuss the results of the election and provide a look-ahead at what it means for 2025.

In this episode we present Panel 1: FACE OF THE ELECTORATE

President Trump improved his numbers with independents, men, Muslims and Latinos; Will Republicans in tight House races see similar results? Also – a rundown on key California races – the battles for Congress and the Legislature. Who were the voters in 2024?

Panelists: Mike Madrid, author, The Latino Century; Courtni Pugh, Hilltop Public Solutions; Tim Rosales, The Rosales Agency; Michael Wagaman, Wagaman Strategies; Bill Wong, The Ronin Project.

Moderated by Christopher Cadelago of POLITICO

We have reached the end of the road - Election Day. After a years-long presidential campaign filled with twists, turns and surprises, we are at the deciding point: will the next president be former president Donald Trump, or Vice President Kamala Harris?  And, which party will control congress? Does the path to control of the House run through Orange County? What does all of this mean for California's 2026 gubernatorial race?  Political data guru Paul Mitchell joins us to read the tea leaves and tell us what to expect on Election Night.

Show Notes:

1:26 What do we know?

2:36 The polling

6:15 A new name

6:49 Any surprises in the data from the past few days?

8:04 That Selzer Poll

11:23 Herding

13:42 Turnout

15:54 The Latino Vote

18:53 Congress

21:47 The 2026 governor's race

25:34 Post-Mortem

28:38 Will we know who won the presidential contest on Tuesday night?

Want to support the Capitol Weekly Podcast? Make your tax deductible donation here: capitolweekly.net/donations/ 

Capitol Weekly Podcast theme is "Pickin' My Way" by Eddie Lang 

This Special Episode of the Capitol Weekly Podcast was recorded live at Capitol Weekly’s conference HEALTH CARE IN CALIFORNIA, which was held in Sacramento on Thursday, October 3, 2024

This is the KEYNOTE – Asm. Jim Wood in conversation with Rich Ehisen of Capitol Weekly

Thanks to our sponsors:

CALIFORNIA HEALTH CARE FOUNDATION, THE TRIBAL ALLIANCE OF SOVEREIGN INDIAN NATIONS, WESTERN STATES PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION, PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATION OF CALIFORNIA; KP PUBLIC AFFAIRS, PERRY COMMUNICATIONS, CAPITOL ADVOCACY, LUCAS PUBLIC AFFAIRS, THE WEIDEMAN GROUP, and CALIFORNIA PROFESSIONAL FIREFIGHTERS

CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: This Special Episode of the Capitol Weekly Podcast was recorded live at Capitol Weekly’s conference HEALTH CARE IN CALIFORNIA, which was held in Sacramento on Thursday, October 3, 2024

This is PANEL 2 – OFFICE OF HEALTH CARE AFFORDABILITY: TARGETS

Panelists: Ben Johnson, California Hospital Association; Lynne Kinst, Hemophilia Council of California; Elizabeth Mitchell, Purchaser Business Group on Health; Dr. Richard Pan, California Health Care Affordability Board

Moderated by Sigrid Bathen, Capitol Weekly

Thanks to our sponsors:

CALIFORNIA HEALTH CARE FOUNDATION, THE TRIBAL ALLIANCE OF SOVEREIGN INDIAN NATIONS, WESTERN STATES PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION, PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATION OF CALIFORNIA; KP PUBLIC AFFAIRS, PERRY COMMUNICATIONS, CAPITOL ADVOCACY, LUCAS PUBLIC AFFAIRS, THE WEIDEMAN GROUP, and CALIFORNIA PROFESSIONAL FIREFIGHTERS

Capitol Weekly presented HEALTH CARE IN CALIFORNIA in Sacramento on Thursday, October 3, 2024. Over a dozen experts and elected officials joined us for our annual look at Health Care in the Golden State. Today we present Panel 1: AI in Health Care.

Artificial intelligence (AI) has huge potential to innovate and reshape health care. AI has the potential to benefit both providers and patients, with improved diagnostics, personalized treatment plans, robot-enhanced precision medicine and much more. Proponents of AI believe it will significantly improve the quality of care for patients – but how can we use these new tools responsibly?

Panelists: Kara Carter, California Health Care Foundation; Sam Chung, California Life Sciences; Matthew D. Solomon, MD, Kaiser Permanente; Chris Waugh, Sutter Health. Moderated by Samantha Young, KFF Health News

Thanks to our sponsors:

CALIFORNIA HEALTH CARE FOUNDATION, THE TRIBAL ALLIANCE OF SOVEREIGN INDIAN NATIONS, WESTERN STATES PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION, PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATION OF CALIFORNIA; KP PUBLIC AFFAIRS, PERRY COMMUNICATIONS, CAPITOL ADVOCACY, LUCAS PUBLIC AFFAIRS, THE WEIDEMAN GROUP, and CALIFORNIA PROFESSIONAL FIREFIGHTERS

Political data expert and regular Capitol Weekly contributor Paul Mitchell joins us for a look at the most competitive congressional districts in California. The race for control of Congress is tight, and these districts could decide which party holds the House in 2025.  And he tells us which polls to watch (and which to ignore) and makes his prediction in the Kamala Harris- Donald Trump race.  Plus - Who Had the Worst Week in California Politics

4:00 CA 22 - Salas v. Valadao

11:47 CA 3 - Kiley v. Morse

14:44 Brutal abortion ad

17:46 CA 27 - Whiteside v. Garcia

21:44 CA 47 - Min v. Baugh

26:59 CA 41 - Calvert v. Rollins

29:07 CA 9 - Gray v. Duarte

33:49 What are good polls to follow?

35:38 The prediction markets

38:29 Polls to avoid

41:31 Could hurricanes affect the presidential race?

42:50 On the spot: Presidential prediction

45:18 First gubernatorial debate of the 2026 campaign

50:01 #WWCA

Want to support the Capitol Weekly Podcast? Make your tax deductible donation here: capitolweekly.net/donations/ 

Capitol Weekly Podcast theme is "Pickin' My Way" by Eddie Lang 

"#WorstWeekCA" Beat provided by freebeats.io