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Markets go up and markets go down, but usually the chief executive of the United States does everything in his power to move them in one direction: up. Not this time, though. President Donald Trump’s tariff two-step and his efforts to use Tesla tool Elon Musk to slash the federal workforce are throwing the economy into a spin from which it may prove difficult to pull out. Corporate chieftains popped Champagne corks on Trump’s election, looking forward to looser regulation and lower interest rates, but as I write this, the Dow is down 2,674 points, or 6%, since Trump took office less than two months ago.
Now CEOs are reckoning with their refusal to take seriously Trump’s claim that he’d take a chainsaw to the budget (which many corporations rely on) and slap tariffs on everything that moves across a border. Trump’s entourage managed to pull the U.S. back from full disaster on Tuesday, persuading him to call off an extra set of tariffs on Mexico and Canada, just as fiery Ontario Premier Doug Ford rolled back a plan to put 25% tariffs on Canadian electricity exports to the U.S. (Cheap Canadian hydropower helps keep electric bills down across the Northeast and the Rust Belt.) Still, by Thursday morning, the Dow was down 7% for the week and down 9% from its all-time high on January 30.
None of this has been good for consumer’s wallets. While inflation slowed more than expected in February, posting the first decline in more than five months, it’s still hovering far above the Fed’s ~2% target rate, with the CPI at 2.8% for the 12 months ended in February. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2%, versus 0.5% in January.
And Trump seems to be delighting in the tariff fight. Canada, hard hit by the steel and aluminum levies, said it will still impose tariffs on $20 billion worth of U.S. imports, including metals, computers, and sporting goods, while the European Union said it would be taxing $28 billion of American goods, including bourbon, boats, and motorcycles.
Trump’s reply: “Of course I will respond.”
Up first: A potential 200% tariff on European wines and spirits. More tariffs could come April 2, when Trump has promised a round of tariffs on cars and on countries he says “discriminate” against the U.S.
China’s already slapped back with 15% tariffs on chicken, wheat and corn, and 10% duties on soybeans, pork, beef and fruit. Imports still at sea are exempt, but farmers across the U.S. are concerned that they are losing markets and field hands just as the Spring planting season begins.
In a paragraph of nonsequiturs that rocked a meeting Tuesday of the Business Roundtable, whose board includes the CEOs of Cisco, Apple, and JPMorganChase, Trump repeated his contention that tariffs will lead to the swift construction of U.S.-based factories by companies that now ship goods tariff-free to the US. “They don’t want to pay 25 percent or whatever it may be,” Trump said of U.S. importers. “It may go up higher. Look, the higher it goes, the more likely it is they’re going to build.”
The problem is that America’s business bosses can’t just lock Trump in the attic. He is the president, so they have to find a way to live with the uncertainty. For now, they are just issuing warnings. On Monday, The New York Times reported, Goldman Sachs slashed its 2025 economic growth forecasts for the United States to 1.7 percent from 2.4 percent, citing adverse trade policy. “This may be the calm C.P.I. report before the storm,” said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, referring to the inflation data. But with tariff policies, the inflation picture could get “uglier as the months go on.”
We ask @POTUS to secure a spirits/hospitality agreement with the EU to get us back to zero-for-zero tariffs and create U.S. jobs, increasing manufacturing and exports for the American hospitality sector. We need #toastsnottariffs! pic.twitter.com/3t69CYRbRo
— Chris R. Swonger (@ChrisRSwonger) March 13, 2025Note: There is no U.S. Champagne business. Champagne is a protected trademark that can only be used on sparkling wines made following a strictly prescribed method in the Champagne region of France.
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The Short StackAbout to get me a pet chicken 🐓 #eggs #inflation #eggflation
♬ Time is Precious - ProdByDaveNEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street’s sell-off is accelerating Thursday after President Donald Trump upped the stakes in his trade war by threatening huge taxes on European wines and alcohol. Not even a double-shot of good news on the U.S. economy could stop the bleeding.
The S&P 500 was down 1.2% in afternoon trading, caught in a dizzying, battering stretch that's driven the index roughly 10% below its record, which was set just a few weeks ago. Wall Street calls such steep drops a “correction,” and if the index finishes the day below 5,529, it would be the first for the U.S. stock market since 2023.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 507 points, or 1.2%, as of 2:15 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 1.6% lower.
The swings for stocks have been coming not just day to day but also hour to hour, and the Dow hurtled between a slight gain and a drop of 689 points during Thursday's trading.
The turbulence is a result of uncertainty about how much pain Trump will let the economy endure through tariffs and other policies in order to reshape the country and world as he wants. The president has said he wants manufacturing jobs back in the United States, along with a smaller U.S. government workforce and other fundamental changes.
Trump's latest escalation came Thursday when he threatened 200% tariffs on Champagne and other European wines, unless the European Union rolls back a “nasty” tariff announced on U.S. whiskey. The European Union unveiled that move on Wednesday, in response to U.S. tariffs on European steel and aluminum.
U.S. households and businesses have already reported drops in confidence because of all the uncertainty about which tariffs will stick from Trump’s barrage of on -again, off -again announcements. That’s raised fears about a pullback in spending that could sap energy from the economy. Some U.S. businesses say they’ve already begun to see a change in their customers' behavior because of the uncertainty.
A particularly feared scenario for the economy is one where its growth stagnates but inflation stays high because of tariffs. Few tools are available in Washington to fix what's called “stagflation.” If the Federal Reserve were to cut interest rates to boost the economy, for example, that could also push inflation higher.
Good news came on both those economic fronts Thursday.
One report showed inflation at the wholesale level last month was milder than economists expected. It followed a similarly encouraging report from the prior day on inflation that U.S. consumers are feeling.
But “the question for markets is whether good news on the inflation front can make itself heard above the noise of the ever-changing tariff story," said Chris Larkin, managing director, trading and investing, at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley.
A separate report, meanwhile, said fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week than economists expected. It’s the latest signal that the job market remains relatively solid overall. If that can continue, it could allow U.S. consumers to keep spending, and that’s the main engine of the economy.
On Wall Steet, some stocks connected to the artificial-intelligence industry resumed their slide and weighed on stock indexes. Palantir Technologies, which offers an AI platform for customers, sank 4.5%. Super Micro Computer, which makes servers, lost 6%. Nvidia swung between gains and losses before rising 0.7%.
Such stocks have been under the most pressure in the U.S. stock market's recent sell-off after critics said their prices shot too high in the frenzy around AI.
Other areas of the market that had also been riding big earlier momentum have seen their fortunes swing drastically. Elon Musk’s Tesla fell 3.2% following a rare back-to-back gain, and it's down more than 40% so far in 2025.
American Eagle Outfitters dropped 4% after the retailer said “less robust demand and colder weather” has held back its performance recently. It forecasted a dip in revenue for the upcoming year, though it also delivered a stronger profit report for the latest quarter than analysts expected.
On the winning side of Wall Street was Intel, which jumped 14.9% after naming former board member and semiconductor industry veteran Lip-Bu Tan as its CEO. Tan, 65, will take over the daunting job next week, more than three months after Intel’s previous CEO, Pat Gelsinger, abruptly retired amid a deepening downturn at the once-dominant chipmaker.
In the bond market, Treasury yields lost an early gain to sink lower. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.26% from 4.32%. The yield has been mostly dropping since January, when it was approaching 4.80%, as traders and economists have ratcheted back their expectations for U.S. economic growth.
While few are predicting a recession, particularly with the job market remaining relatively solid, recent reports have shown a souring of confidence among U.S. consumers and companies.
In stock markets abroad, indexes fell across much of Europe and Asia, but the moves were relatively modest.
___
AP Business Writers Matt Ott and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed.
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