China Perspectives

China Perspectives

By Fitch RatingsBusinessNewsPolitics
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China Perspectives episodes

  • China’s Electric Vehicles Boom

    Jing Yang, Director of Fitch’s China Research Initiatives based in Shanghai, shares insight on China’s booming electric vehicles industry and Chinese automakers’ overseas diversification trends.  

    • (00:00) - Introduction
  • (01:18) - Growth drivers of China’s EV Market
  • (05:45) - EV price wars
  • (07:59) - Chinese EV brands’ competitive edge
  • (09:53) - Can foreign and JV brands catch up?
  • (11:02) - Evolving competitive landscape
  • (14:00) - China’s EV exports
  • (16:10) - Risks of Chinese automakers’ overseas strategy
  • 20 min
  • An Industry Veteran’s Perspective on China’s Real Estate Market and Economy

    James MacDonald, Senior Director and Head of China Research at Savills based in Shanghai, shares first-hand experience and observations on the country’s residential, commercial, and industrial real estate markets. Through his professional lens as an 18-year industry veteran, James discusses the key structural changes in China’s real estate market and the broader economy. 

    • (00:00) - Introduction
  • (02:00) - China’s residential market condition
  • (03:27) - Policy direction and stimuluses
  • (07:15) - China’s commercial property market condition
  • (10:42) - Oversupply risk in commercial property
  • (14:00) - Investment trends in the office market
  • (16:22) - Multinational companies’ China strategy shift
  • (20:36) - China’s consumer market outlook
  • (23:01) - “New Economy” real estate assets
  • (25:48) - Growth potential for C-REITs
  • (30:20) - Closing Remarks
  • 32 min
  • China’s Economy and Bond Market

    Alvin Cheng, Head of Fixed Income, Portfolio Manager at Fidelity International’s China WOFE, shares his views on China’s economic prospects in 2023 as well as risks and opportunities in the world’s second largest bond market. 

    • (00:00) - Introduction
  • (01:38) - China’s macroeconomic outlook and key investment themes in 2023
  • (04:05) - Potential risks to China’s recovery
  • (06:09) - Deflation and inflation risks
  • (09:25) - China’s bond market opportunities for foreign asset managers
  • (14:55) - Challenges for increasing credit exposure
  • (19:18) - Improvement in credit risk pricing
  • (21:49) - Market inefficiencies and structural challenges
  • (23:34) - Fidelity’s approach to investing in LGFVs
  • (27:48) - Corporate credit risk in 2023
  • (29:55) - Closing remarks
  • 32 min
  • China’s Consumption Recovery Prospects

    Jenny Huang, Deputy Head of China Research Initiatives at Fitch Ratings, shares her views on China’s consumption recovery prospects, including stimulus for growth, constraints, consumer behaviour changes, and implications for related companies.

    • (00:00) - Introduction
  • (01:15) - China’s consumption recovery prospects
  • (06:45) - Wage inflation risk
  • (08:34) - Sub-segments’ performance
  • (14:11) - Changing consumer behaviour
  • (16:52) - E-tailing sector’s competitive landscape
  • (20:35) - Consumption-led import demand
  • 23 min
  • China’s Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery

    Gene Ma, Head of China Research at the Institute of International Finance, shares his views on China’s 2023 macro outlook, including prospects for growth, consumption, inflation, and the top priorities for economic policymakers this year.

    32 min
  • China’s Long-Term Growth Prospects
    Dominik Peschel, head of the Economics Unit at the Asian Development Bank’s Resident Mission in Beijing, discusses the bank’s recent working paper on China’s long-term growth prospects and their suggested reforms to increase potential growth.
    34 min
  • Macao Gaming – An Elusive Recovery
    Colin Mansfield, Sector Head for US Gaming, Lodging & Leisure at Fitch Ratings, positions Macao’s elusive gaming recovery within a broader global industry backdrop, and sheds light on the recent tenders for Macao’s new gaming concessions.
    38 min

About China Perspectives

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China Perspectives series is a monthly discussion on the latest credit market and economic developments from China with experts from both within and outside of Fitch Ratings.

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