ChinaEconTalk

ChinaEconTalk

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ChinaEconTalk episodes

  • Emergency Pod: AI Executive Order!

    Biden just dropped a 50 page executive order that's going to make the world safe for AI, hopefully? To discuss the sprawling EO we've brought on three CNAS analysts, Vivek Chilukuri, Bill Drexel and Tim Fist.

    We touch on:

    • Immigration and federal hiring
    • If AI + bio can ever be a safe thing
    • What's going to happen to cloud access
    • What are the hoops you'll need to jump through to train GPT5 and whether they're enough
    • What to do about open source
    • Why Jordan just wants to be an AI czar

    • RSVP to the Los Angeles meetup! https://partiful.com/e/SgjdajUSrD1aEOOrVgXk


      Outro music (yea I was not going to impose Devo on you all): The B Tune by Bela Fleck https://open.spotify.com/track/6h6vvG1t4xtfP9lkOKzBTv?si=6ec3f32629bd46a2

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      1 hr 2 min
    • Can AI Be Governed?

      In this episode, Jordan Schneider interviews Markus Anderling and Anton Korinek, two of the coauthors of the paper 'Frontier AI Regulation: Managing Emerging Risks to Public Safety'. They discuss the need for regulation and oversight of advanced AI models, known as frontier models, that have the potential to pose significant risks to public safety and national security.

      Jordan came in as a skeptic. Will he be convinced?

      Here's the paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.03718

      Here's Markus' song choice: - -- ・ -・・ ・ ・-・・ ・- https://open.spotify.com/album/1NogWso5ElfJe4n8qKSdy9?si=mD9j5WB3TWuFGVkJRBI_Jg

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      53 min
    • PLA Purges + Taiwan War Risk

      Defense Minister Li Shangfu just got officially purged. To discuss, we brought on Joel Wuthnow, a fellow at NDU. His research areas include Chinese foreign and security policy, Chinese military affairs, US-China relations, and strategic developments in East Asia. He joined ChinaTalk to discuss Xi Jinping’s recent purges of high-ranking members of the People’s Liberation Army, Xi’s larger vision for the PLA, and what all this internal turmoil might mean for China’s longer-term designs on Taiwan. This was recorded earlier in October.

      Key insights:

      • Over ten years after coming to power, Xi is still purging corruption from the military, reflecting his continued lack of trust in the PLA;
      • Corruption is historically endemic in the PLA in part because of its incentive structure, which makes graft a prerequisite for rising through the ranks;
      • Xi’s efforts to break up the PLA’s supervisory apparatus have only been partially successful (they’re still the same people even if they’re in a different department);
      • Amid the anti-corruption shakeup, China’s Rocket Force has been successfully developing hypersonic missiles, technology viewed as critical to countering US intervention in a regional conflict over Taiwan;
      • Despite Xi’s apparent distrust of his inner circle of military advisors, an echo chamber–induced invasion of Taiwan is still a live possibility.

      • Joel Wuthnow is a senior research fellow with the National Defense University.

        Nicholas Welch cohosts.

        Outtro Music: The Weeknd's take on Drake's Trust Issues https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVCV6hyv7ac

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        58 min
      • Jason Furman on Inflation and Policymaking

        Jason Furman was Obama's CEA chair and a Harvard econ professor, while Kyla is the my favorite economics influencer. We get into:

        • What the deal is with inflation
        • How policymaking is broken and what we need to fix it
        • How Homer would tackle SBF
        • Why goodreads is such a trash website

        • Outtro music: Chocolate Snow, Inflation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9E6F8xMjoA

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          1 hr 11 min
        • How to Process Violence

          Two rabbis on ChinaTalk? What am I even doing?

          Zohar Atkins of the wonderful Meditations with Zohar podcast alongside Ari Lamm of Bnai Zion come to discuss and process the aftermath of the Oct 7th attack.

          Outtro music: Ishay Ribo - Seder Ha'Avoda https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ECy3CMxShIQ

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          42 min
        • EMERGENCY POD: Export Controls Dropped!

          BIS just released its revision to the Oct 7 2022 restrictions. Jon of Asianometry, Dylan of Semianalysis, and Doug of Fabricated Knowledge join the pod to discuss why NVIDIA got screwed, why ASML may not have, and what these regs mean for the future of China and AI.

          Outtro music: Warren G Regulate remix https://soundcloud.com/dj-eric-rhodes/warren-wallen-mashup-final-edit

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          56 min
        • Cities of Slaughter

          Israel is a country dear to my heart and I wanted to provide the ChinaTalk audience with one more perspective on the events of this past weekend before returning to our regularly scheduled program.

          To that end, I'm running a guest episode from the Promised Podcast, a show from TLV1 which is "an inside view of how Israel can warm your heart and make your blood boil. It’s a show by a journalist, a professor and an NGO professional who live in and love Israel even though it drives them crazy, and who each week discuss the latest in Israeli politics, culture, and society."

          Thanks for listening.

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          1 hr 42 min
        • EMERGENCY POD: Two Views from Israel on Hamas + China-Middle East Relations

          We discuss their experience of the past few days, China's response, its broader policy and aspirations in the Middle East, and what comes next.

          Our first guest is Carice Witte who is the founder and director of the SIGNAL Group.

          Second in the episode is Ofir Dayan, a researcher at the Israel-China Policy Center at INSS.

          Outtro music: World Champion, sung by family members and victims of terrorism https://youtu.be/yofkk5Vaif8?si=JskMFXK3-srR5z8L

          Lyrics translation:

          I'm a world champion in repressing

          Anything that scares me, anything stressful, I put on mute

          I'm a world champion in loving

          Firstly myself, then at the stage and the street

          The hardest is to give it to someone close

          I'm a world champion in not being

          In not solving your problems

          Even the pictures on the walls

          I wasn't the one who hanged them

          I'm only in charge of the melodies

           

          I'm a world champion in falling

          And getting back up like a champ

          You'll see, like a phoenix

          I'm burning, but choosing every day to live on

          I'm a world champion in wanting

          At least trying

          You'll see, how in the end

          After the losses, the victory is so much sweeter

          I'm a world champion

           

          I'm a world champion in justifying

          Weaknesses and desires

          The urge is an old acquaintance

          I know every old trick it keeps in its bag

          But look, someday I'll be righteous

          Deep down what I have is not enough, at all

          I'm a little rat and life is a pipe1

          Falling down the hole because I can't distinguish

          Between good and evil, and where does it all lead to

          You're being all usual

          But soon we'll run out of fuse

           

          I'm a world champion in falling

          And getting back up like a champ

          You'll see, like a phoenix

          I'm burning, but choosing every day to live on

          I'm a world champion in wanting

          At least trying

          You'll see, how in the end

          After the losses, the victory is so much sweeter

          I'm a world champion

           

          I'm a world champion in compensating

          Apologizing and pleasing

          Sinning, cleansing myself

          Exposing, covering up

          Say, how can one write songs with a thousand expectations

          Millions of views

           

          I'm a world champion in falling

          And getting back up like a champ

          You'll see, like a phoenix

          I'm burning, but choosing every day to live on

          I'm a world champion

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          50 min
        • Kurt Campbell on Grand Strategy and US-China

          Kurt Campbell is the Deputy Assistant to the President and the White House Coordinator for Indo-Pacific Affairs. ChinaTalk recently joined Campbell in Washington to discuss US-China relations and mark the podcast’s 300th episode.

          We discuss:

          • The nature of national power today;
          • If China is peaking;
          • How ideology impacts Beijing’s foreign policy;
          • Campbell’s hopes and fears for the Biden administration’s Asia policy;
          • Whether the US is still aiming to “maintain as large of a lead as possible” on chips and AI;
          • How to think about the risk of and effectively deter military escalation;
          • And the dark shadow of Tiananmen and its lasting impact on Chinese politics and US foreign policy.

          • Outtro music: Brahms: Sonata in E flat major for Viola and Piano, Op. 120, No. 2 I. Allegro amabile https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYrC4rx5VrA

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            1 hr
          • Deep Tech VC On AI, Chips, and US-China Competition

            James Wang, partner at Creative Ventures, joins to discuss:

            • Huawei breakthrough implications and why NVIDIA's CUDA will make it particularly difficult to create a useful domestic AI chip
            • Why China's AI companies have been underperforming my expectations
            • How semiconductor industry dynamics parallel the challenges facing AI startups
            • How pizza machines explain AI's future impact on the labor market
            • Challenges and opportunities in investing in deep tech, including the eager but raw founder talent pool as well as the importance of market structure and distinguishing between R&D and engineering risk

            • This show was brought to you by Creative Ventures.

              Creatives Ventures is at https://creativeventures.vc/

              James writes at https://weightythoughts.com/ and tweets at @AJamesWang

              Outtro Music: the legendary Combination Pizza Hut and Taco Bell

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              1 hr 8 min

            About ChinaEconTalk

            From the publisher's feed

            A weekly conversation exploring China's economy and tech scene. Guests include a wide range of policy analysts, business professionals, journalists, and academics. A SupChina production, hosted by…