Crosstabs

Bryan and Reagan break down the Oregon Senate races that will make the difference between more balance and a Democrat supermajority.

* Landslide podcast from NPR

* Altered Ceasefire Pledge Causes Discomfort Among City Council Candidates

* Rep. Tawna Sanchez Outlines Proposal For New Alcohol Sales Tax

* CNanalysis model on Oregon Legislative elections

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Bryan and Reagan discuss the lagging Republican fundraising in legislative races and a controversial memo from House Republicans. Then they make predictions about key statewide and congressional races in November.

* With fundraising flagging, Oregon Republicans’ ambitions rely on Greg Walden

* Dennis Linthicum on 2024 ballot measures

* Tobias Read commercial

* Will Lathrop commercial

* Dan Rayfield commercial

* National Republican group adds Oregon candidate Mike Erickson to top challenger list

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Bryan and Reagan are joined by State Rep. Emily McIntire (R-Eagle Point) and State Rep. Candidate Keri Lopez (R-Redmond) to do a deep dive on the state of education in Oregon.

* Portland Public Schools quietly adopts rule barring teachers from ‘political or personal’ classroom displays

* Another Portland area school district will consider closing some schools amid low enrollment

* Could Oregon’s state school funding mechanism change next year?

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Ashley Kuenzi joins the program to take us through the news. Her day job is as Communications Director for Oregon Senate Republicans and their campaign arm. Bryan, Ashley, and Reagan discuss Measure 118 campaign contributions, new national polling, drug crimes being made illegal gain, the state economist, and the state of the economy.

* Measure 118 Campaign Reels in Its First Large Contribution—From a San Francisco Candidate for Mayor

* Oregon lawmaker introduces ‘no tax on tips’ proposal for 2025

* Harris vs. Trump: New presidential poll shows Trump taking the lead over VP Harris

* Capital Chatter: Riccadonna takes over one of Oregon's most important jobs

* Oregon’s job market looks solid on paper, but economists see worrying signs

* Serena Cruz Resigns as Multnomah County COO

* Portland business owner says he sees ‘no changes’ after new drug law

* Clackamas County launches deflection program Sept. 1

* Editorial: The perils of a one-party state

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Justin Martin joins Reagan on the program while Bryan is traveling. Justin represents the Confederated Tribes of Grand Ronde. They talk about Grand Ronde’s opposition to more casinos. Justin explains gambling law and the negative impacts of expansion.

* In Oregon, a Bid for Urban Casinos Threatens a Gambling ‘Arms Race’

* Oregon Tribal Gaming Alliance

* Online sports betting hurts consumers

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Longtime Libertarian Richard Burke joins the podcast. He brings his expertise on how third party candidates impact federal, state, and local campaigns. Richard, Bryan, and Reagan discuss RKF’s partial dropout and how it impacts Trump, a libertarian in CD 5, and the battle over Libertarian Party bylaws in Oregon.

* ORS 248.009 Process for nominating candidates by minor political party

* 1998 Oregon gubernatorial election

* Oregon Libertarians will appear on ballot despite Republican challenge

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Senator Dick Anderson joins the podcast to discuss his accomplishments in his first term and what’s left to tackle for housing and transportation in his second term.

* Senator Anderson delivers for his district and all of Oregon.

* 2024 Statewide Housing Survey

* Kamala Harris Wants to Give First-Time Homebuyers $25K. Is That a Good Idea?

* On the south Oregon Coast, the Port of Coos Bay aims to become a major shipping hub

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Reagan reads a mean tweet. Bryan and Reagan discuss the news about Measure 118, sanctuary state law, drug deflection programs, homeless bussing, and gambling.

* Mean tweet Reagan read from Yes on Measure 118

* Oregon Rebate Amount Was $750 per Person but Now It’s $1,600

* Local DA says he can’t get accused child molesters, murderer extradited because of Oregon sanctuary law

* Clackamas County Says It Won’t Have a Drug Deflection Program

* SF plans to bus more homeless people out of town. Here’s where they’ve already been sent

* Online sports betting hurts consumers

* In Oregon, a Bid for Urban Casinos Threatens a Gambling ‘Arms Race’

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Bryan and Reagan discuss Reagan’s purchase of a real pickup truck, the 2025 transportation package, and Minnesota’s retail delivery fee. Then our hosts are joined by fellow consultant Jake Pelroy to discuss the November ballot measures, the CD 3 primary in Washington state, the Oregon Dems new candidate in HD 32, and Lane County politics.

* Oregon transportation leaders say they may cut 1,000 jobs if Legislature doesn’t approve more money

* New 50-cent fee on some package deliveries takes effect July 1 in Minnesota

* Minnesota Retail Delivery Fee

* Oregon 2024 Ballot Measures

* Davis nominated by Democrats in HD 32

* Ahead of Washington primaries, CD-3 candidates keep distance from Democratic leaders

* Jake Pelroy

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio

Bryan and Reagan discuss upcoming CD 5 debates, DHM Research’s statewide survey results, a credible poll showing Trump only down 5 points in Oregon, and crazy local politics headlines.

Show Notes

* Watch Duty

* Oregon Rep. Chavez-DeRemer agrees to 4 TV debates with challenger Bynum

* Conservative group made last-ditch play to influence Democratic primary in high-profile Oregon congressional race

* DHM Research June 2024 Survey

* New Poll Shows Harris With 5–Point Lead Over Trump in Oregon

* Morrow County voters reject bid to recall board of commissioners

* A push to recall 3 Cottage Grove city councilors gets enough signatures this time to reach the ballot

* Letter threatens to expose Brownsville councilor, mayor 'incident’

* Despite denials, records show Oregon Republican Party trying to keep Libertarians off the ballot

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.crosstabs.studio