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You can’t lose a coin flip on purpose. Trust me. I've tried.
And it turns out, that’s a useful way to think about luck and skill. A golf professional needs to be able to reproduce the bad shots as well as the good ones. A poker player can lose on purpose. Most of the time. A basketball player can try to do the same.
Then we tell ourselves what happened. That’s when things get twisted.
We turn luck into skill, failure into excuses, and a streak of coin flips into evidence of genius.
Can we reproduce the result? Reverse it? Make it fail on command?
Maybe that’s where skill really starts.
Blog Post:
Luck and Skill and Stories
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Unpacking Luck and Skill: The Stories We Tell
02:24 - The Golf Professional's Challenge: Making All the Shots
06:22 - Manu Ginobili and the Art of Failing on Purpose
08:35 - Annie Duke's Test: Can You Intentionally Lose?
12:51 - How Our Narrator Creates Self-Serving Bias
18:33 -From Coin Flips to Flight: The 'Lucky and Good' Principle
24:08 - Embracing Humility: When to Call It Luck
“What would Dave do?”
It’s a question I hear from friends, family, and my dozens of readers. And while I appreciate the vote of confidence, I have concerns.
People love tips. They look like shortcuts. But a tip is only useful if you understand why it works and whether it applies to you. That gives you the conviction to stick with it when things get uncomfortable.
From Jim Cramer to Siskel and Ebert to Wall Street’s favorite stock pickers, the lesson is the same: ideas on loan don’t come with conviction.
Blog Post:
Tips Are for Waiters
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Welcome to the Show: Why Tips Are for Waiters
03:57 - Jim Cramer's Real Advice: Buy and Homework
07:35 - Siskel & Ebert: Don't Miss Out on Greatness
09:14 - Josh Brown on Borrowed Conviction and Tips
11:05 - Do the Homework: Building Your Own Conviction
14:15 - Final Thoughts: Do Your Homework, Find Your Why
Two people stand in front of the same statue. One is moved. The other is unimpressed. They're both right—and once you see why, you start seeing it everywhere.
A look at how the same thing splits into a dozen different truths, and why the view you're sure of is only ever a slice.
Blog Post:
The Circle and the Sphere
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Welcome to the Show: The Circle and the Sphere
02:36 - David Lynch, Springsteen, and Varied Interpretations
05:36 - Two Camps, One Moon: Destiny vs. Doom
09:15 - Touching One Part: Missing the Whole Picture
12:25 - Reassessing Your View: The Museum Analogy
14:31 - Final Thoughts and Support the Podcast
Up up down down left right left right B A Start.
The Konami Code gave you thirty extra lives in Contra—and made you reckless. You'd sprint into gunfire, respawn, and do it again. No strategy. No awareness. Just volume.
Most people approach life the same way—more reps, more chances, more spaghetti at the wall. Groundhog Day.
But there's another cheat code. God Mode. The one that lets you fly above the map and see everything. This piece is about the difference between burning through lives and learning to see the whole field.
Blog Post:
The Code, the Road, the Mode
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Setting the Stage: Code, Road, Mode Preview
02:40 - Why More Lives Make You Reckless: The Konami Code
05:30 - From Reckless Hedonism to Altruism: Walking The Road
09:38 - Beyond Cheat Codes: Gaining Total Awareness with God Mode
16:14 - The Big Idea: Shift from Code to Road to Mode
Look at a rainbow. ROYGBIV — red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, violet. Notice what's missing?
Purple isn't there. Your brain makes it up—invents a color to bridge a gap in the spectrum that physics can't close.
Most of what you experience works the same way. Your perception isn't a recording of the world. It's a rumor. The people who see the most aren't seeing more than you. They're just filtering better.
Here's how they do it.
Blog Post:
Perception Is a Rumor
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Unveiling the Mystery of How We See
03:39 - Your Brain Creates Reality: Umwelt and Language
09:59 - How Marinovich, Potter, and Brink Filter Reality
16:19 - Translating Perception: From Music to Written Word
24:31 - Changing Perception: A Small Adjustment Makes a Difference
When Michigan State ran out of money to pave its walkways, they waited—and let students wear the paths themselves. Urban planners have a name for those worn lines: desire paths, the routes nobody designs and everybody chooses.
Some people see their path before they take a step. Most of us wander for years. Up and down side streets. Van Gogh selling other people's art, Pressfield writing ads and screenplays instead of novels. Hopefully, with age, we learn to see the trail we've been carving all along.
Blog Post:
Desire Paths
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Uncovering Your Path: The Desire Paths Introduction
01:35 - Michigan State, UC Irvine, Broadway: Paths We Reveal
04:31 - Prodigies, Conformists, and the Wandering Soul
06:23 - Van Gogh, Pressfield, and the Shadow Career
10:32 - Ricardo Marini, John Muir: Seeing Your Path Clearly
14:40 - The Literal Act of Making Your World by Walking
Last month, over beers after a round of pitch 'n' putt, my buddies and I landed on a familiar subject: Adam Carolla.
None of us listened to him anymore, and it wasn't because of what had changed — it was because of what hadn't. But that raised a bigger question. Why do some things curdle on the hundredth pass while others — a book, a song, a course you've played before — keep giving? Casablanca, the Grateful Dead, Sturgill Simpson, and a father lecturing his son all turned out to have the same answer.
There's a difference between the Dead and dragon fruit.
Blog Post:
Play It Again
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
"Man, what happened to Russ?" For a few years there, you couldn't walk into a Seattle sports bar without hearing it. The spins stopped working. The cringe piled up. And because of that, losing him hurt a little less than it should have.
But before any of that—before the Super Bowls, the trades, the memes—Russell Wilson taught me something in his very first interview as a Seahawk. He didn't learn it on a football field. He learned it at the mall in Richmond, Virginia, as an eight-year-old.
Blog Post:
Imagine That
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Copyright Cops and Podcast Updates
01:55 - The Perfect Time for Russell Wilson's Lesson
04:06 - From 'Let Russ Cook' to 'What Happened?'
05:51 - Russell Wilson's Early Lesson: Mall Visualization
07:48 - Athletes and the Power of Mental Reps
11:02 - Experiments Proving the Power of Imagination
13:15 - Napoleon Hill's Invisible Counselors and Mentors
16:32 - Memory vs. Imagination: Shaping Your Future
18:40 - Thank You for Listening: Share and Review
"Mary Jane's Last Dance" won Best Male Video at the 1994 VMAs. Then, at forty-four, Tom Petty released Wildflowers—and hot damn, I became a real fan.
The more I learned, the more relatable he got. The kid who didn't know what publishing was. The guy who fought his label twice in three years. The songwriter who didn't realize his own song was about him until his therapist pointed it out.
The newest entry in my What I've Learned From series—on direction, ownership, craft, and the fight between making the work and selling it.
Blog Post:
What I’ve Learned from Tom Petty
Sponsors:
Passing Notes to Strangers
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Welcome to the Show: What I've Learned from Tom Petty
04:02 - Tom Petty's Path: Knowing Where You're Going
07:50 - Touring with Dylan: The Value of Spontaneity
13:19 - The Craft of Songwriting: When Songs Just Fall Out
16:50 - Stevie Nicks' Advice: Turn Off the Radio and Create
20:17 - Wildflowers: The Song You Write For Yourself
22:49 - Tom Petty's Battles: Protecting Your Creative Ownership
26:25 - The Fight to Sell: When Promotion Feels Like Punishment
29:17 - The End, But Not The End: Remembering Tom Petty
32:45 - Episode Closer: "I Won't Back Down"
Breathwork is the closest thing we have to a manual override for the nervous system. Five minutes can change your state—measurably.
This isn’t mysticism. It’s a toolkit: box breathing for acute stress, 4-7-8 for sleep, Buteyko for long-term resilience, Wim Hof for energy and immune modulation. Each protocol has a job. They are not interchangeable.
The science is solid. The ROI is absurd. The only trick is remembering to use it when it matters. Learn to control your breath, and you gain leverage over stress, focus, and calm—on demand.
Blog Post:
Magic Pills, Volume Three: Breathwork
Sponsors:
31 Easy™
Chapters:
00:00 - Breathwork: Your Nervous System's Manual Override
04:13 - Master Acute Stress with Box Breathing
06:27 - Fall Asleep Faster with 4-7-8 Breathing
08:39 - Buteyko: Retrain Your Breath, Improve CO2 Tolerance
16:07 - Boost Immunity & Energy with Wim Hof
18:38 - Choosing Protocols, Personal Stack, and Next Steps
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