Dave Lee on Investing

In today’s episode I interview Rob Maurer from Tesla Daily Podcast (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgYkuL87rUwiBl7tqfN53Eg).

In today’s episode I interview Rob Maurer from Tesla Daily Podcast (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgYkuL87rUwiBl7tqfN53Eg).

Some of the questions covered:

What keeps you motivated to do daily podcasts?

How much additional time does it take to make a YouTube video in addition to your podcast?

How do you approach investing/trading in TSLA stock and options?

What are your TSLA options strategies?

What's the single most impactful thing Elon should pay more attention to or change about current operations at Tesla?

What do you think will happen to Tesla (and TSLA) in case something unexpected happens with Elon?

Economy scenarios going forward?

What's the other one stock that you would do daily podcast about, given he has bandwidth for it?

Which competitor EV products have you been most impressed with and why?

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

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Oil dropped into negative territory for the first time in history.

In this video I look further into this and discuss the ramifications.

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Luckin Coffee is a Chinese Starbucks competitor that has been taking China by storm. By January 2020, that’s only 2 years since opening their first store, they had a total of 4,507 stores, making them the largest coffee chain in China, surpassing even Starbucks.

However, on April 2nd Luckin Coffee announced that an internal investigation found that its chief operating officer, Jian Liu, and several others, had fabricated the company's 2019 sales by "around RMB2.2 billion" or $310 million USD. Trading of the stock has since been halted on the U.S. exchange.

In this video I share lessons of what we can learn from the Luckin Coffee disaster.

Articles shared in video:

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LK/

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/07/19/chinas-homegrown-luckin-coffee-takes-on-starbucks.html

http://investor.luckincoffee.com/static-files/fad0e07a-ac5a-4881-9ff3-fdc6af395f6f

https://secfilings.nasdaq.com/filingFrameset.asp?FilingID=13752710&RcvdDate=11/20/2019&CoName=LUCKIN%20COFFEE%20INC.&FormType=6-K&View=html

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LKOYMpXVo1ssbWQx8j4G3-strg6mpQ7F/view

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-luckin-investigation-timeline/luckin-coffees-journey-from-hot-startup-to-5billion-share-wipeout-idUSKBN21L1HW

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/02/luckin-coffee-stock-plummets-after-investigation-finds-coo-fabricated-sales.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/03/luckin-coffee-debacle-is-a-painful-reminder-of-fraud-risk.html

https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/04/03/should-i-sell-luckin-coffee.aspx

https://www.benzinga.com/news/20/04/15753833/luckin-stock-drops-further-as-lenders-seek-to-seize-76-4m-shares-for-defaulted-loan

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

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An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Articles shared in this video:

The Fly - https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3072175&headline=TSLA-Tesla-initiated-with-a-Buy-at-Goldman-Sachs

"Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney initiated coverage of Tesla with a Buy rating and $864 price target. The analyst is positive on the company's product lead position in electric vehicles - a market where he expects "long-term secular growth". Delaney further cites Tesla's early mover advantage, brand recognition, vertical integration, as well as traction from its Model Y launch in the important SUV and crossover market."

2013 Goldman Sachs on TSLA - https://www.cnbc.com/id/100890550

Historical Goldman Sachs TSLA price targets - https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/TSLA/price-target/?MostRecent=0

June 2019 TSLA downgrade by Goldman Sachs - https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-price-target-cut-goldman-sachs-fourth-time-in-2019-2019-6

Mark Delaney tip ranks, https://www.tipranks.com/analysts/mark-delaney

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options/20/04/15781832/mike-khouw-sees-unusual-options-activity-in-tesla

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Tesla (TSLA) stock was up almost 14% (and more afterhours) today.

I go into the reasons for this rise.

And I answer questions from views.

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Tesla (TSLA) stock was up almost 14% (and more afterhours) today.

I go into the reasons for this rise.

And I answer questions from views.

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

The worst kind of mistakes are the ones you don’t even know you’re making.

Because without knowing the mistakes, you can’t correct them.

Bias is probably one of the biggest investment mistakes you can make.

1. Don’t even know you’re making it

2. Helps you make poor decisions

3. Makes you blame others for your poor decisions

Without seeing accurately, chances to make good investments is very low.

For some people - might make sense to stop investing, start trying to fix your biases

Or can try to do it over time

Point of the channel

Different angles, deeper view, more accurate thinking

Rehabilitate thinking… question biases

Bias is the poison.

Objectivity and clear thinking is the antidote.

But I’ll go over a few bias examples in investing to get your mind thinking.

1. Brand Bias

2. Expert Bias

3. Limitation Bias

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

An Alternative Plan to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 and Get Americans Back to Work - https://medium.com/@heydave7/an-alternative-plan-to-mitigate-the-spread-of-covid-19-and-get-americans-back-to-work-d1c18c052bf0

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Tesla is set to report their first quarter deliveries soon.

In this video I’m going to dive into what we can expect.

This quarter is unique due to 3 reasons:

1. Q1 is typically the slowest quarter for Tesla

2. Tesla has halted production at Fremont, Nevada, New York

3. This is the first quarter for Model Y deliveries

Before going into some Q1 delivery estimates, here’s a few notes

1. Investors are forward-looking.

2. Can Tesla open their U.S. factories in Q2?

3. Investor focus on survival vs growth?

For reference Q4 2019:

18k S/X produced

87k Model 3 produced

Total 105k vehicles

Rough estimates

85k production in Fremont

65-70k delivered

13.5k production in Shanghai

10k delivered

Total production around 95k cars

Total deliveries around 75-80k cars.

Note this is personal opinion/conjecture and not investment advice.

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Note: error was made in the calculations for 2020 delivery estimates ("around 500k" should have been "around 440k").

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Article links:

https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3065221/much-riding-tesla-shanghais-authorities-pull-out-all-stops

https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=&sl=zh-CN&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fmp.weixin.qq.com%2Fs%2FLFx34Mr8Z2fYbEMXzjqGnA

Tesla’s factories in Fremont and New York are on hold, but what’s going on with Tesla elsewhere?

In this video I’m going to share an update on Tesla’s Shanghai factory.

1. How Tesla Shanghai was impacted

2. Role of government

3. Production targets

4. Risks and headwinds

5. What this means for Tesla going forward

South China Municipal Post said the following on March 5, “The municipal government of Shanghai is pulling out all stops to ensure success at Tesla’s Gigafactory, the US carmaker’s first overseas plant, and the crown jewel of Lingang as the local authorities woo global investors to set up in the free-trade zone. Housing would be offered to Tesla’s assembly workers, installed with infrared thermal sensors to detect any fevers. Arrangements are also being made to accelerate the delivery of components from suppliers to keep production on schedule at the factory.”

According to a meeting record from Shengang Securities obtained by Ranjing Finance, on March 1, 2020, Tesla Shanghai factory experts and key investors exchanged conference calls.

"Experts said that the first phase of the Tesla Shanghai factory was mainly production of Model 3, with a planned production capacity of 150,000 vehicles, but through technical transformation and outsourcing of some parts and components, processing can continue to increase production capacity.

Current production capacity of the first phase of the plant is 2,000 units/week, with single shifts per day and overtime on Saturdays to extend the single shift time without affecting production capacity; the two shifts in March are expected to reach 3500 units/week; The entire first half of the production of 50,000 to 60,000.

It is expected that a pressure test will be conducted at the end of June. Now the entire Tesla Shanghai plant is pushing forward from high-level to ordinary employees. Capacity increase is expected to start in July and can reach a capacity of 5,000 vehicles per week, that is, 20,000 vehicles per month.

In the first and second half of this year, the combined production capacity is expected to be about 170,000 vehicles.

In addition, the domestic Model Y is currently in the early stage of fixed-point and is expected to be put into production in October. It was originally planned to be listed before the end of December 2020, but due to the impact of the epidemic, the listing plan was delayed and it is expected to be delayed until January 2021. The Model 3 has a long battery life. The version is under development, and mass production is expected in the second half of the year.

At present, Tesla is gradually completing the localization of the supply chain. According to the meeting records, according to the current number of parts and supporting value of Tesla's domestic production, the domestic production rate has exceeded 30%, and is currently expected to be around 40%; According to outside legends, the middle of the year is 70% and the end of the year is 100%. Tesla's Chinese factory experts said that the actual progress will only be faster than this, and it is expected to exceed 70% by the middle of the year."

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heydave7

Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Watch this video on what a 10x company is, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9HtG-jJSTY

Watch this video on how new tech goes mainstream, https://youtu.be/gVsFsydllNo

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

Article links:

https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3065221/much-riding-tesla-shanghais-authorities-pull-out-all-stops

https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=&sl=zh-CN&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fmp.weixin.qq.com%2Fs%2FLFx34Mr8Z2fYbEMXzjqGnA

Tesla’s factories in Fremont and New York are on hold, but what’s going on with Tesla elsewhere?

In this video I’m going to share an update on Tesla’s Shanghai factory.

1. How Tesla Shanghai was impacted

2. Role of government

3. Production targets

4. Risks and headwinds

5. What this means for Tesla going forward

South China Municipal Post said the following on March 5, “The municipal government of Shanghai is pulling out all stops to ensure success at Tesla’s Gigafactory, the US carmaker’s first overseas plant, and the crown jewel of Lingang as the local authorities woo global investors to set up in the free-trade zone. Housing would be offered to Tesla’s assembly workers, installed with infrared thermal sensors to detect any fevers. Arrangements are also being made to accelerate the delivery of components from suppliers to keep production on schedule at the factory.”

According to a meeting record from Shengang Securities obtained by Ranjing Finance, on March 1, 2020, Tesla Shanghai factory experts and key investors exchanged conference calls.

"Experts said that the first phase of the Tesla Shanghai factory was mainly production of Model 3, with a planned production capacity of 150,000 vehicles, but through technical transformation and outsourcing of some parts and components, processing can continue to increase production capacity.

Current production capacity of the first phase of the plant is 2,000 units/week, with single shifts per day and overtime on Saturdays to extend the single shift time without affecting production capacity; the two shifts in March are expected to reach 3500 units/week; The entire first half of the production of 50,000 to 60,000.

It is expected that a pressure test will be conducted at the end of June. Now the entire Tesla Shanghai plant is pushing forward from high-level to ordinary employees. Capacity increase is expected to start in July and can reach a capacity of 5,000 vehicles per week, that is, 20,000 vehicles per month.

In the first and second half of this year, the combined production capacity is expected to be about 170,000 vehicles.

In addition, the domestic Model Y is currently in the early stage of fixed-point and is expected to be put into production in October. It was originally planned to be listed before the end of December 2020, but due to the impact of the epidemic, the listing plan was delayed and it is expected to be delayed until January 2021. The Model 3 has a long battery life. The version is under development, and mass production is expected in the second half of the year.

At present, Tesla is gradually completing the localization of the supply chain. According to the meeting records, according to the current number of parts and supporting value of Tesla's domestic production, the domestic production rate has exceeded 30%, and is currently expected to be around 40%; According to outside legends, the middle of the year is 70% and the end of the year is 100%. Tesla's Chinese factory experts said that the actual progress will only be faster than this, and it is expected to exceed 70% by the middle of the year."

Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Author is long TSLA at time of original video publish date.

Tags: Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, Investing

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