Monday, November 4, 2024

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The presidential election is tomorrow.

How to manage stress and maintain perspective on election night in one sentence: Surround yourself with supportive people; set realistic expectations for results; mentally prepare for any outcome; accept uncertainty and lack of control; know the possibility of significant polling error; limit social media and news refreshes; remind yourself of past resilience; focus on the bigger picture beyond this election; and have a plan for post-election activities that bring you joy.

Harris +1.0 points (New York Times)

Trump wins 52 times out of 100. Harris wins 48 times out of 100. (FiveThirtyEight)

Editor’s note: Forecasts are probabilities, not certainties. They reflect the current vibes, not the final result.

So, can we trust the polls? “Recent changes add up to a case for cautious optimism on better accuracy, but that’s far from a guarantee.” (New York Times)

The early vote doesn’t reliably predict results. “4 reasons why you’re better off ignoring it.” (Silver Bulletin)

When polls close in battleground states on Election Day. (

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