DHUnplugged Podcast

DHUnplugged #622: Box The Whites


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Put away the white pants - box up the white shoes - summer is over.
Deeply Oversold - Quick bounce potential is high (Happened last week and today already 3 times)
New study on talking to plants
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Warm Up
- Back from NOLA - FSU/LSU game - unreal weekend
- Putting away the White pants and shoes - post Labor Day
- Europe is in trouble - Russia playing hardball with energy flows
- Germany rethinking Nuclear energy
- New study on talking to plants
- Reminder of CTP that is closing for entries Friday
Market Update
- Deeply Oversold - Bounce Potential High (Happened last week and today already)
--- Seems that 3.3% 10Yr is near-term cap?
- QQQ bounce from low in June to high 23%, now eroded to 8%
- Turmoil at BBBY
- China lockdowns and OPEC production cuts
- Apple Sept 7th launch event
BIG ANNOUNCEMENT - TEASE REALLY - TriggerCharts Indicators - New Distribution, New platforms..! NOW TRADINGVIEW.. Launch 1st week of September - Tradestation, eSignal, TradingView!
RSS Feed - FIXED
Yields - 10yr Treasury at June Highs - 3.342%
Market/Sectors Update
Sectors - YTD
When the going get tough
- Throw out all Climate concerns
- Germany keeping 2 nuclear power plans active (Uranium URA?)
- Germany will keep two of its three remaining nuclear plants available for power production as part of a reserve scheme recommended by power transmission grid operators (TSOs) that stress-tested electricity supply
- Economy minister Robert Habeck said the risks of nuclear technology mandated holding on to the exit plan but restrictions in Russian gas deliveries justified the reserve measure.
Oil Production
- OPEC cannot seem to make up its mind - a group of some of the world's most powerful oil producers on Monday agreed on a small output cut from next month, surprising energy markets at a time of considerable turmoil.
- OPEC and non-OPEC partners, an influential energy alliance known as OPEC+, decided to cut production targets by about 100,000 barrels per day from October.
- Oil spiked then dropped after the news (Economic realities and China lockdowns)
Russia Playing Hardball
- On Friday, Russian energy supplier Gazprom said it would not resume its supply of natural gas to Germany through the key Nord Stream 1 pipeline, blaming a malfunctioning turbine.
- The euro fell below 99 cents for the first time in 20 years Monday, after Russia said it would shut off its main gas supply pipeline to Europe indefinitely.
- The EU's common currency was trading around 0.9915 versus the dollar by 1:00 p.m. London time (8:00 a.m. ET), having climbed off lows of $0.9881 hit earlier in the day.
- The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, also breached a fresh two-decade high as the British pound slid on fears over energy supply and European economic growth.
Last Item
- Looking at European Gas prices - just to be clear
- Lower gas flows from Russia ahead of and following its February invasion of Ukraine have already pushed up European prices by nearly 400% over the past year, sending electricity costs soaring.
Crude Oil Futures
California Rolling Blackouts?
- Highest rates since 2020
- Potential for rotating outages to conserve
--- How does this work for Electric cars? Supposed to be cheaper alternative
China Lockdown
- Some districts of China's southern tech hub Shenzhen extended curbs on public activities, dining out and entertainment venues on Friday, but city officials stopped short of a full lockdown
- Most of Shenzhen's nearly 18 million residents are now under COVID controls amid the city's most serious outbreak since spring.
...more
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