DHUnplugged Podcast

DHUnplugged #730: Spend Spend Spend


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Very Business friendly cabinet
Market rotation continues - now it is back into the big-caps
Consumers - WOW! - Spend Spend Spend
Black Friday and Cyber Monday updates
PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts!
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DONATIONS ? Thank you for all who gave to the Thanksgiving Holiday Campaign...
Warm-Up
- Very Business friendly cabinet
- Market rotation continues - now it is back into the big-caps
- Consumers - WOW! - Spend Spend Spend
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday updates
Markets
- November - the best month of the year!
- New highs and predictions for a 5% December
- USD is on the rise - bond yields ease.
- Bitcoin can't seem to breach $100k
ANNOUNCING the CTP Contestants for 2024 CTP Cup
Michael Bowling
Kirk Saathoff
Eric Harvey
Chad Laajala
Tim Dewey
Paul Kinder
Anson Brady (2023 CTP Cup Winner)
Saying goodbye to legend - Art Cashin
- Pillar of the exchange
- He was on the TDI Podcast - LINK
Marshall Law
- South Korean President Yoon declares martial law:
- Says through martial law he will rebuild a free and democratic country
- Government administration has been paralyzed because of opposition party conducts
- Says he will eradicate pro-North forces and protect constitutional order
- Marshall Law lifted - but a good amount of confusion remains
Consumers on a Rampage
- Adobe said that in the U.S., consumers made a record-breaking $10.8 billion of purchases, up 10.2% on last year.
- Cyber Monday sales reached $13.5 bln, ahead of initial expectations
- Quick Amazon vs Costco Story - Looking for UPS backup - Same model on Amazon (Cyber Monday Deal) $179 - Costco $129
- Buy now, pay later plans helped finance purchases, driving 8.8% more in online spend than last year
- But... Not so much IN-STORE: Overall, store traffic on Black Friday was down 3.2%, with footfall down 7% in the Midwest, 2.1% in the Northeast, 3.5% in the South and 3.2% in the West
Retail
- Consumer discretionary stocks are on fire
- People are buying - alot of stuff
- Abercrombie & Fitch issued strong holiday guidance last week after posting its sixth straight quarter of double-digit sales growth and another quarter of results that topped expectations.
- Gap issued good guidance as well
- RTH ETF - (Retail) all time high (Amazon, Costco, Home Depot, WalMart etc)
On the Other hand....
- Electronics provider Best Buy on Tuesday cut its full-year sales forecast as it missed Wall Street's quarterly revenue expectations and a fresh batch of iPhones and AI-enabled laptops weren't enough to drive higher sales.
- The consumer electronics retailer said it now expects full-year revenue to range from $41.1 billion to $41.5 billion, compared to prior guidance of $41.3 billion to $41.9 billion.
- It expects full-year comparable sales to decline by between 2.5% and 3.5%, compared to its prior expectations of a 1.5% to 3% drop.
Year Top Date Scorecard
S&P Sector Scorecard
AI
- Amazon announced it would invest an additional $4 billion in Anthropic, the artificial intelligence startup founded by ex-OpenAI research executives.
- The new funding brings the tech giant's total investment to $8 billion, though Amazon will retain its position as a minority investor, according to Anthropic, the San Francisco-based startup behind the Claude chatbot and AI model.
- Amazon Web Services will also become Anthropic's "primary cloud and training partner,"
- Amazon does not have a seat on Anthropic's board.
AI - Immigration
- A signature campaign promise of President-elect Donald Trump is to initiate mass deportations of undocumented residents of the United States.
- At a Sept. 12 campaign stop in Tucson, Arizona,
...more
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