China making moves. Elon gets his crown back and reversal of fortunes.
March is just ahead - rates could spoil the party.
Baby Bonds are back on the menu...
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Warm Up
- Lots of News - same old...
- China making moves
- Elon gets the crown back
- Jamie Dimon Speaks Up
- Cool Update From Apple
- And Baby Bonds ....
Market Update
- A down month - short and out
- Large Cap Growth - Beating Large Cap Value this year (small caps tied)
- S&P 500 up ~ 4% for 2023 NASDAQ 100 up 10%!
- Bonds - taking back some of the last month gains
- Gold, Silver walking back on higher USD - Switcheroo
***NO SHOW NEXT WEEK****
Inflation - Not Giving Up
- - The U.S. Federal Reserve may hike interest rates to nearly 6%, BofA Global Research said, as strong U.S. consumer demand and a tight labor market would force the central bank to battle inflation for longer.
- PPI, CPI and PCE come in hot...
- Don't think this is all over, but clearly not moving as fast - looks like we will settle in this area for a while
Vape Wars
- Altria Group Inc. is in discussions to acquire vaping startup Njoy Holdings Inc. for at least $2.75 billion in cash, according to people with knowledge of the situation.
- A deal could be announced as soon as this week, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private. There is also $500 million in follow-up payments if Njoy hits certain regulatory milestones, the people said.
- Altria recently wrote down the value of its investment in Juul to $450 million. The decision to end the noncompete “maximizes our flexibility to compete in the e-vapor space while maintaining our economic interest in Juul,” Altria said in a statement.
- BUT - original investment was $13 billion
- GENIUS PLAN - kill the vaping industry so cigarettes are back in vogue
China Area
- Great slow play for markets...
- Turn from ZERO-Covid to 100% - then keep rolling out more and more
- Hong Kong will drop its COVID-19 mask mandate, chief executive John Lee said on Tuesday, in a move to lure back visitors and business and restore normal life more than three years after stringent rules were first imposed in the financial hub. (945 days)
- ---- Egg Freezing - A member of China's top political advisory body said she would propose allowing unmarried women to access egg freezing as a measure to preserve their fertility after the country's population fell last year for the first time in six decades.
----------- Lu's recommendations come as authorities try to bolster a faltering birth rate with incentives including expanding maternity leave, financial and tax benefits for having children as well as housing subsidies.
More China
- China Renaissance Holdings said in an exchange filing on Sunday that its missing chairman and star dealmaker Bao Fan was currently cooperating with relevant Chinese authorities conducting an investigation.
- Reuters previously reported, citing sources, that authorities took Bao away earlier this month to assist in an investigation into a former colleague, Cong Lin, the company's former president.
Even More China
- Chinese authorities have urged state-owned firms to phase out using the four biggest international accounting firms, signaling continued concerns about data security even after Beijing reached a landmark deal to allow US audit inspections on hundreds of Chinese firms listed in New York.
Target Earnings
- Target (TGT) reported a quarter similar to Walmart's (WMT) last week with a solid Q4 beat on the top and bottom line offset by weak guidance for Q1 and FY23. Q4 adj. EPS fell 41% from an impossible comp while comp sales grew 0.