It doesn't matter how sophisticated a market timing strategy is - it's still a zero-sum game and shares characteristics with gambling.
In a zero-sum game, one person's gain is equivalent to another's loss, so the net change in wealth or benefit is zero.
This implies that there will be winners. But there will also be (mostly) losers.
If you have long-term conviction in an asset - great. Hold for the long term relative to your conviction. In the real world, return on effort matters.
Time in the market > timing the market.
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