“It’s a 50/50 chance—or a coin flip—that in any given year, a major hurricane will hit the U.S based on historical data.” - Dr. Philip Klotzbach

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Weather is becoming easier to predict.

With the advancing technologies and increasing quantities of data, forecasting storms and hurricanes is becoming less and less of a challenge.

And for those of us in the insurance industry, this accuracy and preparedness is incredibly valuable.

That’s why for today’s episode of FNO: InsureTech, we are joined again by Dr. Phil Klotzbach. Dr. Phil Klotzbach is a Research Scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, and among many achievements—he developed the two-week forecasts currently being issued during the peak months of the hurricane season between August-October. He has published over two dozen articles in peer-reviewed journals such as Journal of Climate and Weather and Forecasting.

Tune in to this episode to hear Dr. Klotzbach’s insights, so you know what to look out for this hurricane season.

“Just because June and July are quiet doesn’t mean we can expect the overall season to be as well.” - Dr. Philip Klotzbach

(click to tweet)

The FNO: Tips

• This upcoming hurricane season is being predicted as below normal with 13 main storms
• El Niño is warmer than normal water temperature in the central/tropical Pacific
• In the summer months, the impact of El Niño on the United States is muted
• Preparedness for hurricanes is largely determined by whether or not the person has experienced a hurricane before
• Increasing damage done by hurricanes can largely be explained by increasing population and increasing population along the coasts
• The real danger in climate change lies in the tertiary impact of the weather shifting

Resources

• National Hurricane Center
• Seasonal Hurricane Predictions
• Tropical Tidbits
• Forecast of 2019 Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity

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