Recent polling data reveals a significant shift in the political landscape leading up to the 2026 midterms, with Republicans gaining a four-point lead over Democrats according to RMG Research. This change is attributed to two crucial factors: redistricting and voter registration trends, which are favoring the GOP. As Democrats struggle with declining voter registration, particularly in key states like Pennsylvania and North Carolina, the Republican Party appears poised to secure a majority in the House without needing to flip contested seats.

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Highlights:

• "Republicans hold a four-point advantage over Democrats in the latest RMG poll."
• "Key factors influencing midterm outcomes are redistricting and voter registration trends."
• "Democrats have lost over 40% of their voter registration advantage in Pennsylvania since 2020."
• "North Carolina is on the brink of flipping Republican due to significant voter registration changes."

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