Establish the Edge Fantasy Football

Mike Leone is joined by Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge to help you identify some potential breakout sleepers for fantasy this season, especially for keeper leagues. The duo discuss:

-Legendary RB Upside
-Profitability of Rookie WRs
-A Small Miss, Big Hit Philosophy
-Acting Fast on the Waiver Wire
-IR Stashes
-Specific Players Who Can Make Big Leaps

For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Mike Leone's ETR Establish the Million cohost Drew Dinkmeyer joins the show to talk about dominating your home league. Unlike sharp leagues where our edge is primarily in roster construction, home leagues have a lot more potential edges - roster construction, waivers/trades, player evaluation, etc. With all of these potential avenues to get and edge on our opponents, how do we truly maximize our chances of winning?

More specifically, the two discuss:
-When to take players relative to ADP
-Understanding your league settings
-Do we prioritize and pull back from extreme strategies like Zero RB in home leagues?
-Do we prioritize or pull back from drafting elite onesies (QB/TE) in home leagues?
-Is QB streaming viable?
-What types of players should we take late in drafts
-How can we take advantage of fantasy game provider settings

For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Shawn Siegele of RotoViz joins Mike Leone to talk about WR heavy drafting, or Zero RB, and specifically how to apply that to NFFC drafts. To do this, Mike and Shawn recap one of Mike's recent NFFC drafts from the 12-spot. The pair hit on:

-How/why does Zero RB work and what exactly is it
-Why you want 6 Top 15 WRs if possible
-Elite TEs are undervalued on NFFC
-When to take detours for RBs early
-Pushing your WR edge to the max
-Valuing breakout WRs over WRs with a higher base projection
-Rondale Moore's value
-What type of RBs to target in this roster construction
-Putting together a Late-Round QB plan that has upside

For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Make sure to read Shawn's article referenced in the podcast - Zero RB, AntiFragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting: https://www.rotoviz.com/2013/11/zero-rb-antifragility-and-the-myth-of-value-based-drafting/

You can also catch Shawn on various RotoViz Podcasts, including:
-Stealing Bananas with Ben Gretch: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stealing-bananas/id1573819944
-RotoViz Overtime with Colm Kelly: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/rotoviz-overtime/id1289057826

Anthony Amico joins Mike Leone on the Establish the Edge podcast to talk 2QB and SuperFlex redraft strategy:

-How early can/should you take your first QB?
-Why the number of flex spots matters
-Zero RB is enhanced in SuperFlex leagues
-The importance of being tethered to market value
-The Hero QB strategy
-Rookie QBs are the skeleton key to success in any format this season

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Mike Leone takes a look at the 2020 Best Ball Mania data to determine why extreme RB strategies were successful. Despite being seemingly at odds with one another, players that took RBs early but not a lot of them (HyperFragile) and players that took no RBs early but took a lot of them (Zero RB) were among the most profitable builds last season.

This podcast looks into what makes those strategies work on Underdog Fantasy and how we can potentially enjoy the best of both worlds. Mike delves into:
-HyperFragile builds maximize win rates when you make a good RB selection
-Zero RB builds maximize your likelihood of making a profitable early pick
-Both builds take advantage of WRs outscoring RBs at each point in the draft but in different ways
-There are archetypes of RBs that are better suited for Zero RB builds than HyperFragile builds and others we should be targeting no matter what

You can follow all of Mike's work at establishtherun.com, and you can find the full data on this topic in his article here: https://establishtherun.com/reverse-engineering-extreme-rb-strategies-on-underdog/

In Part 8 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the NFC East and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

More specifically, the pair dive into:
-CeeDee Lamb or Amari Cooper? What is Zeke's upside?
-Antonio Gibson's league winning upside
-Kenny Golladay is NOT this year's Stefon Diggs
-Is Miles Sanders undervalued or lacking meaningful upside regardless of price?

Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

In Part 7 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the NFC West and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

More specifically, the pair dive into:
-The value of Chase Edmonds and James Conner
-We shouldn't be concerned about the Seattle passing game
-The market is under reacting to Darrell Henderson
-The 49ers leading the NFL in scoring

Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

Adam Levitan, Justin Herzig, and Mike Leone review an ETR subscriber's Best Ball Puppy draft. The trio diagnose what went right. what went wrong, and teach viewers the best way to approach this tournament.

In this show we discuss:

-WR Thirsty Drafts
-Stacking
-Roster Construction
-Prioritizing Finishing Top 2 in League

Watch the full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEIJScHButM&t=3s

NOTE: All ETR Draft Kit subscribers will get a free credit (up to $35) to use on Underdog Fantasy: https://underdogfantasy.com/?_branch_match_id=835499789598948157&utm_source=partner

For details, click here: https://establishtherun.com/how-to-claim-your-free-10-underdog-fantasy-credit/

In Part 6 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the NFC North and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

More specifically, the pair dive into:
-Davante Adams and Aaron Jones profit potential if Rodgers return
-Ben mistaking a Rodgers Tweet about the Milwaukee Bucks as confirmation of his return to the Packers
-Is D'Andre Swift a RB dead zone exception?
-Adam Thielen - 5th round value or aging WR to avoid?
-Justin Fields' upside

Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

Pat Kerrane is welcomed back to the Establish the Edge podcast with open arms. Pat and host Mike Leone discuss two of Pat's excellent articles with NBC Sports Edge, their impact on our redraft strategy, and how the applications are a bit different between managed and best ball leagues.

More specifically the duo discuss:
-Ezekiel Elliott's unique distribution of potential outcomes and his value as a result
-Antonio Gibson's league winning upside
-The Cam Akers injury breaking live on air
-Rookie WRs putting up profitable seasons via efficiency
-Why the uncertainty around rookie WRs is important to target, especially in managed formats

Pat's Articles:
Early Round RBs Need Legendary Upside: https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/edge/article/numbers/early-round-rbs-need-legendary-upside

Rookie WRs Are Winning Best Ball Leagues: https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/edge/article/numbers/rookie-wrs-are-winning-best-ball-leagues