Wednesday 21st September 2022

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Bond yields have pushed higher in the US and the UK ahead of the Fed and the Bank of England meetings tomorrow. NAB’s Taylor Nugent says the expectation is still for a 75 bp hike, although that was the assumption for the Riksbank too, but they lifted rates by 100 yesterday. But as Taylor points out, they are starting from a lower base. But are there signs that inflation is easing. Oil is down, China is reopening, Hong Kong has eased restrictions and Taiwan is busy responding to demands for new iPhones. Is life starting to get back to normal and could easing of supply pressures bring prices down? Or simply create yet more demand? Ukraine presents further risk today, with Russia planning sham referendums in captured territories, which has the potential to escalate the war. 

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