Football Picks

The Stephie Smalls Show is back talking NFL Draft betting, fantasy football sleepers, and breaking NFL news with Dave Kluge from Footballguys Fantasy Football.

Stephie and Dave react to the surprising DJ Moore trade to the Buffalo Bills, what it means for Josh Allen and the Bills offense, and why the Chicago Bears may have quietly won the deal. They also discuss the Bears’ young offensive core featuring Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, and Colston Loveland and whether Chicago is a sneaky over bet on their win total this season.

Then the conversation shifts to the 2026 NFL Draft running back class, including why Jeremiah Love is viewed as the clear RB1 in the class and where he might land. Possible landing spots include the Washington Commanders, Kansas City Chiefs, Tennessee Titans, and Arizona Cardinals.

Dave also highlights several fantasy football sleepers and rookie draft targets, including:

• Emmit Johnson – a pass-catching running back with comparisons to Ahmad Bradshaw

The show also breaks down NFL free agency storylines including:

• Kyler Murray potentially landing with the Minnesota Vikings

Plus, Dave explains how fantasy managers should approach rookie drafts and whether it’s better to bet on talent or situation when evaluating incoming NFL rookies.

If you love NFL Draft analysis, fantasy football strategy, and betting insights, this episode is packed with takes.

0:00 - Intro

#nfldraft #nflbetting #stephiesmalls

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JMark and Miranda return to cover major NFL news, including trades of David Montgomery to the Texans, Trent McDuffie to the Rams, and DJ Moore to the Bills, plus key re-signings, franchise tags, releases (including Stefon Diggs, Aaron Jones, Marshon Lattimore, and Kyler Murray), and rumors involving Justin Fields, AJ Brown, Deebo Samuel, and Vikings cap issues. They also discuss Bears-related impacts like Drew Dalman’s retirement and potential roster needs.

And of course, Old-Fashioned Football talks whiskey. This week they're drinking Keeper’s Heart American Pot Still in an old-fashioned. They score the bottle, cocktail, nose, and taste. Jmark and Mir also share highlights from a Valentine’s trip and an old-fashioned flight at O’Shaughnessy Distilling. 

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The NFL Win Totals are officially out and Stephie Smalls is wasting no time attacking the board. CJ Sullivan (Bottom Line Bombs, SGPN) joins the show to break down next season’s numbers before free agency, the draft, and the schedule release shake everything up.

They start at the bottom of the board in the 4.5 win tier, where CJ locks in Cardinals over 4.5 as an early position, expecting that number to rise once offseason optimism kicks in. From there, they move through the 5.5 and 6.5 ranges, debating teams like the Jets, Raiders, Titans, and Browns. CJ makes a strong case for Browns under, pointing to concerns with the roster and offensive line issues heading into the year.

Stephie shows love to Carolina over 6.5, banking on Bryce Young’s development and a manageable division. They also dig into mid-tier teams with tricky numbers and discuss how market perception can create early value before the public jumps in.

As they climb higher up the board, they break down playoff hopefuls, division contenders, and potential regression candidates. The conversation covers strategy, timing, and how to approach futures before major roster moves are finalized.

After the win total breakdown, Producer Ryan joins for Extra Holes with the weekly funny lists and announcements about new offseason segments, including Ask Smalls Anything, where fans can leave voicemails for future Spotify exclusives.

If you’re betting NFL futures, this is your early roadmap.

0:00 - Intro

0:50 - Welcome CJ Sullivan on

2:33 - Explaining win totals approach

5:34 - Cardinals early over bet

8:09 - Jets Raiders debate begins

10:20 - Panthers optimism discussion starts

11:18 - Browns Titans under conversation

13:45 - Offensive line concerns Cleveland

15:33 - Falcons Saints Giants breakdown

18:10 - Mid tier regression candidates

22:05 - Playoff hopefuls ceiling talk

26:40 - Division futures strategy segment

31:15 - Timing market movement angles

36:50 - Producer Ryan joins

39:30 - Extra Holes funny lists

44:10 - Announcing offseason show schedule

47:25 - Ask Smalls Anything launch

50:00 - Final thoughts futures recap

👉 Don’t forget to subscribe, rate, and review the podcast! It helps us grow and lets Stephie keep bringing the heat.

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JMark hosts solo with Miranda out due to work. He recaps a disappointing Super Bowl and previewing what’s next for the Seahawks and Patriots. This includes roster notes, draft capital, 2026 opponents, and futures prices. (Seattle +125 to win the division, 7.5/1 Super Bowl; New England +130 division, 17/1 Super Bowl).

JMark runs through early NFL offseason news including Cowboys, Falcons, Commanders, 49ers and Jets roster news.

He also previews UFL changes such as no punting past midfield, 4-point 60+ yard FGs, one-foot catchesand more.

Finally, JMark reviews Keeper’s Heart Irish-American whiskey finished in orange sherry barrels.

00:00 Show Intro

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Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) take a way too early NFL futures look with their NFL win total openers podcast. They go through every NFL team and give their instant reaction to their 2026 NFL win total. Additionally they discuss who was more at fault for the problems in Baltimore, John Harbaugh or Lamar Jackson?

Podcast Chapters

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Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) and Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) are already talking 2026 in their first NFL best ball draft. They talk overall NFL best ball draft strategy and put together their first best ball teams of the season. Additionally they discuss Ryan passion for fruity alcohol drinks and Deshaun Watson.

Podcast Chapters

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Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) and Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) are giving their best bets in the NFL next team odds podcast. They're joined by CJ Sullivan (@CJSullivan_) from The Bottom Line Bombs podcast to break down what players end up where. Additionally they break down the next team for Kyler Murray, Tua Tagovailoa and Maxx Crosby.

Podcast Chapters
00:00 Intro
00:56 Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast + Moneyline Mac ‘Out of Gas’ Story
06:41 Wardrobe Talk: Sean’s Non-Green Shirt & Studio ‘Locker Room’ Continuity
09:49 What Are ‘Next Team’ Prediction Markets? Fine Print, Fees & Market Mechanics
15:57 Tua Tagovailoa Next Team Odds: Dead Cap, Trade Paths & Best Fits
28:23 Kyler Murray Next Team Odds: Market Glitches, Jets Buzz & Atlanta Angle
39:58 Maxx Crosby Trade Market: Raiders stay/retire vs the field
51:19 Tyreek Hill Next Team: Ravens buzz, Chiefs skepticism, Chargers reunion
57:02 Quick Hit: AJ Brown trade rumors, best fits, and 'stay' vs move
01:02:42 Giants Corner: AJ Brown to NY? Harbaugh power moves and ownership mess
01:13:21 Thank You for Participating in the Sports Gambling Podcast

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Super Bowl LX is in the books, and The Stephie Smalls Show is handing out the only awards that matter: Dads & Duds. Stephie is joined by returning guest Green Means Go! (and loud-and-proud Seahawks superfan) to recap a very “defense-and-running-game” kind of night as the Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots.

On the Dads side, they give flowers to head coach Mike McDonald for quietly building a monster defense, and to Sam Darnold for capping his redemption season with a Super Bowl win (plus the scheme love for Clint Kubiak). They dig into why Seattle’s defense never got enough mainstream hype—shouting out names like Devon Witherspoon and Uchenna Nwosu—and why the game flow screamed “Kenneth Walker” even before the final whistle. And yes: the kicking game gets its moment, with Jason Myers’ massive season (including the playoffs) putting him firmly in Dad territory.

Then it’s time for the Duds (therapeutic hating, responsibly). The Patriots’ offense and Drake Maye’s rough postseason get discussed, along with a brutal night for rookie lineman Will Campbell. They also hit prop-bet heartbreak featuring names like Rasheed Shaheed, Austin Hooper, Pop Douglas, and Kayshon Boutte, plus a little side-eye for Puka Nacua’s online antics.

Subscribe, drop a review, and come argue with us (politely).

0:00 – Show intro
1:20 – First reaction: boring game?
3:10 – Seahawks control game flow
5:05 – Patriots offensive issues
7:30 – Drake Maye postseason struggles
9:45 – Seahawks defense praise
12:10 – Mike McDonald coaching credit
14:40 – Devon Witherspoon impact
17:05 – Nick Nwosu shoutout
19:30 – Kenneth Walker game script
22:15 – Sam Darnold redemption arc
25:40 – Clint Kubiak scheme love
28:50 – Jason Myers kicking props
31:20 – Patriots offensive line problems
34:10 – Will Campbell rough night
37:00 – Prop bets gone wrong
40:05 – Rasheed Shaheed discussion
42:45 – Puka Nacua online antics
45:30 – Dads vs Duds recap
48:10 – Final thoughts & wrap

#superbowllx #nflbetting #sportspodcast #stephiesmalls

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Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) are talking best bets in their way too early Super Bowl 61 odds podcast. They're joined by CJ Sullivan (@CJSullivan_) from The Bottom Line Bombs podcast to talk Super Bowl 61 predictions. Additionally they close out with some more final thoughts from Super Bowl 60 recap.

Podcast Chapters

00:00 Introduction
00:55 Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast
01:07 Football Talk: Super Bowl Recap and Offseason Preview
06:41 Super Bowl Squares and Betting Stories
11:03 Super Bowl LXI Odds
01:04:32 Final Super Bowl LXI Picks

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Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) and Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) talk about all their winners and losers in their Super Bowl LX recap podcast. They do a break down of Super Bowl 60 and all the Super Bowl prop bets that hit and didn't. Additionally they take calls from the listeners including Patriots fan Cousin Mush.

Podcast Chapters
00:00 Introduction
01:01 Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast
02:41 Grading Super Bowl LX Bets and Final Tally
11:41 Listener Calls and Reactions
17:36 Craps Table Adventure
25:13 Winner Announcements and Shoutouts
26:41 Listener Calls and Super Bowl LX Reactions
36:33 March Madness Plans
40:19 Thank You for Participating in the Sports Gambling Podcast

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