FPL Fortress

Today, Donald Trump mentioned UTDTrey in a Tweet—which can only spell disaster for Trump’s campaign, since nobody can escape the Trey jinx. It’s no surprise, then, that the team he reps has steadily been on the decline since he joined Twitter. As Jacob says, United are towing the line between being hated and being forgotten—and for a franchise like Manchester United, the latter might be worse. Gameweek 6 also saw City draw to Newcastle, Arsenal avoid dropping points at the death against Leicester, and a certain Cole Palmer become the first and only player in Premier League history to score four goals in one half of football. We start our Dilemma Deliberations with this starboy—is now the time? Should he have been included in our discussions about the trifecta of Haaland, Salah, and Saka last week? What even is the word for trifecta, but … four? Quadfecta? Superfecta? We then conjecture about whether or not the Philip Walter Foden train is fast approaching the station, and round off the segment with a theoretical lament on our abysmal team values (but seriously, it’s an important issue!). Finally, captaincy indeed seems to be a decision between our newly minted Fantastic Four—which fixture looks like the friendliest of the bunch?

Mikel Arteta almost pulled off the low block of the century against Man City, condemning City to feed their onslaught through Rúben Dias—hardly the most creative player in their team. Due to the nature of this low block (and perhaps due in part to his ghosting tendencies), Kai Havertz completed a grand total of 0 out of 5 attempted passes over the course of the 90 minutes. Nonetheless, he is a contender for the third best Arsenal asset to own, behind Saka and Gabriel, and this assessment forms the meat and potatoes of this episode of the FPL Fortress. Elsewhere, we also discuss whether the nearly 800,000 managers who have bought Luis Díaz made a good choice, as well as a grave mistake that Wildcarders and non-Wildcarders alike seem to be making. Finally, captaincy this week seems to be a relatively close call between the Trifecta—Saka at home to Leicester, Salah away to a Wolves that conceded 6 to Chelsea, or Haaland against a thoroughly unremarkable Newcastle?

The talk of the town is the Gameweek 6 Wildcard. Are Arsenal’s and City’s good fixtures enough to warrant pressing the button? Just how in the mud does your team need to be in order for the Wildcard to be worth it? In this episode, we try to work through these questions and analyze the cheap Isak replacements—though there are many options, few are all that exciting. And for once, the obvious captaincy choice doesn’t seem to be Haaland—but what do you do if you don’t have Mo?

To borrow a phrase from Noni Madueke: everything about this game is s***. Well, not really—in fact, FPL is a really compelling, well designed game, especially with this year’s pricing—but it can feel pretty awful when the team you spent the entire summer tinkering with, and one that looks quite decent on paper, just kind of flops after the first couple of weeks. Alas, it is what it is—and though that may sound defeatist, I’m using it in the defiant way here, in the sense that we’re accepting what’s transpired and blazing onwards, unfazed. The meat and potatoes of this first midweek episode are about how to deal with a bad start (which, generally speaking, both Jacob and Jiayang have suffered). Sprinkled within is a neat little debate about when the best moment to get Ollie Watkins might be, as well as a bit of light economics chitchat.

Welcome to our fifth season here at the FPL Fortress! And believe it or not, despite being in the business for so long, it’s our very first season preview. We’re very excited to share our thoughts in a couple of different areas: we’ll start with all the new rule changes, then we’ll talk about player pricing through the lens of “pricing tiers” (e.g. the list of midfielders in the £9.5 to £10.5 range), and finally we’ll discuss our first drafts. Given that not a single minute of Premier League football has actually been played yet, our chat is a little more theoretical, and you’ll get to see how the differences in Jacob and Jiayang’s FPL philosophies manifest in our team selections. Happy listening and happy tinkering!

And just like that, the 2023/24 season comes to a close. It’s been a pretty good one—both of us enjoyed our best ever finishes, and there have been a number of memorable moments, from Palmer’s 26-pointer to the mouth-watering Gameweek 34 Free Hit. In what is now customary fashion for the Fortress’s season reviews, we assign our superlatives, which include Player of the Season, Most Consistent, Purplest Patch, most maddening to own, and favorite moments. Then, it’s the classic Breakout XI (Jacob’s second-favorite segment) and Flop XI (Jacob’s favorite segment). Finally, we finish off with our reflections and lessons learned going into next season. We have greatly enjoyed keeping the Fortress going strong during our busy first year of college, and wish everyone a healthy green summer!

A bald striker who likes to tuck in his shirt and bangs in goals for fun? No, he’s not Ronaldo Nazario in the early 2000s while he was playing for Real Madrid. No, he’s arguably even better (and certainly more of an FPL hero at the very least). The club is Crystal Palace, the time is April 2024, the number on his shirt is 14, and the man of the moment is Jean-Philippe Mateta. His whopping 29 points is the capstone of, quite frankly, a feast of a gameweek—one in which the top-scoring FPL team (aptly called “Hakuna Mateta!”) ended on 216 points. Funnily enough, the popular Liverpool assets turned out to be the big disappointments, with the triple-up of Salah, van Dijk, and Robertson getting outscored by Will Hughes. It may be tempting to linger forever on DGW 34, but we must set our sights on the few remaining gameweeks of the season. To that end, we discuss which Chelsea and Spurs assets are good for DGW 35, the Salah problem (crazy that he’s become a “problem”), and overall transfer strategy before the big DGW 37. Since we won’t have time to record an episode next week, we look at captaincy options for GW 36 in addition to GW 35. Jacob presents an enticing idea that Jiayang may just take up next season…

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Unsurprisingly, this episode centers around creating the perfect Free Hit team for GW 34. (And if you’re not using your Free Hit, hopefully the points we hit on will still be valuable in helping you determine who to prioritize with your precious transfer or two). First, we try to figure out the ideal triple-ups from Liverpool and Arsenal; then, we determine who else should be a lock; and finally, we try to logically fill in the remaining spots in our XI. In this last section, we tackle the thought-provoking and delicate act of weighing 1) a good single gameweek player with a good fixture vs. 2) a slightly worse double gameweek player with two slightly worse fixtures. As for captaincy, Jiayang might just channel his inner Sybill Trelawney…

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On paper, this upcoming gameweek seems like it’ll be the last relatively calm one before the inevitable chaos of the tail end of the season ensues. By examining what the best course of action might be for our own teams, we touch on key topics that will hopefully be relevant for many FPL managers right now, such as whether it’s time to move from Darwin/Solanke to Højlund/Isak/Jackson (yes, Nicolas Jackson). Finally, in our captaincy segment, we’re back to pretty much picking between our two old friends, Mo and Erling—though at the moment, it seems like both are stuck in a bit of a rut. Who, then, to go with? Would it be foolish to make this decision based on the famously reliable metric of xNV—expected Negative Vibes?

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As the title of this episode conveys, we are concerned this gameweek with what words rhyme with Romeo’s close friend in Shakespeare’s classic. The answer we present: TIOotIO (pronounced “ti-OO-shee-oh”). Humor us and take a moment to think about what that might stand for—yes, it’s an acronym. Got a guess? Well, if you landed on “The Ins and Outs of the Ins and Outs,” that you’d be right! And we’re aware of the inconsistency of how the “of” and the “the” are represented in the acronym by lowercase letters while the two “and”s are not; we just like the way it sounds better this way. What this crazy acronym means: we talk about the intricacies of the three most transferred-in and transferred-out players for next gameweek, a topic that is always relevant. Somehow, the topic of capitalization comes up yet again later in the episode when Jiayang talks about his strong—at this point, well-established—preference for captaining a player whose upcoming fixture is spelled out in capital letters next to their name. Near the end of the segment, Jacob gets dangerously close to succumbing to a very self-consciously un-scientific way of making captaincy decisions, though he will hopefully NOT do that by the time the Gameweek 32 deadline rolls around.

Follow us on Twitter: @FplFortress