Gilman and Jackie are back discussing the state of Coronavirus in the US and abroad with updates, changes in current perspective, and analysis of where we expect that the US policy is headed.
The number of positive coronavirus cases continues to grow dramatically in the US, greatest in New YorkA comparison of US to Europe and why we should view the patterns of coronavirus spread in the US more like the European Union as a whole and not each individual European country.It makes no sense to block travel from Italy to the US when we don’t restrict travel from New York to the rest of the United States.If hospital capacity is utilized for coronavirus patients there will be no remaining capacity in may areas to handle other medical emergencies. Lack of hospital capacity impacts more people than just people infected.Washington, New York, and California may deplete national medical and equipment supplies. States impacted at a later date may suffer greater supply shortages because stockpiles have already been distributed to early impacted states.States may stop cooperating and competing with each other and look out for themselves and their own people as resource availability tightens. The same situation is likely to happen between neighboring hospitals, and is already happening in some places.The effect of any policy put into place takes 3-4 weeks before we even see the start of any change.
Places around the world are responding by creating new patient capacity. The real question is how quickly we can ramp up production of supplies and equipment.If our goal is to contain the pandemic, the speed the US is going is not adequate.If countries choose to try quarantine, it needs to be strictly enforced, a part quarantine costs the economy without achieving the desired control of containment.The 15 day plan in place now, is not succeeding to stop the pandemic.The pattern in Europe has been clear. If quarantine is desired, only strict enforcement is respected, lax requirements lead to poor compliance.Testing in the US is going in the wrong direction, recommendations have changed to only test those patients where we think the test results for coronavirus would impact care for that one patient.Rapid coronavirus test, and the impact that it may have.Why chloroquine shows promise that it may actually work to treat the coronavirus, but we still need to prove it. However we can give this to patients now and figure out as we go how effective it is. In fact I have been hearing from physicians in Seattle, that this is being used for patients with respiratory symptoms concerning for coronavirus. There are low levels of coronavirus infection in Africa, this may be because many people in Africa are taking Chloroquine to prevent malaria. This may be protecting them from coronavirus infection.