The Houston Texans’ 2026 schedule is here, and Seth Payne goes game by game to predict wins and losses — while finding a reason to respect, fear, or loathe every opponent on the schedule.

Seth breaks down the Week 1 matchup against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills, Joe Burrow’s Bengals, two division games against the Colts, the Cowboys coming to Houston, the London matchup with the Jaguars, the Chargers’ rebuilt offensive line, the Ravens/Lamar Jackson problem, cold-weather road trips to Pittsburgh, Washington, Philadelphia, and Green Bay, and the season finale against the Titans.

The final prediction: 12-5 — but not because the schedule is easy. Seth explains why last year’s records don’t tell the full story, why Vegas win totals paint a tougher picture, and why teams like the Bengals, Ravens, Giants, Commanders, Jaguars, Packers, and Cowboys could be better than their 2025 records suggest.

Plus, how much of this comes down to C.J. Stroud, the Texans’ improved run game, DeMeco Ryans’ defense, and whether Houston can survive one of the NFL’s tighter schedules.

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