Iran Expert Warns: Breaking Up Iran Will Ignite Regional Chaos.

In this in‑depth briefing, Dr. Harold Rhode explains why plans to carve Iran into ethnic mini‑states are not just unrealistic — they’re a recipe for civil war and regional instability. Despite its many ethnic and religious groups, Iran has a deep, shared cultural identity that most Western policymakers fail to understand.

Dr. Rhode lays out why any serious conversation about Iran regime change must start from the reality of Iranian culture: a powerful attachment to the land and a historic expectation of a strong, unifying leader at the top. He also explores whether figures like Reza Pahlavi could realistically hold the country together after the current regime falls.

We discuss:

• Why Iran is a civilizational state, not an artificial one

• How “breaking up Iran” could ignite chaos across the Middle East

• The danger of Western fantasies about ethnic partition

• Why most citizens still think of themselves as deeply Iranian

• The cultural expectation of a strong leader vs. Western‑style democracy

• Could Reza Pahlavi unify Iran after the regime?

Buy his book on Amazon - https://amzn.to/4acN6b7

#IDSF #Iran #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #Israel #NuclearIran #RegimeChange

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

Is regime change enough to stop a nuclear Iran? Dr. Martin Sherman argues that replacing the leadership in Tehran is a temporary fix for a permanent threat. In this exclusive IDSF briefing, Dr. Sherman presents a "bombshell" strategic alternative: the complete dismantling of the Iranian nation-state.

Drawing parallels to the dissolution of Yugoslavia, Dr. Sherman contends that as long as the centralized Iranian state exists, the aspiration for regional dominance and nuclear weapons will remain—regardless of who sits in the government. His radical proposal? Empowering the oppressed ethnic minorities within Iran to fracture the map and end the Persian hegemony forever.

In this briefing, we cover:

The Regime Change Myth: Why a new government won't stop the nuclear program.

The "Yugoslavia Option": A strategic framework for dissolving the state.

Fracturing the Map: How empowering Kurds, Balochis, and Azeris changes the game.

Permanent Security: Why this is the only path to safety for Israel and the West.

⏱️ Chapters:

0:00 - Intro: A Radical New Strategy

1:22 - Why Regime Change is "A Bridge Too Close"

3:20 - The Dismantlement Strategy: Empowering Minorities

5:38 - The Yugoslavia Model: How to Break a State

7:38 - The Persian Minority Myth: 40% of Iran isn't Persian

9:45 - Stability vs. Instability: Which is Safer?

10:37 - Exposing Iran's Military Weakness

12:38 - Lessons from the 1930s: The Cost of Waiting

17:09 - Why Russia & China Fear a Fractured Iran

18:06 - Conclusion

About Dr. Martin Sherman:

Dr. Martin Sherman is a veteran political analyst and expert on strategic affairs. He challenges the conventional wisdom of the defense establishment, offering bold, out-of-the-box solutions to Israel's most pressing security challenges. Read his article on this topic - https://www.jns.org/iran-state-disintegration-not-regime-change/

#IDSF #Iran #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #Israel #NuclearIran #RegimeChange

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

In this exclusive security briefing, Gen. Avivi reveals the hidden strategy behind the Rafah Crossing opening (0:40) before war-gaming potential US strike scenarios on Iran later in the video (20:00).

We analyze the tactical shift in Gaza and how "US Delay" and influence are shaping the regional strategy. Then, we look forward: Is war with Iran imminent? What would a US-led strike actually look like?

Key Topics Covered:

The Rafah Strategy: Why the crossing opened now.

US Influence: The pressure behind the scenes.

Iran War Scenarios: Targets, timelines, and regional fallout.

TIMESTAMPS:

0:40 - Rafah Crossing Strategy & US Influence

20:00- War Gaming: US Strike on Iran Scenarios

#IDSF #Israel #Iran #GeneralAvivi #GazaWar #Trump #MiddleEastNews #IDF #Rafah #Geopolitics

Purchase General Avivi's book on Amazon — https://amzn.to/3Z6NVNu

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

He was born in Gaza and taught to hate. Today, he lives in Israel as a Jew. This is his unbelievable story.

In this exclusive interview, we hear directly from a man whose life story defies belief. Born and raised in Gaza, he was indoctrinated from a young age to hate Jews and destroy Israel. His path was set: join the terror infrastructure and fight.

Instead, he chose a different path.

Speaking from the shadows he reveals:

The reality of growing up in a Hamas family in Gaza.

The turning point that made him question everything he was taught.

His dangerous escape to Israel.

His spiritual journey from Islam to converting to Judaism.

This is a raw, unfiltered look at the human side of the conflict and the possibility of change even in the darkest of places.

#Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Testimony #IDSF #FromGazaToIsrael #PersonalStory #MiddleEast #Truth

Purchase Dor Shachar's book — https://amzn.to/4rirO2B

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

Are the current Iran protest movements just a nuisance, or do they have enough momentum to finally topple the regime? We sat down with an Iran expert to break down the reality of a potential civil war, the activation of terror cells in the West, and what a "New Iran" would actually look like.

Video Chapters:

0:00 - Intro: Is the Regime actually in danger?

05:43 - Protests vs. Revolution: The tipping point

09:14 - The Supreme Leader: Lynchpin or figurehead?

12:44 - The purpose of a US/Israel strike on Iran

14:55 - Scenario: What does a post-Regime Iran look like?

17:20 - Liberal Democracy or new brand of Shia Islam?

18:30 - Regional reaction: Do Arab neighbors want Iran to fall?

20:40 - The Refugee Crisis: Parallels to Syria

22:05 - Threat Assessment: Sleeper terror cells in the US & Europe

About This Video:

In this briefing from IDSF, we analyze the geopolitical earthquake of a potential Iranian collapse. From the streets of Tehran to the strategic planning rooms in Israel and the US, we discuss if military intervention is designed to protect civilians or decapitate the leadership. We also analyze the scary reality of geopolitics in 2026, specifically if a collapsing regime would activate global terror networks as a final act of defiance.

Visit us in Israel! Join us for a life-changing trip in March. Details at http://idsf-usa.org

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

Brigadier General Amir Avivi reveals why war with Iran is now imminent and outlines the 3 specific scenarios for how it will start.

In this exclusive IDSF briefing, General Avivi breaks down the shifting geopolitical landscape in the Middle East. We discuss the heartbreaking recovery of the last Israeli hostage from Gaza and share new details on the IDF operation. The conversation then shifts to the future: How will the Trump Administration’s "Board of Peace" impact the region? And most critically, General Avivi explains why a direct confrontation with Iran is no longer a question of "if," but "when"—and the three ways it could unfold.

Key Topics Covered:

Iran Conflict: Why the window for diplomacy has closed.

Gaza Update: The recovery of the final hostage and the end of the Gaza campaign.

US Relations: What Trump's new peace strategy means for Israel's security.

Proxy Warfare: How Israel is dismantling the Ring of Fire.

CHAPTERS:

0:00 - "War is Imminent"

0:40 - The Last Hostage: Recovery Mission Details

3:20 - Gaza War Update: The Current Status

4:57 - Trump's "Board of Peace": The New Strategy

14:11 - The 3 Ways War with Iran Starts (Deep Dive)

19:30 - Proxy Warfare & The Northern Front

23:24 - Gen. Avivi’s Message of Hope for Israel

#IDSF #Israel #Iran #GeneralAvivi #GazaWar #Trump #MiddleEastNews #IDF

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

The USS Abraham Lincoln is moving. F-15s have landed in Jordan. Is this a bluff, or are we watching the final preparations for a US strike on Iran? The "Midnight Hammer" pattern explained.

In this war briefing, we analyze the specific military buildup happening right now in the Middle East (Jan 2026). President Trump’s rhetoric parallels the warnings before the 2025 "Operation Midnight Hammer," but the target this time might not just be nuclear sites—it could be the Regime itself.

We break down the "3-Step Pattern" of US Military Operations:

The Threat

The Buildup

The Strike

Key Topics Covered:

The Buildup: Tracking the USS Abraham Lincoln and the 494th Fighter Squadron. How this differs from the "Twelve-Day War" of 2025 and why a "Decapitation Strike" is more likely than a full invasion.

Recent Historical Analysis: Comparing the current Iran strategy to US operations in Yemen, Venezuela, and Syria.

#Iran #USMilitary #Trump #MiddleEast #WarGaming #IDSF #MidnightHammer

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp

In this episode we discuss how tons of illegal weapons cross into Israel right under the nose of security forces. We explain the routes, and the foreign players funding the operation.

While all eyes are on the external threats from Hezbollah and Hamas, a massive strategic threat is growing within Israel’s own borders. In this exclusive briefing, David M. Weinberg breaks down the "untold story" of the illegal weapons epidemic plaguing the country.

From the failure of the Oslo Accords to the modern drone smuggling routes funded by Iran, we expose how 13,000+ weapons enter Israel every single month—and why the IDF and police have failed to stop it for three decades.

**🔗 Connect with IDSF - Israel's Defense and Security Forum:**

* Website: idsf-usa.org

* Join the Live Briefing: http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

* Support Our Work: https://idsf-usa.org/#donate

* Subscribe for more insights: http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

#Iran #USMiddleEast #IDF #GazaWar #Hamas #Syria #RegionalSecurity #AmirAvivi #MiddleEastConflict #Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #IsraelDefense

In this critical episode, Brigadier General Amir Avivi (Res.) dives deep into the most pressing security challenges facing the Middle East today. Join us as Gen. Avivi unpacks:

🇮🇷 **US & Iran: The Looming Question** (00:26)

Why has the U.S. *still* not struck Iran? Gen. Avivi provides an exclusive analysis on the strategic implications of America's hesitant stance, assessing the likelihood of future strikes and the potential extent of Israeli involvement if military action proceeds. What are the regional consequences of this geopolitical chess match?

🇸🇾 **Syria's Instability: The Julani Regime & Regional Spillovers** (05:13)

We shift focus to Syria, where the instability of the Julani regime poses significant threats. Gen. Avivi explains the complex dynamics at play and how internal Syrian conflicts could spill over, impacting regional security and potentially drawing in other players.

🇵🇸 **Gaza's Standstill: Finishing the Job Against Hamas** (18:08)

The conversation culminates with a stark assessment of the current phase of the war in Gaza. Gen. Avivi articulates why the ongoing standstill is unsustainable, emphasizing the IDF's urgent need to "finish the job" against Hamas, who are actively rearming themselves. Discover the strategic imperatives to prevent a resurgence of terror from Gaza.

This is a must-watch discussion for anyone seeking authoritative, unfiltered analysis on the future of Middle East security.

**🔥 Key Discussion Points:**

* America’s calculus on Iran strikes.

* Israel's red lines regarding Iranian aggression.

* The volatile situation with the Julani regime in Syria.

* The strategic necessity of dismantling Hamas’s capabilities fully.

* The danger of Hamas rearming during a standstill.

**🔗 Connect with IDSF - Israel's Defense and Security Forum:**

* Website: idsf-usa.org

* Join the Live Briefing: http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

* Support Our Work: https://idsf-usa.org/#donate

* Subscribe for more insights: http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

#Iran #USMiddleEast #IDF #GazaWar #Hamas #Syria #RegionalSecurity #AmirAvivi #MiddleEastConflict #Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #IsraelDefense

Is a new "Islamic NATO" rising in the Middle East? 🌍

In this episode, we break down the massive new Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan—and why Turkey is now racing to join this powerful military alliance.

This trilateral pact could reshape global geopolitics. By combining Saudi Arabia's financial power, Pakistan's nuclear capabilities, and Turkey's advanced technology and NATO-standard military, this new bloc represents a major shift in the balance of power.

Eran Lahav from the Middle East Desk at the David Institute provides a deep dive into why this new alliance is something that we must carefully follow.

📌 In this video, we cover:

The details of the Saudi-Pakistan defense deal

Why Turkey wants to join this new "Islamic NATO" concept

How this alliance challenges US influence in the region

How this could impact Israel

#SaudiArabia #Pakistan #Turkey #Geopolitics #IslamicNATO #MilitaryAlliance #MiddleEastNews #internationalrelations

This is an episode from the IDSF Daily Briefings. To sign up to view the LIVE briefings every day, click here — http://bit.ly/IDSFBriefings

Join the IDSF mailing list to receive updates from Israel and special invitations - http://bit.ly/3IC2ptZ

Join the IDSF WhatsApp community to receive video clips of our briefings, and updates:

http://bit.ly/IDSFWhatsapp