Brown Advisory CIO Perspectives

Inflation, “Greenflation” and Tech Regulation


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As we enter the fourth quarter, we wanted to drill down on one of the key themes of the year: inflation The discussion drills down into how transitory inflation may actually be, and how we have been positioning portfolios. We also discuss “greenflation,” why the semiconductor shortage is playing an outsized role in inflation and why a potential capital expenditure boom could help subside inflationary pressures over the longer term. We touch on some of the other major issues that may be top of mind for investors. This includes China, where we've seen regulatory crackdowns and concerns about its real estate sector weighing not just on China but on emerging markets more broadly. The group also discusses what these developments may mean for portfolio positioning. We also look at the technology sector where some high-profile tech giants are facing increasing regulatory scrutiny. As the COVID-19 crisis recedes, lawmakers around the world may be using newfound bandwidth to revisit tech regulation.

Guests:
Sid Ahl, CFA, CIO for Private Client, Endowments and Foundations, Brown Advisory
Erika Pagel, CIO of Sustainable Investing, Brown Advisory
Tom Graff, CFA, Portfolio Manager; Head of Fixed Income, Brown Advisory
Lauren Cahalan, Investigative Analyst, Brown Advisory

The views expressed are those of the author and Brown Advisory as of the date referenced and are subject to change at any time based on market or other conditions. These views are not intended to be and should not be relied upon as investment advice and are not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance, and you may not get back the amount invested. The information provided in this material is not intended to be and should not be considered to be a recommendation or suggestion to engage in or refrain from a particular course of action or to make or hold a particular investment or pursue a particular investment strategy, including whether or not to buy, sell, or hold any of the securities mentioned. It should not be assumed that investments in such securities have been or will be profitable. To the extent specific securities are mentioned, they have been selected by the author on an objective basis to illustrate views expressed in the commentary and do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold or recommended for advisory clients. The information contained herein has been prepared from sources believed reliable but is not guaranteed by us as to its timeliness or accuracy and is not a complete summary or statement of all available data. This piece is intended solely for our clients and prospective clients, is for informational purposes only and is not individually tailored for or directed to any particular client or prospective client.

 

Any business or tax discussion contained in this communication is not intended as a thorough, in-depth analysis of specific issues. Brown Advisory does not render legal or tax advice. Prior to making an investment decision, a prospective investor should consult with its own legal, tax, accounting and other advisors to determine the potential benefits, burdens, and other consequences of such investment.

All investments involve risk. The value of the investment and the income from it will vary. There is no guarantee that the initial investment will be returned.

Sustainable investment considerations are one of multiple informational inputs into the investment process, alongside data on traditional financial factors, and so are not the sole driver of decision making. Sustainable investment analysis may not be performed for every holding in every strategy. Sustainable investment considerations that are material will vary by investment style, sector/industry, market trends and client objectives. Certain strategies seek to identify companies that we believe may be desirable based on our analysis of sustainable investment related risks and opportunities, but investors may differ in their views. As a result, these strategies may invest in companies that do not reflect the beliefs and values of any particular investor. Certain strategies may also invest in companies that would otherwise be excluded from other funds that focus on sustainable investment risks. Security selection will be impacted by the combined focus on sustainable investment research assessments and fundamental research assessments including the return forecasts. These strategies incorporate data from third parties in its research process but do not make investment decisions based on third-party data alone. 

 

The S&P 500® Index represents the large-cap segment of the U.S. equity markets and consists of approximately 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. Criteria evaluated include market capitalization, financial viability, liquidity, public float, sector representation and corporate structure. An index constituent must also be considered a U.S. company. Standard & Poor’s, S&P, and S&P 500 are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”), a subsidiary of S&P Global Inc.

 

The Russell 2000® Value Index measures the performance of the large cap value segment of the US equity universe. It includes those Russell 2000 companies with relatively lower price-to-book ratios, lower I/B/E/S forecast medium term (2 year) growth and lower sales per share historical growth (5 years). The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure new and growing equities are included and that the represented companies continue to reflect value characteristics. 

 

The Russell 2000® Value Index, and Russell® are trademarks/service marks of the London Stock Exchange Group companies.

 

An investor cannot invest directly into an index. 

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Brown Advisory CIO PerspectivesBy Brown Advisory

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