Inside Markets

Higher realized volatility remains our primary concern.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected]

Breakdowns in cyclically-sensitive indices are now leading the broader US benchmarks lower.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected]

Equity volatility has advanced from a mid-September low.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

US consumer strength has been a major reason to doubt near-term recession risk all year, but some cracks are beginning to show.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

Yesterday, the Russell 2000 (RTY) broke support near its 200-day moving average after a bearish distribution pattern developed in late August.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

The intrigue for today's meeting is mostly focused on the updated dot plot.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

We remain tactically bearish as developed markets form distribution patterns amid rising yields and rising crude prices.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

The Fed is widely expected to pause at this week’s meeting. The updated dot plot seems to be the wildcard with a ~30% chance for the median dot to price out another 25bp hike for 2023.  

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

European equity indices are in the early stages of forming what looks like technical distribution patterns.

Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to [email protected].

Headline CPI should decline over three consecutive months beginning in January and the Fed will signal an end to its tightening cycle in February or March.