Investment Insights

After a bright start, US mortgage-backed securities face a sunnier year in which this fixed income asset class could reverse part of the gloomy outcome of a challenging and volatile 2022. In this Talking heads podcast, John Carey, head of structured securities, tells chief market strategist  Daniel Morris that the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) segment now presents a reasonable choice for fixed income investors. It offers the prospect of significant yield pick-up relative to US Treasuries,  high credit quality and stable cash flows in a market environment where recession could cloud the appeal of corporate bonds and equities.

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In what can be expected to still be volatile currency markets, the US dollar looks set to lose further ground in 2023 as its lustre as a high-yielding hedge fades. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with John Bradley, head of foreign exchange, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the dollar’s sizeable correction in recent months and the likelihood that currency markets will see more interest in non-dollar cross rates. 

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We anticipate a better year for emerging market corporate debt on the back of a brighter outlook for China and the wider Asian region. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Alaa Bushehri, head of emerging market credit, as she tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris that her highest convictions include China real estate, Indian renewables, Macau and selected South Korea sectors.

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Since biodiversity loss affects large swaths of the economy, it should be front of mind for investors. Not least because, as Adam Kanzer, head of stewardship for the Americas, points out, nature loss also makes meeting the world’s climate goals harder. 

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Sergey Pergamentsev, head of Institutional Structured Management in the Multi Asset Quantitative and Solutions team, and co-head of the Investment Insights Centre Andrew Craig discuss recent developments in liability-driven investing (LDI), a strategy institutional investors such as pension funds use to match investments and future liabilities. 

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The sell-off in bond markets this year has driven yields to levels that merit closer attention, says

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Slower growth (and eventually, lower rates of inflation) will likely come in 2023 thanks to restrictive central bank monetary policy. What conclusions should investors draw for their allocations to equities and fixed income around the world? 

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Thematic environmental strategies face countervailing forces in the near term. Support may come from the ‘green shoots’ of the recent growth stock recovery, offset by the downdraft of recessionary risk. Investors with a longer-term view should stay focused on the tailwinds and enduring drivers of demand including regulatory and legislative support. 

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While many bond investors have felt the earth move under the feet this year as the asset class experienced the finale of a 50-year bull market, the denouement has not stripped them of opportunities, Arnaud-Guilhem Lamy, head of euro aggregate bond management strategies, tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris. 

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As part of its contribution to the low carbon energy transition, BNP Paribas Asset Management is taking action and implementing best practice, including in its investment strategies. This includes working with clients on decarbonisation and setting internal targets to progressively increase the share of assets under management aligned with net zero greenhouse gas emissions. 

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