The Iran War Is Hitting Wallets Gas is up 21% — the biggest spike since 1967 — and diesel has jumped more than $2 a gallon. We dig into how the ongoing Iran conflict is driving inflation and why Trump’s “lower energy costs” promise is looking increasingly hollow. War Powers Resolutions, 25th Amendment talk, and a declared victory that doesn’t quite feel like one round out the national picture.
Iowa’s Delegation Is Hiding The Iowa Republican delegation has gone almost completely silent — no real comment on the war, the Easter tweets, or the gas prices constituents are grumbling about every time they fill up. We’re especially surprised Joni Ernst, in her final term with nothing to lose, hasn’t said a word.
Property Tax Standoff The Iowa Senate passed a bipartisan property tax reform bill — and now the real fight begins. The Senate and House are philosophically miles apart: soft cap vs. hard cap, gas tax vs. no gas tax, age-based relief vs. universal relief. Something has to pass, but nobody can quite see where the middle is.
Feenstra Pokes the ESA Hornet’s Nest Randy Feenstra said private schools taking voucher money should have to accept any student, period. The blowback was swift. It’s probably a great general election position — just maybe not a great primary one.
Walz vs. Turek: Gloves Off At a Wednesday forum, Zach Walz went sharper than expected for a candidate who appears to be ahead — hitting Turek on super PAC money and an immigration vote. Turek kept it positive, leaning on his one argument: he’s already won in Trump country. The race feels closer than the polling lets on.
AI generated transcript below:
Dave Price: Hi, everybody, and welcome back to another edition of Iowa Down Ballot Podcast. I’m Dave Price, along with my Iowa Writers Collaboratives cohorts, Kathie Obradovich and Laura Belin. Happy weekend, ladies!
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Laura Belin: Happy Friday!
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Dave Price: We were just having a long discussion about technology. Friend or foe? You decide. Mostly a friend. I was just sharing how we had this unexpected issue in our house right before a TV live shot, because I was using my home studio, and my daughter inadvertently, playing with her friends, like, kicked out the modem, and…
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Dave Price: It was, like, 40 minutes of drama, me running from room to room trying to figure out why it didn’t work, and in the end, I couldn’t fix it, and the company did. I’ll spare everybody the details, but…
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Dave Price: I was sweaty and out of breath right before I was trying to go on TV and talk, but in the end, it all worked out, so… Technology ended up being our friend.
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Laura Belin: But she can smell your fear, Dave.
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Dave Price: I’m sure they smelled it, because, oh my gosh, yeah, I was sweating blood for a while. I’m thinking, how… you know, like, some… especially with technology, like, sometimes you just don’t know how to solve it. And so that’s what… it was my own fear. I’m like, I’m not smart enough to solve this.
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Dave Price: But my live shot is at 6.07 on TV last night, and I needed to be ready before then, and…
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Laura Belin: You made it.
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Dave Price: the company fixed it. Whatever the heck it was, they finally fixed it. So here we are. Okay, so let’s catch up on a few things. I feel like,
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Dave Price: our list is sort of growing of things I wanted to get into this week, but, Kathie, how about you lead off today? Although, the headline, we’re not going to go deep into this, but did you both see some of the national numbers about
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Dave Price: what the war with Iran has done to inflation, so 3.3%, diesel costs are up, like, more than 2 bucks a gallon. Regular gas is up, like, 21%, biggest increase since 1967.
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Dave Price: I don’t know if we have a ceasefire or don’t have ceasefire, I never quite understood the provisions of
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Dave Price: who’s controlling the straight, and if things have changed, and if… I don’t understand all of it, but I just think that’s something worth… worth watching here. I’m curious the people’s patience level as they keep seeing these higher costs.
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Laura Belin: I mean, well, I keep seeing that these gas prices are not going to come down, maybe, for the whole rest of the year. I mean, even if the ceasefire holds, there’s so much disruption, and some of the production facilities have been destroyed, so…
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, it’s… it’s off-brand for Trump, given that he campaigned on, you know, lowering gas.
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Dave Price: That’s.
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Kathie Obradovich: etc. And, you know, as this conflict drags on and on and on, his, you know, reassurance that this is just a blip, and that oil and gas prices are going to go right back down once the
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Kathie Obradovich: You know, once they’ve declared victory, which both Trump and Hegseth, I believe, did declare victory this week.
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Kathie Obradovich: Although their negotiations with Iran are far from settled. So, I do think that we have, an ongoing situation. There’s more talk in Congress about war power resolutions.
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Kathie Obradovich: you know, sort of a… you’ve got Congress on, on recess right now, so… but they have, like, little Gavilan sessions, kind of like the legislature does when they’re not in session. There were some Democrats who tried to bring up a war powers resolution during the Gavilan section… session.
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Dave Price: pursue.
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Kathie Obradovich: You know, of course it was not, it was not successful, obviously, but, you know, I think we haven’t heard the last of that, and I think it’s entirely possible that there will be more Republicans that come on board with the War Powers Resolution as this goes on, and then you’ve also got this sort of renewed 25th Amendment.
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Kathie Obradovich: effort that, you know, trying to remove, Trump from office because of his comments on Easter and afterward about, you know, destroying a whole civilization in Iran. So… so I do think that we’re not hearing the last of this, and, I mean, it’s… the timing of it just virtually guarantees that it’s going to be a major campaign issue.
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Dave Price: Have you both noticed how quiet the Iowa delegation has been with this? And I’m… I mean, I… obviously the… I didn’t expect any of them to get up and tweet after
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Dave Price: however you want to characterize Trump’s Easter message when he’s threatening to wipe away an entire, civilization, sort of a two-part, series of tweets that he had done over a couple of days. But, I feel like almost with… maybe initially.
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Dave Price: with the war, there was, there was a show of support with some of our Republican…
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Dave Price: Delegation, but largely has been pretty quiet since then.
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Laura Belin: I think they’re trying to say as little about it as possible, and Dave.
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Dave Price: Including after his speech, his primetime speech.
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Laura Belin: And you got a comment last week from Ashley Hinson’s
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Laura Belin: staff saying that she trusts the Commander-in-Chief to keep us safe, but at some point, the Iowa delegation is going to have to start commenting on it. I mean, you can run and hide from some of these issues, but every time people fill up their tank, they’re noticing that it costs a lot more.
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Laura Belin: So, I’m… I don’t know… I don’t know what the best play is for them right now. I think they’re just hoping to say not very much about it.
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Kathie Obradovich: I’m pretty surprised that Joni Ernst hasn’t said anything, really, by now.
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Kathie Obradovich: Given that she’s leaving Congress. You know, she’s leaving the U.S. Senate. She’s got, you know, essentially nothing really to lose there. So I… I’m a little surprised, especially given, you know, her brand as a military veteran, etc.
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Kathie Obradovich: I mean, I can see why Zach Nunn wouldn’t say anything. He’s running for re-election in a competitive race and, you know, needs Trump’s support. But I would have thought Joni Ernst would have maybe said more about it by now.
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Dave Price: Don’t you think, though, that maybe…
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Dave Price: pre-HEGSeth confirmation, Ernst would have been more vocal, Now, granted, pre…
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Dave Price: That pre-nominate… pre-confirmation, it was still the expectation that she was perhaps going to run again, and she said.
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Dave Price: publicly announced differently, but I feel like she’s pivoted to…
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Dave Price: really being a fervent supporter of the administration at all times. I don’t know that I… I can’t think of anything over the last…
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Dave Price: however many months, where she has said anything.
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Dave Price: In disagreement.
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Kathie Obradovich: And it’s… it has been generally, and I think it’s, you know, it’s been generally that, Republicans aren’t, willing to criticize the… the president,
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Kathie Obradovich: And part of… part of my theory about that is that they want to preserve, the Republican caucuses, and, you know, Trump as president, and, you know, even if he’s, you know, a lame duck president.
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Kathie Obradovich: has the ability to influence that, and so I think that that’s part of why you sort of see this sort of, silence, even when, you know, you might know that a lawmaker privately disagrees with what the president is doing or saying.
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Dave Price: Could be. Hey, let’s, let’s pivot back to the Iowa State House. Kathy, despite your 29 years on this earth, you have somehow managed to get more than two decades of coverage of the Iowa legislature, so we can figure that math out later.
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Dave Price: I’m curious how you are deciphering
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Dave Price: the comments since the Senate, and it was very bipartisan.
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Dave Price: passed with very limited debate, this property tax reform package. Dan Dawson, who has led this, the Republican from Council Bluffs, has said, hey, this is not the final form of this, but this is a big step forward, what have you. And we can get into the specifics of it.
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Dave Price: As you watch this all play out in what we think will be the final few weeks of the legislative session, perhaps
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Dave Price: Is this a positive move forward?
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Dave Price: Or is this the Senate saying, alright, House.
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Dave Price: Your turn. We’ve done our thing now, your move.
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Kathie Obradovich: Well, it could be both. You know, I think that it is a positive move forward to get, you know.
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Kathie Obradovich: Republicans were pretty clear that property tax was kind of a must-do for this legislative session. And, you know, we’re down to, you know, two weeks before, the, 100th day here.
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Kathie Obradovich: And, you know, both chambers have, kind of been…
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Kathie Obradovich: I think sort of standing off, with their various different parts of the… of the bill. So, so yeah, I do think it’s… you gotta get…
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Kathie Obradovich: legislation moving to… to get anybody talking. So, so yeah, I mean, I think it looks to me, and I watched Laura’s video of Speaker Grassley’s gaggle on Thursday afternoon.
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Kathie Obradovich: And, my take on that is that most things probably are still open for negotiation, but not a hard cap on property tax revenue. Is that, Laura, is that what you took from that as well?
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Laura Belin: I mean, it’s hard to say. I was very surprised that there was such a strong bipartisan vote for a bill that includes a gas tax increase in an election year.
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Dave Price: Yes, ma’am.
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Laura Belin: I… there are only 3 Republicans and 1 Democrat voted against the property tax package, and Tony Bizignano, the Democrat who spoke during the Senate floor debate, said, you know, that we know this isn’t the final package, and this isn’t the bill we would have written, and we don’t love everything in it, but we… we appreciate that Senator Dawson has worked with us, and we’re going to help move the ball forward. I just don’t know
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Laura Belin: the House and the Senate, philosophically, are so far away. It’s not like one side wants to have a cap of X percent and the other side Y percent, and you can meet in the middle. I mean, the Senate just fundamentally
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Laura Belin: They want to get rid of the rollback system that’s existed since the late 1970s. They want to take school funding and put more of that onto the state budget. I don’t know where they’re going to come up with the money for that. They want this gas tax increase, which I think is going to be a very tough sell, and they want to treat… they want age-based property tax relief, so if you’re 65 or over, you know, you get more and more benefits
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Laura Belin: depending on how much of your mortgage you still have left to pay off. Whereas the House, I mean, they want a hard cap on the revenues, that there’s no gas tax in their thing, they don’t want to touch the rollback, they want, they want all property… all homeowners to get some kind of relief, regardless of age. And I forgot to say that the Senate bill treats residential property differently if it’s… depending on whether it’s your primary residence.
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Laura Belin: your homestead, or a residential place that you own as an investment property. And the House bill treats all of that the same. Residential property owners all get the same kind of break, so I just feel like
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Laura Belin: I don’t know, they can’t go away empty-handed. They’ve got to come up with something, but I just have no idea. How do you meet in the middle when the whole orientation is so different from these two bills?
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, just… but listening to Grassley yesterday, even the gas tax, he didn’t say absolutely not. He said, I don’t know, you know, whether we can sell this with the caucus, but I mean, he did say, you know, he appreciates, you know, that they’re looking for a funding source to, help… help local governments, you know, and so I do think
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Kathie Obradovich: just the way he spoke about it, and I think in this particular instance, he made it clear over and over again that he wasn’t really speaking for the caucus, but that he, but even that sounded like
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Kathie Obradovich: it was open for negotiation, but he said also, you know, our caucus, and I think in this case he probably was, that we need to have a hard cap. He didn’t say it had to be 2%.
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Kathie Obradovich: But that it had to be a hard cap, which, you know, I think when you talk about that, you know, you… you say, okay, we’re gonna limit
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Kathie Obradovich: And basically, we’re gonna limit revenues to local government to 2% growth.
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Kathie Obradovich: Unless, you know, there’s some exceptions for, you know, growth of the, of the, of the base, etc. But… but you’ve got, you know, local governments
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Kathie Obradovich: you know, in some cases, they have been efficient. You know, Crassley talked about, you know, well, unless you do this, you’re not going to force these governments to be more efficient. But there’s a lot of governments who have kept their property tax growth very low, lower than the state revenue growth, and so those, you know, you’re essentially punishing those local governments if you
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Kathie Obradovich: if you put all of them under the same kind of cap. So… so I do think that this is, something that…
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Kathie Obradovich: One, Democrats, I think, went along in the Senate. I mean, we saw Democrat… bipartisan votes on these property tax bills in the past as well. They know what people want, and when they’re knocking on doors, they know… they hear that people want property tax relief,
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Kathie Obradovich: But, so I think that even with the gas tax, they were willing to, you know, support it at this stage, but I’m betting we’ll see some no votes along the way here, so…
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Laura Belin: Well, I should have explained that the reason why the Senate bill raises the gas tax is they want to use that additional revenue to pay for roads and bridges to be fixed so that there’s less of a burden on local governments to pay for some of these road repairs, and the reason why they’re moving… they want to move some of the school funding to the state
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Laura Belin: is so that then school districts can keep property taxes lower, but I just think as the state budget is already under strain, and that’s only going to get worse later this decade.
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Laura Belin: I don’t know how that math is gonna work, because if you then leave schools, if they’re reliant on state funding, and the state funding isn’t there, at least now they have the backstop of the school districts can raise property taxes to at least make sure they’re not getting less money than last year.
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Kathie Obradovich: And this has come up in the past, this idea is not new, and school districts
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Kathie Obradovich: all along have, you know, said over and over again, we can’t rely on just one source of funding. You know, there are state
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Kathie Obradovich: state funding goes up and down based on the economy, etc, and they, you know, they need to have an alternative source of money, and, you know, based on the economy, but also based on, I think, the ideological makeup of the legislature. And so, I do think that
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Kathie Obradovich: you know, they are not going to easily give up on having property taxes as part of their mix. Maybe a smaller part, but they, you know, and I think it still makes sense to have property taxes as part of that mix.
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Laura Belin: And in general, the local governments… I went to the long subcommittee meetings on the various bills, and
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Laura Belin: the local governments, the one that they’re the least afraid of, I guess, is the Senate proposal, because there’s what they call a soft cap, so there would be some kind of limit on local revenue growth, but it would be tied to inflation, so that if we do have an inflationary spike, they’re not stuck at this 2% or 3%, wherever you want to put it, and they feel that even though the Senate bill, they think, would cause them some problems, they think that the House
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Laura Belin: Hard cap, which the governor also wanted, would be worse.
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Kathie Obradovich: And the reason that this, at least the House, wants that hard cap, it sounds to me, is because they think it’s simpler.
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Kathie Obradovich: that it’s easier to explain. And, you know, I guess that makes it a better campaign issue, but they’ve said, and Pat Grassley has said several times, that he wants a simple bill.
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Kathie Obradovich: And, you know, to have a simple bill with this super complex property tax system means you either have to have something that probably doesn’t really do anything.
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Kathie Obradovich: You know, which is… it’s still a really big possibility for what they’ll end up with, something that they can talk about that doesn’t really do anything. Or, you have, you know, this really, you know, potentially draconian, bill that
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Kathie Obradovich: doesn’t… maybe isn’t going to work for a lot of communities or a lot of cities. But it’s simple to talk about.
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Kathie Obradovich: So…
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Dave Price: Kathy, I was thinking about a point you made. This has been a while ago, and I don’t even know how long ago it was. It could have been last year, for all I know.
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Dave Price: Wow, you remember?
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Kathie Obradovich: I remember something that I said for that long.
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Dave Price: Yeah, I just can’t remember when. And your point was that since there are 100 House members.
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Dave Price: It may make them…
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Dave Price: have a closer relationship with their local communities, and I believe our discussion was about ESAs at the time, and that they were hearing about AEAs, ESAs, all of those changes, just by the very nature of they represent fewer people, and maybe they’re closer to those.
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Dave Price: That they represent. And no, you know, not dissing the Senate, but, you know, you’re talking about a lot bigger area. And so, the one thing that I thought about through this whole property tax discussion, maybe I’m cuckoo for thinking it this way, but I almost feel like
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Dave Price: There’s a flip.
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Dave Price: in that I’m surprised, maybe, that it’s the… that it’s not the house that wanted a little more flexibility locally.
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Dave Price: Whereas it’s… it’s the Senate version that doesn’t have that hard cap, like Laura was explaining, so that you give it a little bit more cushion, if you will, on the local level, because obviously the locals are…
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Dave Price: Or a little freaked if you’re gonna have it so capped here that they’re worried that
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Dave Price: they may be hosed, and depending on what this final package looks like, if there is a final package, if the state’s assuming maybe a bigger share of the school side, and then that money’s not there down the road, what the heck happens? But I don’t know why, but that was kind of sticking with me. I thought that was a really good point when you made this months ago about
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Dave Price: the closeness, perhaps, that some of these House members feel with their communities, just by the nature of representing a smaller area, but they’re the ones who seem
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Dave Price: More firmly connected to this hard cap idea.
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Kathie Obradovich: Well, yeah, I think it’s a different situation in that, these lawmakers have to run for re-election every two years.
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Dave Price: Yeah.
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Kathie Obradovich: some of the senators are not up for re-election this year, and so I think that that might have something to do with it. They’re not quite as… you know, they’re not out knocking doors right now and hearing from people just how
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Kathie Obradovich: angry, perhaps they are about property tax costs right now. The other thing, I think, is that a lot of these property tax discussions have been going on, you know, with the leadership, or, you know, in the Senate’s case, Senator Dan Dawson, the Ways and Means Chair, and he’s been talking to a lot of local governments.
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Kathie Obradovich: And local government folks.
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Kathie Obradovich: But I don’t know to what extent the rest of the caucus has been involved in that discussion. It could be that he’s brought them along every step of the way, and that’s, you know, maybe that’s why there’s a bip… you know, part of the reason why there was a bipartisan vote.
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Kathie Obradovich: are certainly, you know, very overwhelming vote in favor. But I wonder if that sensitivity to local governments was more about how Dan Dawson approached the bill, as opposed to, perhaps… I mean, we have a new Ways and Means Chair in the House. It was Bobby Kaufman, and he stepped back, to become the Majority Leader.
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Kathie Obradovich: now we’ve got Carter Nordman, who may be sort of coming into this bill and this discussion, you know.
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Kathie Obradovich: Two years later, you know?
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Laura Belin: Well, I think the interesting flip is that you have the House and the Governor more aligned, and the Senate doing something completely different on many of the big issues, whether it’s
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Laura Belin: the school vouchers or state funding for education and the area education agencies overhaul. Usually, the Senate Republicans are much more in step with whatever Governor Reynolds has wanted to do, and it’s the House caucus where they’ve had to cut some deals because House Republicans have resisted that, so I think it’s interesting. I think that flip is interesting. When you mentioned that the House Republicans are up for
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Laura Belin: for re-election every two years. I think that’s one reason why the House… the original bill was
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Laura Belin: The first $25,000 worth of
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Laura Belin: valuation of your home is exempt from property taxes, so that would do something for everybody, whether you’re… no matter how old you are, whether you’ve paid off your mortgage or not. And then the House changed its proposal, so now it’s 10%. The first 10% of your home valuation is exempt from property tax up to a maximum of $25,000. But I do feel like, politically, that’s an easier sell. They can go out to their constituents, and every single person who owns a home.
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Laura Belin: gets at least something from their bill, which the Senate bill is more complicated, and if you’re not 65, then you don’t… it’s not as clear how much your property taxes are gonna go down.
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Dave Price: Yeah, or if.
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Laura Belin: F. That’s right.
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, well, because, I mean, last year, when they were talking about this, Senate leadership.
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Kathie Obradovich: was, I think, pretty clear that the goal was to, bend the curve here, and not necessarily to cut people’s property tax bills, but to stop them from going up so far and so fast.
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Kathie Obradovich: And maybe that has changed now that we’re in the election year, but I do think that that, you know, that Dan Dawson has said he wants to reform the system, you know, and maybe isn’t quite as concerned about seeing… having people get a big cut on their property tax bills, which…
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Kathie Obradovich: I don’t know about you guys, but I don’t think I’m going to be paying property taxes again before the election, right? You know, you pay in March and September, you know, we’re not going to see our property tax bills again
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Kathie Obradovich: Before this election. So, you know, the immediate impact is probably not as important.
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Dave Price: I think what… one point you made, I think, is especially important here in about
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Dave Price: you know, the complexity of this, and I was thinking, we’re sitting up in the Senate Gallery, where they make the TV cameras now go way up
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Dave Price: Up in the nosebleeds, which is a terrible view of things, but I…
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Laura Belin: Terrible.
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Dave Price: Anyway, so they passed this, and to Laura’s point.
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Dave Price: I thought there’d be more debate. I didn’t know Democrats were going to be so on board with this, so it was short. And, you know, we’re thinking about TV deadlines, like, holy crap, how are we going to get this story turned around and sent to all my, station group in time? And how do you… there was so much to digest with limited debate.
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Dave Price: And we’re trying to speed read.
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Dave Price: through the bills, and I forget how many pages there were, plus the fiscal note that had been published, and you’re like, okay, so this is in, this is in, da-da-da-da-da, and you can’t… you can’t summarize it in a… in a easy-to-digest, minute-and-a-half television story or whatever.
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Dave Price: And I’m thinking, going ahead to November, clearly, if they’ve made this a priority, to change the system, like…
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Dave Price: you, as a homeowner, want to know, am I going… what’s this mean for me, right? Regardless of what you think philosophically about whatever the heck they’re doing. And I don’t… when I was reading through the Senate version, I couldn’t figure out where we were even going to be, you know, as a household where you don’t have anybody 65 plus.
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Dave Price: And so I… I can’t tell, and I think to Kathy’s point, like, maybe it is more about bending the curve.
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Dave Price: Yeah.
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Kathie Obradovich: And I should correct what I just said, because we both get tax bills and property tax bills in September. I always forget you pay the September bill first, and then the March bill, but they’re, you know, the bills…
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Laura Belin: Whatever they pass this year isn’t gonna affect that.
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Kathie Obradovich: gonna be… yeah, exactly, my point. It’s not gonna be on the… it’s not gonna be different based on what pa… what passes this year.
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Dave Price: And if they have… and I guess technically they do have the money here, I had wondered if they would steal the Democrats… House Democrats’ proposal about the rebate?
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Dave Price: Because that could be something immediate, and they do have money sitting there in surplus. Like, if they chose to take that, if they wanted immediate, so that, to Kathy’s point, like, you know before November, like, alright, I’m getting 500 bucks for sure.
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Dave Price: my property taxes, like, there is money, I don’t know what the cost was at. I don’t think House Democrats had run it when they pitched it.
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Laura Belin: Yeah, I can’t remember. I think they wanted to do… was it a $1,000 rebate for homeowners and $500 for renters?
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Laura Belin: Remember that the house… because a lot of people rent, and.
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Laura Belin: they were not going to be seeing anything from the Republican bills, although the
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Laura Belin: The Republicans claim that if they do something for the residential… the investors who own residential property, that that’ll bring rents down, although I think that it’s very…
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Dave Price: In college, it didn’t happen before, right? That’s right.
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Laura Belin: It didn’t happen, it didn’t happen, and that’s why the one element of the Senate bill that’s not in the House bill is that they changed something that happened in 2013, where people who own apartment buildings, that was treated like residential property, and they’re rolling most of that back under the Senate bill, but the House bill doesn’t do that. So, again, it’s just a huge philosophical difference, and I understand where Dan Dawson
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Laura Belin: is coming from, that he says that the house that you own as an investment should not be taxed the same as the house you and your family live in. But Dan Dawson is not up for re-election this year. He’s in the first part of a four-year term, so it’s easier for him to say that there are other people who are going to go… have to go back. And I did notice that one of the Republicans who voted against this bill in the Senate was Mike Busillo, who’s got a tough Republican primary
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Laura Belin: he’s running in a new district, not his current district. He’s moving to the outlying areas of Polk County District that Jack Whitver has been representing, but he’s got a competitive primary there, and so I don’t know, I haven’t had a chance to ask him what were his reasons. Was it the gas tax hike or some other element of that? But I noticed that there was one guy in a tough race who didn’t want to be on record voting for this bill.
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Dave Price: We mentioned…
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Dave Price: ESA, as I mentioned that, and we don’t have to spend a ton of time on this, but I’ve… I’ve found it fascinating
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Dave Price: Randy Feenstra, one of the five Republicans running in the gubernatorial primary, went to the Westside Conservatives at the Machine Shed in Urbandale on Wednesday morning.
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Dave Price: And during the Q&A session, had talked about that it’s time to open up the ESA program so that any student who wants to get into a private school so the family can use this should be able to do it.
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Dave Price: And that the schools should not be able to use as a reason for decline, that we don’t have any room, or if there’s some special
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Dave Price: need that this child has,
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Dave Price: that that wouldn’t be a reason. So he wants to open it up, essentially, to any student who wants to use this. And that didn’t apparently go over well. Governor Reynolds talked about it in her avail on Thursday after her bill signing in Slater at the daycare there about how she talked to Feenster a couple times about this.
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Dave Price: Speaker Pat Grassley didn’t seem to want to weigh in individually, but said he’s heard the chatter in the caucus. Laura, what’d you make about the… the pushback?
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Laura Belin: Well, I think that Feedstra took a very smart position, because this is something that Democrats have said about the school voucher plan, is that how can you say it’s parental choice if the school can decide that they don’t want your kid?
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Laura Belin: And I know even outside the whole context of school vouchers, we knew someone in our neighborhood whose kids went to Catholic schools, but their youngest had a learning disability, and basically the school just refused to accommodate him. They had to switch him to a public school, and so it is something… I think that there would be broad public support for this idea that if a private school is getting taxpayer money, then they should be required to
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Laura Belin: take all the students whose families want to send them there, but I’m not surprised there was pushback about it. And now Adam Steen, who’s one of the rivals of Feenstra for the Republican nomination, he’s already had social media posts and a big press release about how this is a threat to Christian schools, because they would be forced to take a student with two moms, and they would be forced to take a transgender student, and so on, so I think that it might be
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Laura Belin: a better general election position for Feenster than a Republican primary position?
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Dave Price: That’s exactly what I thought with this, that maybe he gets beat up in the primary, but this helps him longer term, should he be the nominee. What’d you think, Kathy?
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, the timing of it was odd, because it is, I think, a much better general election position to take, but he is, you know, I think still in…
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Kathie Obradovich: what looks like an increasingly competitive primary, and to kind of carve out a position that… I mean, I haven’t heard where all of the Republican candidates are, but
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Kathie Obradovich: But a position that, not only is different from his, his rivals for the nomination, but
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Kathie Obradovich: you know, most of the Republican office holders had to take a position against that because it was brought up, in debate. You know, Democrats made a point repeatedly that
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Kathie Obradovich: private schools don’t have to accept all students, and that, you know, school choice was a misnomer in the sense, because the choice is all on the part of the school, the private schools, not on the part of the parents in this case. So… so I did the… my mouth kind of dropped open when, Robin Opsel, our reporter, came back and said, this… this is what he said. I was like, oh my gosh, I was really
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Kathie Obradovich: I was really surprised, and certainly, and not surprised that, that he had conversations with the governor and some Republican lawmakers. What I was surprised about was that she.
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Kathie Obradovich: said so. You know, that she said so out loud, and that,
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Dave Price: Oh, and they’re…
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Kathie Obradovich: Leslie said, yeah, we, you know, people were getting on, getting on Feenstra’s back about this, so…
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Dave Price: Yeah, that was sort of like allowing the locker room discussions to go public.
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Dave Price: Both acknowledging that, essentially, voluntarily.
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, that definitely made a point, I think, by doing that.
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Dave Price: Laura, to close us out, and
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Dave Price: You went… I have to get my days right, was it Wednesday night, the Forum? Yes.
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Laura Belin: Wednesday night.
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Dave Price: Burke and Zach Walls.
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Dave Price: And this is… like, it’s so much easier to cover the Senate race, right?
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Laura Belin: two people.
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Dave Price: That governor’s race with five Republicans still in, it just gets hard. Just like to Kathy’s point about, well, I’m not sure what… how everybody’s weighed in. Yeah, because there are five people.
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Dave Price: No, but… and I was just mentioning that to my TV colleague today about a story she’s working on, like, okay, we gotta make sure we get all five people represented in this story. It’s a lot more people to keep track of. All right, so this was a forum, not a debate, on Wednesday night, so they’re not sitting there
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Dave Price: You know, going back and forth, but what was your takeaway from the… from the evening?
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Laura Belin: Well, it was a short event. It was billed as 6 to 8 p.m, but each candidate only got about between 20 and 25 minutes to answer questions, and they did try to be fair by asking the same questions of both candidates, which I appreciate and I understand the logic for doing that. I would have liked to hear some more questions that would have teased out some of the differences, and this was the End Citizens United Progress Iowa Senate Candidate Forum, and you can find
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Laura Belin: that on YouTube if you’d like to watch the whole Q&A part of it. And then both Josh Turek and Zach Walz spoke to reporters afterwards out in the atrium. One thing that I find striking about this race is that we seem… we haven’t seen a lot of public polling, but it seems like Zach Walz is ahead. I mean, his campaign released an internal poll. There was a Republican poll that showed him ahead. We know the Turek campaign has done polling.
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Laura Belin: and they haven’t released numbers, so we probably can say Zach Wells is ahead. And usually, it would be the candidate who’s behind…
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Laura Belin: who’s going negative, but it was really… Zach Walls was much sharper in his criticism of Josh Turek.
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Laura Belin: Even though he seems to be ahead. And particularly criticizing Turek over the fact that VoteVets, this super PAC,
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Laura Belin: that’s aligned with Washington establishment Democrats is now spending at least $2.5 million for Turek to boost his name ID. It’s on… it’s all in positive ads so far. We haven’t seen any negative ads from VoteVets, but this was an… and Citizens United is a group that talks about trying to get money out of politics, and especially dark money, and Zach Wells said, hey, you know, we’re talking about getting money out of politics.
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Laura Belin: politics, and right here, we have someone who’s being supported by a dark money super PAC. And so, I thought that part of it was interesting. Zach Walz also criticized one of Turek’s votes in the Iowa legislature related to immigration. It was a bill from the 2024 session where Turek was one of only three Democrats to vote for this Republican immigration bill that has since been tied up in court.
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Laura Belin: But that was one of my takeaways, and Josh Turek said, hey, I don’t have anything disparaging to say about Senator Walz, you know, but here’s my case. I think I’m more electable, similar to what we’ve heard before from Josh Turek. I’ve shown that I can run and win in a district that voted for Trump, whereas
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Laura Belin: Zach Walls has never even faced a Republican opponent, and he’s been elected in a district that’s heavily Democratic, which is not representative of the state of Iowa as a whole. So, I don’t know how many people’s minds were changed. I do hope we’re going to get to see at least one debate, and I would like to see some more questions asked. I mean, I would have liked to see a longer forum than what we had.
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Dave Price: Kathy, is this not… is this race not going to be a lot about…
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Dave Price: issue differences between these two, unless maybe we in the media sort of force that somehow, or they get some question that separates them in a group forum or something? Like, is this just gonna be the…
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Dave Price: allegation of, you’re the DC insider choice, and I’m not.
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Kathie Obradovich: Yeah, that’s what we’ve seen so far, and my guess is because there isn’t a lot of space between the two candidates on issues and positions on issues. You know, it’s really been more about who they are.
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Kathie Obradovich: And, you know, what makes them more electable. So, I mean, I think you, you know, the…
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Kathie Obradovich: we’re talking about, trying to appeal to, I think, very small segments of the… of the Democratic electorate here, and so I… but I was surprised, Laura, that Walls chose to go that negative.
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Kathie Obradovich: in this forum. You know, again, I…
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Kathie Obradovich: typically, you know, if a candidate is ahead, first of all, they pivot their focus to the general election, and secondly, say as little as possible about their opponent. So, that makes me wonder if, despite the polling.
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Kathie Obradovich: you know, etc, and there hasn’t been very much polling, and what has been internal. But, you know, I think you… it makes me wonder whether there’s some reason why this race looks, you know, closer to them than it does to us, so…
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Dave Price: Well, there…
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Laura Belin: Well, I think it’s certainly close, I mean.
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Kathie Obradovich: Oh, yeah.
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Laura Belin: probably at this stage of the 2022 campaign, Abby Finkenauer was probably still ahead of Mike Franken, who ended up winning that primary. So I think the primary is absolutely anybody’s game. But I feel like the polling… clearly, Zach Walls’ team decided that their best play is to say.
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Laura Belin: I’m not for Schumer, and the other guy is Schumer’s guy, because that’s what we hear from them every day.
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Dave Price: And how important is that to people? Is that really what’s on…
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Dave Price: The primary activists, is that on their mind?
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Laura Belin: I don’t know, I mean, anecdotally, I do hear people say that it gives them pause if they hear that Chuck Schumer likes Josh Turek, and that makes them wonder why that is, but I also think that a lot of people are worried about electability, and I think that as… the vote vet ads for Turek initially have been emphasizing his biography, and the challenges he’s overcome, and the Olympic
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Laura Belin: basketball, but I think as we get closer to the primary, we’re going to hear more of that electability argument, because I do feel that that’s something… it was important in the 2022 primary, for sure, and I think that that could be important. And Zach Walls says he thinks he is more electable because he won’t be easily tied to the DC insiders. He says, we see this as an outsiders versus insiders election.
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Laura Belin: that Josh Sturek just keeps saying, look, you know, I have proof that I won in a district that voted heavily for Donald Trump. And it’s true, he is the most… I looked at this, I did a post on this after the 2024 election.
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Laura Belin: Turek is the Democratic legislator who won in the most Trump voting district in 2024, so he had the most to overcome while still being successful.
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Kathie Obradovich: it makes me wonder whether people seem to… whether people think that Chuck Schumer wants anything out of this race except to be back in the majority in the Senate. I mean, you know, isn’t this… isn’t…
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Kathie Obradovich: Chuck Schumer’s favor for one candidate or another, would that be based on anything besides a calculation of electability? You know, I just… I have a hard time… you know, yeah, Zach Walls has criticized Schumer publicly, and, you know, maybe that has something to do with it, but my guess is that bygones would be bygones if he calculated that Walz was the clear, you know, winner.
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Kathie Obradovich: You know, helpful.
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Kathie Obradovich: Helpful in getting back into the majority.
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Laura Belin: Oh, I agree. I think it’s… I think if the DSCC, and to be clear, they have not formally endorsed, but it’s very obvious that the candidate they want is Turek, and I think that that’s… because there is no ideological difference, I think that’s their call, their… their assessment is that Turek is the more electable candidate.
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Dave Price: I suppose it’s easy to overthink this, but it’s also hard not to be a little conspiracy theorist in, to your point about
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Dave Price: the Walz campaign decision to come after Turek in this kind of setting, it just reminds me of… there’s also a reason why Randy Feenstra is spending a bunch of money on TV ads, right?
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Dave Price: whatever their internal polling shows, if you’re… if you’re winning comfortably, it’s hard to see you take certain moves, much like it’s hard to see why Randy Feenstra is opening the bank accounts like this.
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Dave Price: Rather than saving them for the general election, where, as of now, he is greatly underfunded.
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Dave Price: compared to Rob Sand, so surely these campaigns are privy to information that is not out publicly.
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Kathie Obradovich: Well, Frankie, Feenster is well known to all of us.
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Kathie Obradovich: But, I bet you, if you walk down the street in Davenport and ask, you know, 10 people, you know, who’s Randy Feenstra, I bet, you know, you would get a fairly low, rate of name recognition there. So, I don’t think it’s misplaced at all for him to be trying to build his name recognition, especially outside of the 4th District.
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Dave Price: And that goes back to a point I think we’ve discussed on this…
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Dave Price: Previously, in that the difference in during the last longer shutdown, where Ashley Hinson chose during the 55 days, whatever the heck it was.
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Dave Price: to be all over the place, more high profile, like, we saw the emails about where she was going, her campaign schedule, and all that stuff, and Feenstra seemed to have a pivot
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Dave Price: Once the donors and activists kind of push back about, dude, where are you?
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Dave Price: What have you been doing?
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Dave Price: And it does seem like he’s out and about doing more things now, but did not have that aggressive
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Dave Price: pursuit like Henson did during that…
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Kathie Obradovich: been out and about, but he wasn’t telling the media, and, you know, you don’t get that amplification to people who weren’t there if you don’t have any sort of media coverage of these events, and it makes it easy for people to say, well, where are you? I mean, I haven’t heard anything.
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Dave Price: Good discussion this week. We’ve gone over, so you good folks at home got a little extra for your money here, for better or for worse. But that’s how these things go, right? Laura, Kathy, have a great weekend, and I hope we see…
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Dave Price: Sunshine, though, though.
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Dave Price: By the time this drops.
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Laura Belin: Sunday.
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Dave Price: Saturday might be raining again in the Des Moines area.
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Laura Belin: Sunday sounds good.
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Laura Belin: We’ll see. Looks like… looks good for Sunday.
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Dave Price: Yes, alright, we’ll take that. Alright, have a great weekend. Thank you to all of you for your support over these weeks. Whether you’re sharing this, watching, listening, reading, however you’re consuming this every week, we very much appreciate when you’re able to send these links to others.
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Dave Price: And tell others about this, because it helps us grow this conversation, and our heartfelt thanks to those of you who have financially contributed to help to sustain the production costs of putting this sucker together.
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Dave Price: week after week. Have a great week ahead. We’ll see what happens in the Iowa legislature next week, where we hit that one-week mark from the
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Dave Price: the 100-day deadline, one week away from that, for better or for worse, whatever the deadline’s gonna mean, but they quit getting their extra money, so that may mean as much as just about anything. We will talk to you next week. Have a great week, everybody.
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