Tuesday 12th May 2026

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In this episode of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie and Rodrigo Catril break down the market's reaction to President Trump’s blunt dismissal of Iran’s latest proposal as a "piece of garbage," a move that has dashed hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough and kept the Strait of Hormuz under lock and key. As Brent crude pushes higher toward $115 a barrel, Rodrigo highlights a stark divergence in sentiment: while U.S. equities find resilience by "looking through" the disruption fueled by big tech earnings, bond markets are seeing yields rise as the geopolitical uncertainty takes hold. In the UK, yields have been hit even harder by a potential leadership challenge for the Prime Minister, while in China, consumer inflation kicked higher alongside a markedly sharp leap in producer prices. Domestically, the pair look ahead to a massive day for the local economy with NAB’s Business Survey, consumer confidence, and the federal budget taking centre stage, all while the global market braces for the latest U.S. CPI data.

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