WashingtonWise

Is There Any Good News for the Data-Driven Fed?


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The Fed says its decisions are data-driven, but recent data on inflation, jobs, and other key economic metrics don't seem to be offering a consistent message. Kevin Gordon, Schwab's senior investment strategist, joins host Mike Townsend to go below the headline data and look at what the Fed is watching as it continues to fight sticky inflation and make decisions on rate cuts. They discuss what impact the reduced expectations for rate cuts in 2024 night be having on the market and whether the sky-high federal debt is contributing to stubborn inflation. Kevin also looks at the state of investor sentiment in a time of uncertainty, explains why the so-called Magnificent Seven may not be so magnificent anymore, and offers some thoughts on why the old "sell in May and go away" adage may not be the best investing strategy in 2024.   

Mike also discusses the ongoing battle in Congress over foreign aid and how priorities have shifted; looks at how lawmakers are positioning themselves for a massive policy battle over the expiring 2017 tax cuts; and observes that the regulatory process in Washington is increasingly being played out in the courts.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.

Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.

Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.

Rebalancing does not protect against losses or guarantee that an investor’s goal will be met. Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please seeSchwab.com/IndexDefinitions.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

Apple, the Apple logo, iPad, iPhone, and Apple Podcasts are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.

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WashingtonWiseBy Charles Schwab

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