Trump sways to music in what was a bizarre campaign moment, even for Trump. Ben riffs. Pollster Jason McGrath tells you everything you need to know about the polls. They're guideposts, nothing more or less. Please don't hate the messenger even if you hate his message. And if you want to know who's going to win, consider this: At this point, it's essentially a tie. Jason is a partner with GBAO, a Democratic strategy group.

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