Is a standard balance sheet fix enough to save a failing entity, or are you just delaying the inevitable "Chapter 22"? 📊 In this briefing, we explore why many modern restructurings fail to address the underlying business model and how "Band-Aid" deals from the pandemic era are finally coming due.
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Executive Summary: Roger Aguinaldo sits down with Drew, a veteran Chief Restructuring Officer (CRO), and Susan of Foley & Lardner to deconstruct the "Brave New World" of distress. From the impact of tariff fluctuations on manufacturing to the residual debt in real estate, this conversation provides a technical roadmap for utilizing Chapter 11 as a strategic tool rather than a final resort.
Technical Index (Shownotes):
0:00 – The M&A Advisor: Thought Leadership for the Dealmaking Elite
02:15 – The CRO Approach: Why "Walking the Plant" Beats Financial Modeling
04:50 – Consumer Confidence & Macro Stress: The 50/50 Recession Reality
07:30 – The "Chapter 22" Trap: Why Fixing Debt Doesn't Fix the Business
10:15 – Dividend Recaps & Private Equity: A Recipe for Future Distress?
13:40 – Chapter 11 as a Tool: A Case Study in 100% Creditor Recovery
16:55 – Alternative Structures: ABCs and Liability Management for the Middle Market
19:20 – The "DOGE" Effect: Preparing Government Contractors for Restructuring
21:45 – Final Outlook: Staying Decisive in an Uncertain Market
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