Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT

Matt Tuttle’s “HEAT” Framework: Hedging, Edges, Asymmetry & 2026 Market Themes


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Markets don’t just move on fundamentals—they move on themes, positioning, and policy. In this episode, I’m joined by Matt Tuttle, founder of Tuttle Capital Management, to break down his “HEAT” framework: Hedge, Edge, Asymmetry, and Themes—and how those four ideas shape his daily approach to risk and opportunity.

We discuss why Matt believes you should always be hedged, what real “edges” look like (and why many disappear once Wall Street markets them), how to structure trades for asymmetric payoffs, and how he’s thinking about 2026. Topics include the shift from AI creators to AI adopters, the importance of AI capex and the Fed as key pillars supporting the market, and how policy shocks can create both landmines and upside.

You can learn more about Matt's work at https://www.tuttlecap.com/ and check out his podcast here https://www.youtube.com/@TuttleCap.


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The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

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Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMTBy Dave Keller, CMT

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