Midas Letter Capital Markets Advisor Steve Misener, CFA discusses White House chief economic advisor Larry Kudlow’s recent comments that the Fed will not raise interest rates again “in his lifetime.” Misener notes that Kudlow’s statement echoes similar thoughts made by former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke in 2014. Misener speculates that there might be some truth to their comments in terms of the major rate hikes that were common in the past. He explains why the Hong Kong stock exchange, with a market cap of US $5.7 trillion, surpassing Japan’s stock exchange as the second largest in Asia is significant. Misener believes it is a testament to the growth and strength of the Chinese economy to have Shanghai and Hong Kong as the leading exchanges in Asia. He also notes that the change is a reflection of Japan’s slow long-term economic growth. The segment wraps with a discussion of the double growth component unique to the cannabis space. Misener explains that new customers and markets are generating revenue for cannabis companies but those revenues will increase as the illicit market is eliminated.
Transcript:
Ed Milewski: I’m now joined by frequent visitor here on the show Steve Misener. Steve, glad to have you back. Always got a lot of interesting things to say. Never a dull moment on Wall Street, Bay Street. Larry Kudlow made an interesting comment.
Steve Misener: He did. He’s President Trump’s advisor, but long time Wall Street personality and for years a very, very high-profile guy, and he recently said that for the rest of his lifetime, he doesn’t see interest rates going back up again. That’s a powerful statement and it’s kind of interesting because it echoes former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke who in 2014 said essentially the same thing, that he did not see rates climbing for the rest of his days. Now, we’ve had a little backup and rates, but I guess they’re talking about major long-term secular rising rates like we had decades ago and perhaps they’re right.
Ed Milewski: Maybe we won’t see that and I know you know, they were pretty rambunctious back in October and looked like they were going there pricing in this rate, this rating and now I read make the next move might be down.
Steve Misener: Yeah, it’s amazing because the Fed and all central banks around the world, they only have two. I used to say arrows in their quiver. They can tell people they’re going to raise rates which is the soft arrow and then they can actually use the big hammer and actually raise rates and it’s the, they’re equally powerful because just indicating trend, indicating a you know, an intention to tighten is what caused the, it wasn’t the December hike that was well anticipated that caused the stock market to get really, really corrected in December and to create that scare as it did, but it was the speaking that even then we’re still planning three more rate hikes for 2019.
Steve Misener: And then 90 days later, they’re not hiking rates and they’re telling people maybe we s