Charting Man Dan McDermitt, founding partner and analyst with the Chart Guys, explains the relationship between tightening patterns and periods of volatility. Technical analysis shows that after periods of volatility, investors consistently see tightening stock ranges. He notes that investors look for these patterns because ranges can only tighten so much before breaking. He indicates that while traders do not know which way a trend will break, trend breaks bring volatility and volume spikes. McDermitt discusses the allocation of risk and details how traders assess the odds of a break against the risk-to-reward factor. Charting Man Dan walks viewers through the CV Sciences Inc (OTCMKTS:CVSI) chart as a recent example of an acceptable reward-to-risk move. McDermitt examines the Tilray Inc (NASDAQ:TLRY) (FRA:2HQ) chart and acknowledge that while the stock has not established many support levels, the conditions are right for a solid bounce once a bottom is reached.
Transcript:
James West: Hey, Charting Man Dan joins me now from TheChartGuys.com. Dan, how are you today?
Dan McDermitt: Wonderful, James, how are you doing?
James West: Yeah, I’m great. It’s good to see you.
Dan McDermitt: You as well.
James West: Okay, so let’s, today, let’s talk a bit about some of the tradeable patterns that technical analysis yields to people like you who have developed expertise in what can only be described as acute pattern recognition. So tell me about some of the patterns you’re seeing today in some of the stocks, and rather than just dive in straight technically what’s happened, tell us what it is about the pattern generally that you like.
Dan McDermitt: Absolutely. So a consistent pattern that we see in the market is, after periods of large volatility, the market will generally give us tightening ranges as it’s a bit of price discovery. So if we see, you know, a 10 percent move, we usually get tighter and tighter and tighter, and we look for these tightening patterns, because when they break, they get a spike in volatility again.
So it’s almost like going from a period of volatile action, to calming down, reaching an equilibrium of a really tight range, and then we get a volume and volatility spike, and that’s a trading opportunity that we jump on. So while we don’t know which direction those patterns are going to break, we look for the signals, and we’ll ta