We dive into the impacts of geopolitical tensions, cyber warfare, and economic disruptions. Discover the origins of cyber warfare, the Stuxnet attack on Iran, and the potential fallout from major conflicts. We also discuss the economic effects of financial crises, the transformative role of AI, and the threats posed by deep fakes and cyber scams. Finally, we examine the risks of natural disasters and resource scarcity.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:18 - 🗣️ Shiv shares his views on next black swan events

02:06 - 🗣️ Wasif shares his views on next black swan events

02:37 - 🔄 People underestimate 2nd and 3rd order consequences

03:45 - 🖥️⚔️ First Cyber Warfare event

04:50 - 🌐⚠️ Impacts of Cyber Warfare

06:36 - 💽🦠 Stuxnet

08:50 - 🦠📉 Underestimating impacts of COVID

11:03 - 🔄📉 2nd and 3rd order consequences are more severe

12:43 - 💥 Shockwave impact analogy

16:07 - 🌍🔥 Will we see WW3?

17:31 - 🔄📜 History repeats itself

18:51 - 🧠💭 Albert Einstein quote on war

21:00 - 🌍🔄 Will we be able to recover from WW3?

22:14 - 🌐🦠 Surviving COVID without the internet

25:37 - ☄️ Impacts of Asteroid impacts

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

- Stuxnet: https://www.wired.com/2014/11/countdown-to-zero-day-stuxnet/

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#nassimtaleb #blackswanevents #geopolitics #study #ai #financialcrisis #socialunrest #naturaldisasters #techbreakthrough #digitalage #future #globaltensions #innovation #disinformation #cyberwarfare #criticalthinking

Discover the remarkable story of Vera Atkins, a British intelligence officer who played a pivotal role in WWII by applying probabilistic thinking to her high-stakes decisions. As the second in command of the French unit of the Special Operations Executive (SOE), Atkins was responsible for recruiting and deploying spies into Nazi-occupied France. Her strategic approach to evaluating unreliable information and balancing various factors like language skills, confidence, and problem-solving abilities made a significant impact on the Allied sabotage efforts.

Join us for an insightful discussion on how probabilistic thinking not only shaped historical events but continues to be a vital tool in navigating uncertainty and improving decision accuracy.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - Who was Vera Atkins? 👩‍💼

00:40 - Probabilistic thinking is popular in the spy world 🕵️‍♂️

00:55 - Factors involved in her decision making 🤔

01:38 - Three Key Roles 🎯

04:10 - Heightened optimism in entrepreneurship 🌟

06:10 - Advantages of Probabilistic Thinking 📈

📖 Sources

- Probabilistic Thinking: https://medium.com/mental-models-product/mental-models-product-4-probabilistic-thinking-4a470ee351e9

- Vera Atkins: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2000/jul/06/guardianobituaries.ianjack

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Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

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#atkins #wwii #criticalthinking #probability #decisionmaking #historicalevents #warhistory #strategicplanning #strategy

Dive into probabilistic thinking and Bayesian reasoning in this podcast episode! Discover how deductive logic enhances decision-making precision by assessing probabilities. Benoit Mandelbrot highlighted probability's role in navigating uncertainties, emphasizing its power beyond mapping the unknown. Explore Bayesian thinking, which adapts beliefs and predictions with new evidence, debunking static views.

Understand fat-tailed distributions crucial for risk management, preparing for rare yet impactful events. See how probabilistic thinking addresses information asymmetries, mitigating biases in risk assessment. Join us to master probabilistic thinking and revolutionize your decision-making across various domains!

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - What is probabilistic thinking? 🕛

01:50 - Bayesian thinking 📊

03:00 - Evolution and new ideas 🌱

04:55 - Does religion contradict Bayesian thinking ⛪

08:20 - There are things that are timeless ⏳

09:13 - Bayesian thinking and statistics 📈

10:20 - Fat-tailed distribution 📉

13:00 - Beauty Standards 💄

15:25 - Asymmetry of information 🔍

17:13 - Why we overestimate positives and underestimate negative outcomes ➕

18:30 - Why people take advantage of you 🤝

20:13 - Dopamine rush from talking about ideas rather than executing 💬

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

👍 Support us here: https://www.youtube.com/@Minds.Unleashed

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Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2fW7Rk3URDmHV2dA315Db7

About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

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#bayesian #decisionmaking #riskmanagement #statistics #datascience #learning #cognitivebiases #criticalthinking #educationcontent #learning #informationtheory #charliemunger #warrenbuffet

Explore strategies to navigate unexpected events with our insightful episode!

Discover the pitfalls of small predictions and embrace probabilistic thinking for clarity. Learn how heuristics like the availability bias and anchoring can skew decision-making. Understand categorizing risks by severity, probability, impact, and urgency to enhance preparedness.

Maximize opportunities amidst chaos, inspired by stories like Alan Turing's impactful work during WWII. Learn from Nassim Taleb's barbell strategy to minimize risks while capitalizing on potential gains.

Prepare effectively with second-order thinking and focus on readiness rather than prediction. Join us to equip yourself with essential tools for managing Black Swan events!

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - How to prepare for a Black Swan event 🕛

02:17 - Hindsight Bias 🔍

03:40 - Jordan Peterson and hindsight 🧠

05:01 - Herd mentality and survival 🐑

05:50 - Hindsight bias and crypto 💸

06:55 - Don’t focus on small predictions 🔮

07:53 - Heuristics and decision making 🧮

10:05 - Airplane crashes statistics ✈️

11:31 - OnlyFans is not an accurate representation of all women 📸

13:00 - Anchoring and negotiations ⚖️

14:20 - How does anchoring apply to Black Swan events 🛠️

16:42 - Why misinformation is so dangerous ❗

18:59 - Maximize optimistic outcomes from Black Swan events 🌟

24:45 - The barbell strategy 🏋️

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

👍 Support us here: https://www.youtube.com/@Minds.Unleashed

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Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2fW7Rk3URDmHV2dA315Db7

About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

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#blackswanevents #heuristics #cognitivebiases #riskmanagement #decisionmaking #anchoring #enigma #nassimtaleb #barbell #strategy #crisismanagement #charliemunger #warrenbuffet

We delve into Nassim Nicholas Taleb's profound concept of the "black swan" event, which refers to rare, unforeseen occurrences with significant impact, often rationalized in hindsight. Discover why most people are unprepared for these unpredictable events and how our limited understanding of probability, false sense of security, and the inherent fragility of complex systems leave us vulnerable. We explore how our tendency to create post-event narratives contributes to a misguided confidence in predicting the future.

Join us as we unpack the reasons behind our unpreparedness and explore strategies to enhance resilience against the unpredictable. Don’t miss this insightful discussion on navigating the uncertainties of the future!

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - Impact of black swan events 🦢

02:30 - Lack of preparedness for future black swan events 🚫

03:45 - Limited grasp of probability concepts 🎲

04:06 - Ripple effects of the pandemic 🌍

05:10 - Pitfalls in strategic planning 📉

07:12 - Illusion of safety 🛡️

08:50 - Reliance on algorithmic decision-making 🤖

12:30 - Vulnerability of systems 💔

14:50 - Complexity of global issues 🌐

16:40 - Pitfalls of storytelling bias 📖

18:00 - Risks associated with narratives ⚠️

19:20 - Dynamics of Complex Adaptive Systems 🔄

20:20 - Influence of language on memory 🗣️🧠

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

👍 Support us here: https://www.youtube.com/@Minds.Unleashed

📰 Sign up to our weekly newsletter for more content: https://mindsunleashed.substack.com/

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Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2fW7Rk3URDmHV2dA315Db7

About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

If you want to collaborate or work with us then email below:

#nassimtaleb #blackswan #collapses #unprepared #history #disaster #biases #criticalthinking #arguments #fragility

We explore significant black swan events that have reshaped history, including WW1, the Great Depression, WW2, 9/11, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and COVID-19. Discover the unforeseen triggers, profound impacts, and the lessons learned from these unpredictable events.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - Some examples of Black Swan events 🦢

02:40 - World War 1 🌍

04:40 - What led to World War 2 ⚔️

09:10 - Tough times and desperation 💔

12:17 - Anything can go wrong at any time ⚠️

13:21 - WW1 was the catalyst to nuclear warfare - order of consequences 💥

15:51 - Did anyone predict COVID? 🦠

17:08 - How COVID has affected society? 🌐

18:47 - Will we see the rise of a new AI language? 🤖

21:14 - Did we see the rise of AI from a Black Swan event? 🧠

23:30 - Imitation game, programming, and tech 💻

27:28 - Black Swan events and the growth revolution 🚀

28:28 - Black Swan events in everyday life 🌱

34:09 - Recent Black Swan events 📅

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

👍 Support us here: https://www.youtube.com/@Minds.Unleashed

📰 Sign up to our weekly newsletter for more content: https://mindsunleashed.substack.com/

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Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2fW7Rk3URDmHV2dA315Db7

About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

If you want to collaborate or work with us then email below:

#blackswan #history #collapse #ww1#greatdepression #ww2 #911 #gfc #nassimtaleb #nassim #unpredictable #economicimpact #globalhistory #airevolution #humanbehavior #technologicaladvancements #globaleconomy #warandpeace #historicalimpact

We dive into the world of black swan events, unpredictable occurrences that significantly impact society. Inspired by Nassim Nicholas Taleb's seminal book called the "The Black Swan", we explore the theory.

What is a black swan event? How does Taleb explore the concept of Black Swan? What biases come into effect with a black swan event? How does it change the way we think?

In this episode we will look to answer these questions. Learn about the "1001 day and Turkey" analogy, illustrating human overconfidence and the failure to foresee consequences. Join us as we unpack the butterfly effect and the profound implications of black swan events on our world.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - What is a Black Swan event?

02:12 - Nassim Taleb book

03:34 - Butterfly effect & Consequences

04:50 - How Taleb applied Black Swan theory to the world

06:16 - The Turkey problem

07:47 - No one expected COVID

08:29 - Multiply by zero

10:20- What is recency bias?

11:07 - Recency bias in relationships

11:29 - Self reflecting in relationships and performance conversations

12:45 - Humans try to predict too much based on short term past events

14:48 - Humans are great are coming up with narratives

17:35 - How Black Swan events change the way people think

18:51 - Rabbit hole of conspiracy theories

📖 Sources

- Books: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

- Multiply By Zero: https://sketchyideas.co/multiplying-by-zero/

- Recency Bias: https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/recency-bias/

👍 Support us here: https://www.youtube.com/@Minds.Unleashed

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🎵 Listen on the go:

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2fW7Rk3URDmHV2dA315Db7

About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

If you want to collaborate or work with us then email below:

#blackswan #nassimtaleb #collapses #psychologicalimpact #historicalevents #butterflyeffect #history #disasters #chaostheory

Dive deep into the fascinating realms of mind, body especially gut health, and lifestyle. Join us on a journey of discovery as we explore the intricate connections between our daily choices and their profound impacts on our decision making and overall well-being and also our reaction on Joseph Sua'ali'i hit on Reece Walsh.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - State of Origin, Joseph Sua'ali'i hit on Reece Walsh

04:10 - Second and third order consequences

06:54 - Advantages of Fasting

10:15 - Caffeine addiction and coffee culture

14:10 - Honey is good for you

15:40 - 5 blue zones in the world

20:45 - Wasif’s reaction to Sua'ali'i hit on Walsh

22:20 - Athlete’s gut health and decision making

24:00 - Why the energy you bring is so important

📖 Sources

- Joseph Suaalii Sent Off Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I-kbY7CcLfQ

- Intermittent fasting intervention in overweight and obese individuals leads to improvement in cognitive function: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10485895/#:~:text=Intermittent%20fasting%20may%20lead%20to,Cabo%202019%3B%20Patterson%202017).

- Coffee effects sleep study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3805807/#:~:text=The%20results%20of%20this%20study,detrimental%20effects%20on%20daytime%20function.

- Honey: its medicinal property and antibacterial activity: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3609166/

- 5 Blue Zones: https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/blue-zones

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About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

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#guthealth #athlete #nrl #joseph #decisionmaking #guthealth #andrewhuberman #biohackingtips #bluezones #energy

Are you driven by your heart or mind or gut? We explore decision-making and the roles your heart, mind, and gut play in the process. Join us as we explore insights from experts, personal experiences, and fascinating theories to help you make better decisions in your life. Learn about how MMA fighters align their gut, mind, and brain, why social media isn't a true reflection, and the significance of gut health.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - Gut, brain and heart

04:28 - Wasif’s view on our podcasting journey

07:27 - Shiv’s view on our podcasting journey

09:00 - Why you’re sabotaging your goals

11:28 - You’re always one decision away

12:09 - How MMA Fighters align their gut, mind and brain

13:41 - Why social media is not a true reflection

14:41 - Chaos theory

17:20 - Why your gut is so important

18:18 - This tribe has the best gut health

20:19 - Why eating junk food leads to a crash

📖 Sources

- Food, Your Gut and Impact On Your Mood: https://www.optimumintake.com.au/food-your-gut-and-impact-on-your-mood/#:~:text=This%20connection%20is%20more%20formerly,learning%20and%20how%20we%20feel.

- Biohacking Book: Biohacker's Handbook: Upgrade Yourself & Unleash Your Inner Potential by Jaakko Halmetoja, Olli Sovijärvi, and Teemu Arina

- David Choe Hadza Tribe Joe Rogan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRrbjiOs4no&pp=ygUVam9lIHJvZ2FuIGhhZHphIHRyaWJl

- Serotonin and Gut: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6469458/#:~:text=The%20gut%20provides%20approximately%2095,to%20the%20central%20nerve%20system.

- Bruce Lee: https://wayoftheinterceptingmind.medium.com/the-dragons-resilience-how-bruce-lee-overcame-his-back-injury-and-pain-30a8a7923275

- Why People in Blue Zones Live Longer Than Rest of The World: https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/blue-zones

- Hadza Tribe: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/modern-hunter-gatherers-have-thriving-gut-microbiome-compared-with-californians/

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About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

If you want to collaborate or work with us then email below:

#gut #heart #mind #mentalmodels #criticalthinking #decisionmaking #guthealth #bruceleewisdom #hadzatribe #biohacking #bluezones #biohackingtips

Have you ever wondered why you react the way you do in relationships? 🤔 Dive deep with us as we explore how attachment styles, rooted in early interactions with caregivers, profoundly influence our emotional bonds and relationships. Discover the neuroscience behind attachment styles, and uncover the role of brain structures and neurotransmitters in shaping our attachment patterns.

🕰️ Video Chapters

01:59 - Regions of brain that process emotions

03:44 - Why people forget their childhood memories

06:00 - Why kids learn faster than adults

07:29 - Connections with your primary caregiver as a child

08:55 - Drugs and dopamine

10:40 - Oxytocin, Cortisol and Dopamine

15:15 - Physiological and chemical responses to attachment styles

19:26 - Attachment styles can change

21:18 - Grass analogy for neuropathways

22:24 - Genetics and environment

26:37 - Decisions for yourself to be better

📖 Sources

- Attached Book: The New Science of Adult Attachment and How It Can Help You Find and Keep Love Book by Amir Levine and Rachel S. F. Heller

- Neural basis underlying traits of attachment anxiety and avoidance study by BMC: https://bmcneurosci.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12868-021-00617-4

- Brain plasticity and behaviour in the developing behaviour by NCBI: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3222570/

- Stress and cognitive function study by NIH: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/7620309/

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About us:

Minds Unleashed is a podcast platform where we learn and gain insights from many different types of individuals. Our mission is to empower, enlighten and expand minds.

If you want to collaborate or work with us then email below:

#secureattachment #insecureattachment #neuroscience #attached #brainscience #emotionalbonds