Duke finance professor Cam Harvey, the father of the yield curve as a prescient predictor of future recession, weighs in on what the curve is saying about recession in the coming year.  You will be surprised.  Mark and Cris were.

Full episode transcript here

For more on Cam Harvey, click here

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Bill Spriggs, Chief Economist of AFL-CIO, joins the podcast and shares his views that we need to be patient on inflation, it's not the result of an overly tight labor market but to temporary forces, and thus does not require aggressive Fed rate hikes. He also dissects President Biden's industrial policy.

Full episode transcript here

For more on Bill Spriggs, click here

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Mark, Cris, and Marisa answer questions from their recent U.S. Economic Outlook webinar where they discussed that the economy will struggle in 2023 with halting growth and higher unemployment. Recession is a serious threat, but the Moody's Analytics baseline forecast-the most-likely outlook-holds that the economy will avoid a downturn.

Full episode transcript

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Colleague, Bernard Yaros joins the podcast to help unpack the January CPI Report (which just happened to be released on Valentine's Day) and discuss their biggest inflation concerns, including Marisa's shockingly high gas bill. Bernard gives a rundown of the U.S. Treasury outlook with regards to the debt limit.

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Chris Herbert, Managing Director at Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, joins the podcast to discuss the state of the housing market, from the current housing recession to the outlook for homeownership.

Go Eagles!

Full Episode Transcript

For more on Chris Herbert, click here

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Colleague Dante DeAntonio joins the podcast for another round of Job's Friday. The group dissects the January report, which included a shockingly large increase in jobs and a 53-year low unemployment rate. Everyone's probability of recession in the next 12-18 months appear to be trending downward. Including Cris!

Full episode transcript

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Mark and Cris welcome Matthew Kahn, Provost Professor of Economics at the University of Southern California, and colleague Gaurav Ganguly, to discuss climate change and Matthew's optimistic view on adaptation to global temperature rise.

Full Episode Transcript

For more from Matthew Kahn follow him on twitter: @mattkahn1966

Recommended Reads:

Adapting to Climate Change

Climate Change Adaptation

Climatopolis

What will Climate Change Cost You

Climatopolis Revisited

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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The Q4 GDP Report has been released and Mark, Cris, and Marisa analyze the weirdness surrounding the data. Colleague, Gaurav Ganguly, joins the podcast to give a European perspective and Mark continues his domination in the statistics game.

Full episode transcript

To learn more about Moody's Analytics Summit 2023 & register, click here.

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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We welcome Jason Furman, Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy jointly at Harvard Kennedy School to discuss what could potentially be a catastrophic default of the national debt. We'll get into President Biden's economic policies, inflation, and recession over the next 12-18 months. Jason came to play with some humor, positivity, and a great stat.

Full episode transcript

To learn more about Moody's Analytics Summit 2023 & register, click here. 

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

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Mark, Cris, and Marisa are joined by David Wessel, senior fellow in economic studies at Brookings, to dissect the CPI report, and discuss Fed policy, prospects for recession, and the looming threat of a debt limit breach.

Full episode transcript.

Come join us at the Moody’s Analytics Summit, March 5th-7th at the Phoenician in Scottsdale Arizona.

To learn more & register, click here:  Moody's Analytics Summit 2023. 

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]. We would love to hear from you. 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.