Alan Ostergren of the Kirkwood Institute joins ITR Live for a turn in John Hendrickson’s spot. Alan and Chris talk about the political climate in Iowa and what we might be able to expect in the 2024 elections.

Iowa's political environment is increasingly becoming more favorable for Republicans, largely thanks to a cohesive strategy and rising voter alignment with conservative values. Polling data suggests a significant lead for the Republican party, pointing toward a dominating performance in upcoming elections. What contributes to this tilt?

Firstly, national issues such as high inflation, government spending, immigration, and a general dissatisfaction with the current administration are weighing heavily on voters. These concerns have historically pushed the electorate towards seeking change, which in this case, appears to be synonymous with Republican leadership.

Furthermore, the personal dynamics and characteristics of individual candidates, their ability to connect with their constituents, and their work ethic play crucial roles in securing votes. Candidates who are deeply embedded in their communities and can navigate the complexity of both local and national issues are poised for success.

The intersection of litigation and legislation on gender balance laws in Iowa serves as a fascinating case study. The timing of the legal challenge against gender quotas led to success in repealing Iowa’s strict requirement which elevated arbitrary quotas over selection based on merit. Kirkwood Institute was critical in helping the legislature secure a win on this issue.