An OpenAI report released in the last 24 hours is the best look we have as to whether 2025 AI can automate your job. I’ll go through 4 unexpected findings, from which model is best at what, to practical tips and massive caveats. Plus UFC robots, radiologist essay, don’t trust videos and the blockers to the singularity. 

Gray Swan: https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

GDPval: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf

[GDP Impact: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=331&eid=211

Task List: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/11-9141.00

Summer Tweet: https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1971252567981146347

Emad: https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1971254153067593739

Robots: https://x.com/cixliv/status/1967663286679478759

Unitree G1: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/1970039940022239491

Don’t Trust Video: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1970453369446871420

AGI Tweet: https://x.com/hyhieu226/status/1968378785709133915

Blockers to the Singularity: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812

Framework: https://gemini.google.com/share/f4b9c85a6ae9

METR Study (Dev Slowdown): https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

Karpathy Tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391

Radiology Essay: https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-algorithm-will-see-you-now/

Chapters:

00:00 - Introduction

00:55 - OpenAI Report Summary

02:40 - Tipping Point Speed-up

04:11 - Better than Industry Experts?

06:33 - Big Caveat

11:10 - Karpathy and the Radiologist Analogy

13:30 - Outro