Sinobabble

Peter Zeihan is wrong about China


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**APOLOGIES FOR THE BAD AUDIO, IT'S BEEN UPDATED NOW**

Peter Zeihan is a famous American geopolitical who recently appeared on episode 1921 of The Joe Rogan Experience (full episode here https://open.spotify.com/episode/406fOiiKMU0ot5AS1AIwve). He talks about a lot of topics, but I want to discuss what he says about China and specifically what he gets wrong. Zeihan is keen to predict China's collapse, and his supporters are clearly even keener for his predictions to come true. But I'm not so sure Zeihan can see the future, as his grasp on the present (and past) seems shaky at best.

Let's talk demographic collapse, technological development, and labour efficiency in China!

Chapters
00:00 Intro
03:30 The Accidental Superpower
09:55 Impending Demographic Doom
20:50 China's lack of technological advancement
28:10 Chinese labour is inefficient
30:39: Bits and bobs
34:23 Summary and Conclusion: I disagree

Sources
The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder Kindle Edition - Peter Zeihan

Challenging Myths About China’s One-Child Policy, by Whyte, Feng and Cai, 2015

 Ogawa, N., & Retherford, R. D. (1993). The Resumption of Fertility Decline in Japan: 1973-92.

The Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum, 2019

The Chinese Talent Behind Your Favorite Generative AI Product, Macro Polo, April 2023

China shows its dominance in surveillance technology, The Financial Times, December 2019 

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SinobabbleBy Edi Obiakpani

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