Podgecaste Brazil

Discussed:

* It’s Brazilian election boy summer!

* Lula’s looksmaxxing must be stopped.

* “Why are you running, bro?”

* Geraldo Alckmin returns for Lula’s Veep Season 4.

* Move over saudades. Sapatênis is the new untranslatable word.

* Disinformation is just bad politics for the right.

* A long LARP as Flávio Bolsonaro on the debate stage.

* “Please sir, I just need one more go around the merry-go-round.”

* Hunger is going, going, gone, back, and gone again.

* Lula-EU vs. Flávio-Trump. Which way Centrist Dad voter?

* Brazil’s Grumbleocracy gives little chance to a Bukele, or even a Milei.

* Were the 2016 protests a CIA color revolution?

* “To interfere, or not to interfere. That is the question.”

* Brazilian politicians as the cast of Arrested Development.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Note to self: never get distracted by Iran.

* A quick phone-in from an expert on the history and geography — which is an island, in case you didn’t know.

* Latin American despots were looksmaxxing before it was cool.

* “If they do anything to Cuba, I’m gonna be really, really mad.”

* Is Flávio Bolsonaro a low-energy candidate?

* What we’re seeing in the polls is a consolidation. Nothing more; nothing less.

* Lula is polling better than some of us would like to think.

* Deep State vs. Deep State Lite.

* How The Big Short has poisoned an entire generation of analysts.

* Some thoughts on VP Geraldo Alckmin.

* Will Mario win Lula the youth vote?

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

In attempt our to not talk about the events of the past 48 hours, we couldn’t help ourselves by starting a carefully thought out episode on the Brazilian election by discussing that which should not be named. Anyway, here’s our deeply uninformed take on the most complex geopolitical issue of our time. Link to video we mention in the episode.

This snippet was taken from the recording of our main episode, which will be dropping in the coming days. To hear that, and our other takes on politics, predictions, and Brazil, make sure you’re subscribed to podgecaste.substack.com.

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Jack’s latest article, Like Our Parents (Como Nossos Pais). Read it now.

* Will Gen Z shift towards Flávio in 2026?

* University or Multi-Level Marketing. The choice is yours.

* Thoughts on Lula’s tribute at Sapucaí.

* ‘Carnaval’s just like football, innit.”

* No one is safe from the North Korean news reader meme.

* Quaaaaaest - It’s Highly Addictive!

* “How weird! You’re weird!”

* A case for Tucker Carlson’s rhetorical style.

* Is Lula risking a Bidenification of his legacy?

* Find me the votes!

* Is anyone going to win over the independents in 2026?

* The Communist Party of Brazil vs. the Brazilian Communist Party. Hint: only one is communist.

* The Generals have been summoned to Lula’s Eastern Front.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* The Secret Agent, and other Oscar predictions.

* Norway, Sweden, Iceland, Greenland. It’s all a block of ice.

* A Ricky Gervais rant on actors and their political opinions.

* A lot of necessary legal throat clearing.

* The Brazilian Report’s Banco Master matrix.

* Is Brazil running the risk of constitutional crisis?

* A who’s who of the Brazilian deep state.

* So much that could have gone wrong, so far, hasn’t.

* Big Brazilian Government ain’t goin’ nowhere.

* Words from the wise on how Flávio Bolsonaro should run his campaign.

* What’s going on with the exchange rate?

* The storm clouds of informational warfare are brewing.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Delcy Rodríguez is not a terrific person.

* Nissan Navara Media.

* Stop naming companies after random Latin words.

* One too many mentions of Glenn Greenwald.

* Bolsonaro heads to Papudinha.

* Smart TVs vs. Cable. The great legal battle of our time.

* Globo loses the linear narrative.

* January 6 is the only reason you hear about Bolsonaro.

* Operation Car Wash made for a better Italian soap opera.

* Google why Brazil doesn’t have trains, bro.

* Is corruption of the electoral bingo card in 2026?

* Why Flávio Bolsonaro won’t full Bukele on crime.

* You must harness the power of AI.

* The Passcode to the Planalto.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Excuse the aircon sounds. We’re in a heatwave, because, climate change, or something.

* Boots on the ground is boots on the ground, but it’s not those boots on the ground, so it doesn’t count.

* Glenn Greenwald, Rory Stewart, and Jeremy Corbyn join the podcast.

* It’s legal; it’s not legal; but who cares? We got him.

* The rules-based international order of paper shufflers.

* Is Brazil next?

* María Corina Machado can’t catch a break.

* Biden and the 2022 Brazilian election.

* Trump’s implications for Brazil in 2026.

* Is non-alignment a sustainable foreign policy outlook?

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Our 2025 Polymarket Wrapped.

* That’s it. No more Trump mention markets.

* Shocked not surprised. Surprised not shocked.

* “It’s jail, but Norwegian serial killer jail.”

* Why Flávio Bolsonaro is a candidate worth taking seriously.

* Milicianos by Rafael Soares.

* Brazil’s politically coded criminal organizations.

* Let it go. The Nikki Haley right isn’t coming back.

* Lula’s latest polling ain’t looking pretty.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* Trump and Lula—the meeting we’ve been waiting for.

* “You were in jail? They tried to put me in jail.”

* Nothing to do with Venezuela.

* Little Marco takes the spotlight.

* Peronismo perishes to the sweet tunes of La Renga.

* Lula Makes Boring Great Again (muh-buh-guh).

* The 4D chess of the election no one wants to win.

* 2018 to 2026: the great Brazilian vibe shift.

* Is the Big Tent slowly blowing away?

* A political theory based on an idiom about a horse.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

Discussed:

* It’s been a long hiatus, and a lot’s happened.

* “Maduro doesn’t want to f**k around with the United States.”

* The Fifth Column: #524 - BTW, Venezuela is a Dictatorial Commie Narcostate (w/ Thor Halvorssen)

* María Corina Machado is a win for centrist dads.

* The chances for a sustainable post-Maduro government.

* We say this a lot, but dictatorships kinda suck.

* Michelle Bolsonaro: the Brazilian right’s new (old) hope.

* Dear Zema, no one cares about deficits. Dear Tarcísio, no one cares about tunnels.

* Everyone should watch Killer Ratings.

* A look inside the minds of Yuval Noah Harari, Rory Stewart, and Maria Ressa. It ain’t pretty.

* Sorry, MAGA, this is a rules-based podcast (whatever that means).

* John Oliver’s never met a bad take he didn’t like.

* Artificial Intelligence has given us many horrors. But only human intelligence could give us Alastair Campbell vs Curtis Yarvin.

* And much more!

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com