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Matt hosts (!) as the crew returns from a short break with real profits, a few scars, and some spicy new markets: longest U.S. shutdown (win), Canada tariff odds (still climbing), Venezuela regime change vs. kinetic strikes, Alberta separatist referendum probability, and a detour to whether Trump or Rubio will force UAP/“alien” disclosures. Betting philosophy sprinkled throughout: bank early gains, size small on longshots, and exploit thin markets. 

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 The Poly Marks crew debates whether the U.S. shutdown becomes the longest ever—and when to take profits before one Schumer headline nukes the price. Then: Trump–Putin meeting odds, Zelensky talks, and Venezuela—kinetic strike or cold deal? A rapid-fire macro round pits ETH vs. gold (debasement, adoption, ATHs), plus Canada’s election/budget gambit and U.S. race tidbits. Strategy theme: buy value, sell the spike, and mind the rules. Markets move; don’t get Marked. 

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The Poly Marks boys welcome their first guest — their dad — for a full family breakdown of Polymarket. They dive into how the platform works, why it beats traditional betting, and what “no house edge” really means. Then it’s into the week’s action: Nobel leaks, Trump’s peace-prize odds, Venezuela tension, Hamas ceasefire bets, and a Canada corner on recession risks and rate cuts. Legal disclaimers, family riffs, and a few humble brag/soul-crush trade recaps included. 

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The bros regroup after a lost recording and dive back into PolyMarket. Andrew takes a long-shot: Ukraine recaptures any Crimean sliver by June 2026 (8%). They spar over Russia’s escalation room, then pivot to Virginia’s AG race drama (Andrew bets “No” on Jay Jones). Big portfolio check: Trump lowering Canadian tariffs—partial profit taken; rules mean any tariff tweak resolves “Yes.” Venezuela “pizza tracker” chatter returns; Andrew still likes a minimal U.S. strike. Gaza cease-fire odds rise; Netanyahu’s coalition math looms. New bet: U.S. shutdown becomes the longest (35+ days). 

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In Episode 7 of the Poly Marks Podcast, the brothers cover updates on recent bets, from fertility rate wins to losses on France-Palestine and Israel-Iran. They debate whether NATO involvement in Ukraine is edging closer, spurred by Russian provocations and Trump’s shifting stance. Andrew explains his wager on Ukrainian drone strikes in Moscow, while Matt unpacks “Nothing Ever Happens” military markets. The group dives deep into Venezuela, Maduro’s regime, and regime-change risks before closing on parlay bets in U.S. elections. 

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 Joel, Matt, and Andrew review recent PolyMarket bets, starting with the Fed rate cut outcome where Joel profited and Andrew lost. They discuss Eric Adams’ mayoral race odds, and the complexities of ceasefire bets in Gaza and Ukraine. The brothers analyze Israel’s political fragility, drone warfare shaping Ukraine-Russia, and the likelihood of Israeli strikes on Iran. 

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Joel, Matt, and Andrew discuss recent economic uncertainty, including recession risks, job market revisions, and potential Fed rate cuts. They explore how tariffs and global instability affect investment confidence, with Canada facing deeper struggles than the U.S. The conversation moves to geopolitical tensions in places like Venezuela and Ukraine, touching on bets tied to military involvement and ceasefires. They also cover political developments, including the New York mayoral race and debates over Palestine recognition. The episode closes with reflections on betting strategies and portfolio performance. 

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The Poly Marks Podcast dives into Trump’s Venezuela moves—distraction or escalation? Will this be the end of Maduro’s regime with US warships deployed amid drug cartel claims. Is it a ploy to shift focus from domestic issues? Andrew, Matt, and Joel weigh in on the odds on US-Venezuela conflict by Oct 31, anti-cartel action by Sept 30, and Maduro out by 2025, probing if it’s saber-rattling or regime change. We also look at Fed Gov. Cook’s mortgage fraud saga, and whether she'll last our the year. 

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The Poly Marks at are back (belatedly,) talking high-stakes global politics with low-stakes bets. Joel’s in the host’s chair, corralling his brothers Andrew and Matt through a whirlwind of rate cuts, tariffs, and trench warfare speculation. It’s episode three, and the theme is simple: who will fold first, Powell or Zelensky, now that Carney's already thrown his hand in the muck. 

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Andrew, Matt, and Joel are back, going all-in on the two major world conflicts: Ukraine and Gaza. Andrew bets hard “No” on a Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 and laughs off the idea half a million Gazans are going to pack up for South Sudan, while arguing Israel will be forced into a pullback that could topple Netanyahu. To end on lighter note, Matt throws cash at Elon’s XAI at 5-to-1 odds—because if anyone can out-crazy Google, it’s Musk.