Brown Advisory CIO Perspectives

Private markets, slowing global growth and are bonds back?


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Investors have plenty of challenges to focus on as a volatile year enters its final months. The global growth picture seems to be slowing, corporate earnings may face headwinds and geopolitical tensions seem to be rising. And while we believe private markets continue to be hotbeds of innovation and long-term outperformance, they too face some challenges.

In this episode of CIO Perspectives, Keith Stone, Erika Pagel and Sid Ahl discuss some of the most notable market developments in recent weeks and how they are positioning portfolios accordingly. Topics discussed in this episode include:

·         The outlook for global markets as recent data suggests inflation may persist, policymakers shape aggressive responses and global growth slows.

·         If bond allocations look compelling again given the rate backdrop and whether the post-Global Financial Crisis era of There Is No Alternative (TINA) to equities, where low yields on bonds made equities “the only game in town” may be ending.

·         Recent developments and the outlook for key segments of the private markets, including venture capital (VC), buyout credit and real estate. 

·         The steps private companies are taking to respond to the current economic backdrop, how different VC subsegments are performing and where we may be in a potential correction in private markets, which tend to lag pubic markets by several months.

·         Opportunities for innovative venture-backed companies taking a return-first approach to impact-oriented themes such as lower carbon business and ESG. 

 

As always, we welcome your thoughts, feedback and questions.

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The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the speaker(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of Brown Advisory. These views are not intended to be and should not be relied upon as investment advice and are not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. The information provided in this podcast is not intended to be and should not be considered a recommendation or suggestion to engage in or refrain from a particular course of action or to make or hold a particular investment or pursue a particular investment strategy, including whether or not to buy, sell, or hold any of the securities mentioned. It should not be assumed that investments in such securities have been or will be profitable. There is a risk that some or all of the capital invested in any such securities may be lost. This piece is intended solely for our clients and prospective clients, is for informational purposes only, and is not individually tailored for or directed to any particular client or prospective client.

Alternative Investments may be available for Qualified Purchasers and/or Accredited Investors only.

The information contained herein has been prepared from sources believed reliable but is not guaranteed by us as to its timeliness or accuracy, and is not a complete summary or statement of all available data. The information provided has not been independently reviewed or audited by outside certified public accountants. The information provided is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Any business or tax discussion contained in this communication is not intended as a thorough, in-depth analysis of specific issues. Brown Advisory does not render legal or tax advice. Prior to any investment, investors should take the opportunity to ask questions of and receive answers and additional information concerning the terms and conditions of the offering of interests and other relevant matters. Investors should inform themselves as to the legal requirements applicable to them in respect of the acquisition, holding and disposition of the interests and as to the income and other tax consequences to them of such acquisition, holding and disposition. Prior to making an investment decision, a prospective investor should consult with its own legal, tax, accounting and other advisors to determine the potential benefits, burdens, and other consequences of such investment. All investments involve risk. The value of the investment and the income from it will vary. There is no guarantee that the initial investment will be returned.

All investments involve risk. The value of the investment and the income from it will vary. There is no guarantee that the initial investment will be returned.

Private equity investments will be characterized by a high degree of risk, volatility and illiquidity due, among other things, to the nature of the investments. A prospective investor should thoroughly review the confidential information contained herein and in the Offering Materials pertaining to any investment, and carefully consider whether such an investment is suitable to the investor's financial situation and goals. Investors should have the financial ability and willingness to accept the risks and lack of liquidity that are characteristic of the investments described in the Memorandum pertaining to an investment opportunity. No assurance can be given that any such opportunity's investment objectives will be achieved or that investors will receive a return of any of their capital. Investors should pay particular attention to the risk factors described in the Memorandum pertaining to an investment opportunity.

Sustainable investment considerations are one of multiple informational inputs into the investment process, alongside data on traditional financial factors, and so are not the sole driver of decision making. Sustainable investment analysis may not be performed for every holding in every strategy. Sustainable investment considerations that are material will vary by investment style, sector/industry, market trends and client objectives. Certain strategies seek to identify companies that we believe may be desirable based on our analysis of sustainable investment related risks and opportunities, but investors may differ in their views. As a result, these strategies may invest in companies that do not reflect the beliefs and values of any particular investor. Certain strategies may also invest in companies that would otherwise be excluded from other funds that focus on sustainable investment risks. Security selection will be impacted by the combined focus on sustainable investment research assessments and fundamental research assessments including the return forecasts. These strategies incorporate data from third parties in its research process but do not make investment decisions based on third-party data alone. 

Certain Strategies intend to invest in companies with measurable ESG outcomes, as determined by Brown Advisory, and seek to screen out particular companies and industries. Brown Advisory relies on third parties to provide data and screening tools. There is no assurance that this information will be accurate or complete or that it will properly exclude all applicable securities. Investments selected using these tools may perform differently than as forecasted due to the factors incorporated into the screening process, changes from historical trends, and issues in the construction and implementation of the screens (including, but not limited to, software issues and other technological issues). There is no guarantee that Brown Advisory’s use of these tools will result in effective investment decisions.

The S&P 500® Index represents the large-cap segment of the U.S. equity markets and consists of approximately 500 leading c...

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Brown Advisory CIO PerspectivesBy Brown Advisory

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