Ukraine: The Latest Arms Package - Panacea or Plaster?

Does the latest package allow Ukraine to win the war decisively?  No! We are still fighting the war based on Russian rules .  The quantity and category of arms included are insufficient to achieve such a breakthrough, though they bolster Ukraine's ability to fight a war of attrition.  The spill-over effects of this package may, however, mark a significant shift towards a more aggressive Allied response to Russia.

"New World Order = 2 + N".

 How the diffusion of power by "N" leads to disruption and disorder in the  fields of war, peace and economics

Russia & Ukraine: Why Zelensky's Trip to Washington Failed

Geopolitics redefined: Price Caps & Nation States

Putin's next escalation will be economic.   it will be oil. 

We take democracy and the rule of law for given.   But the survival of democracy is far from given.  That much is evident in the state of war with Russia; the emergence Global World Disorder with competing power blocks locked in Cold War make; the emergence of populism and polarisation at home.    The Mid Term Elections in the US will tell us a lot about the future trajectory of a global rule based order or lack of it. 

These are the 7 major challenges that Xi must overcome in his next term of office

Why does thinking like quantum theory make more accurate forecasts than history?  

 Hitchhikers Guide to Quantum Economics and Quantum Computing.

The sound track of  Hitchhikers Guide to Quantum Economics and Quantum Computing.
Soundtrack only.  Full presentation on You Tube:   https://youtu.be/XRH0WRYLnks.

How Quantum Physics links to Quantum Economics & how Quantum Computing empowers it.

Omicron Covid (B.1.1.529) variant - the economy and markets.
The Pandemic has become a Permademic.  Even without Omicron, global cases have doubled since September.  For the moment Europe is the epicentre .  But it moves in waves globally.  It will not go.  The vulnerability of populations to Covid is 30-35% in developed economies; 35-40% in China and 55% to 95% in Developing and Poor Economies. Vulnerability is a function of unvaccinated people who would want to be; anti-vaxxers; ageing vaccinations & poor quality vaccinations. That is plenty for the virus to work with.

The economic consequences are tolling supply chain disruptions which increase inflation and reduce growth simultaneously - unlike most economic crises (which are normally deflationary shocks).

In the longer term the result is Globalisation as manufacturing and associated services are on-shored or near-shored.  This increases security of supply but increases costs and inflation.