A common argument says immigration could help reverse America’s secular drift because immigrants are assumed to be more religious than native-born Americans. Ryan Burge’s analysis challenges that assumption. Using Cooperative Election Study data, he finds that immigrants are only slightly more religious than Americans whose families have been in the United States for generations—and not nearly enough to shift the country’s overall religious trajectory. The larger story is assimilation: immigrants, like the broader American population, are becoming more secular over time.
Immigrants are not dramatically more religious than other Americans. The article shows that 35% of immigrants are religiously unaffiliated, compared with 38% of those whose families have been in the U.S. for three or more generations.The religious profile of immigrants is changing. Since 2010, the share of immigrants identifying as atheist, agnostic, or “nothing in particular” has risen by about ten percentage points.Church attendance differences are modest. In 2024, weekly attendance was essentially the same for immigrants and third-generation-plus Americans: 25% versus 26%.Immigration will not reverse secularization by itself. Burge’s conclusion is that immigrants are assimilating into America’s secularizing culture, meaning churches should not assume demographic change will solve the problem of religious decline.Resources:
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