In a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, 47% of registered voters surveyed said they are more likely to vote for the Republican in their district, as opposed to 44% who said they preferred a Democrat. Because congressional districts across the U.S. are drawn in a way that broadly favors Republicans, Democrats need a national lead of at least a few points to break even. The last time Republicans were up in our poll, in 2014, the party won control of both the House and the Senate.

Despite Democrats' projected losses, though, it could still be a good year for progressives — who have the upper hand in a number of party primary races.

This episode: congressional correspondent Susan Davis, political correspondent Juana Summers, and senior political editor and correspondent Domenico Montanaro.

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