Todays poker strategy podcast will focus on playing two pair Vs playing sets and the differences in specific spots.

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The following analysis assumes that you know the player you are in the hand with and they always have the flush. If it’s a player that can bluff a 3 suit turn then there is much more involved. But all too often at low stakes it’s just rarely a player bluffing when the turn brings the flush.

When you have a set vs two pair on the turn which brings in a flush, and it’s very clear your opponent has a flush, how good of shape are you in?
22% with a set
9% two pair

If it’s an all in and the pot isn’t laying you 4 to 1 with your set or 9 to 1 with your two pair then it’s a fold.

And this is the biggest mistake I see at low stakes. Players calling with the two pair because “I can still get a full house” while being oblivious to the pot odds.

For this reason it’s safe to say to just always fold two pair hands on the turn vs what is an obvious flush.

We can continue with sets though.

If you have money behind then you can call with your set getting 3 to 1 as long as you feel that you can get one more bet of that size or more on the river when you boat up with set.

With a two pair hand it’s much more dire. Getting 3 to 1 as an example your need to have 5 more bets of that size you are calling left behind and know your opponent will pay when you hit.

For simplicity sake, the two pairs are just always folds. So much so you can just assume it. For sets you can spend the time doing the math and evaluating.

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