Sacre Bleu: The French Presidential Election Podcast.

Olly takes a look at three stories today:

Bardella is accused of faking documents to get off trial, Attal and Barnier lay out their terms of engagement and the supposed left wing of Macronism cries over how right wing the party they're in is.

Finally Olly takes a quick look at Bompard's most recent blog about the LFI strategy, which they are calling the fourth bloc.

Show notes:

the fourth bloc https://manuelbompard.fr/2024/09/quatrieme-bloc-la-strategie-gagnante-de-la-france-insoumise/

Olly's article on LFI strategy

https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/first-priorities

Interview with David Broder

https://open.spotify.com/episode/1H4M92uqXllWbB6AjQMHPd?si=7c3421d6c9584841

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Apologies for the degraded audio - the regular audio processing made my voice sound too clipped, so I've opted for the unprocessed audio. I talked too quietly into the microphone today, sore throat.

The finally, actually outgoing Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire was grilled today by the Finance Commission, who are taking the government to task for hiding just how big the deficit is.

Le Marie and the Ministry are blaming the deficit on reduced revenues - cuts are on the horizon.

Meanwhile, the man who’ll be making the cuts, France’s new Prime Minister Michel Barnier, is meeting with deputies from the presidential camp…and contemplating bringing back the Sarkozy-era Ministry of Immigration.

Show Notes

More Context From Flap24

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Michel Barnier's forming a new government as the National Assembly finally gets going again this coming Monday.

Barnier's looking for ministers from the right, the left, and the current center. There are plenty of familiar faces forecast to come back—it doesn't seem like too much will change with this government.

Meanwhile, France is fighting off a budget challenge from the European Union. If they can't get an extension, they say they'll have to make at least 110 billion euros in cuts by 2027.

Show Notes

- ⁠Les premiers pas scrutés de Barnier⁠ - Politico Newsletter (fr)

- ⁠Jean-Philippe Tanguy on Montebourg⁠ - BFMTV (fr)

- ⁠Interview de Michel Barnier : ce qu’il faut retenir sur la réforme des retraites, ses priorités ou encore la proportionnelle⁠ - Le Monde (fr)

- ⁠Michel Barnier : « J'ai le calme des vieilles troupes »⁠ - La Tribune Dimanche (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠Idols? Just about still alive. Enemies? In power.⁠ - Yesterday’s Episode (en)

- ⁠Macron Hid The Deficit⁠ (en)

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Olly and Marlon talk about the nomination of the new prime minister, the protests, left strategy and why some pundits are wrong. Then they talk a little bit about Alexis Kohler and the eurozone.

Show notes.

https://jacobin.com/2023/02/france-socialist-party-melenchon-nupes-hamon-left-change

“Many of our fellow citizens think . . . [that a Socialist

for show notes

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/michel-barnier-premier-ministre-a-force-de-vouloir-une-gauche-pure-on-a-eu-une-droite-plus-dure-regrette-nicolas-mayer-rossignol-20240907

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/michel-barnier-va-effectuer-son-premier-deplacement-en-tant-que-premier-ministre-a-l-hopital-necker-a-paris-20240907

https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/en-direct-michel-barnier-premier-ministre-lfi-organise-sa-riposte-dans-la-rue-ce-samedi-7-septembre-20240907

Endeweld interview https://jacobin.com/2024/07/macron-rassemblement-national-snap-elections

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Olly takes a solo look at Hidalgo's complaints about blocking Cazeneuve and Sebastien Chenu's revelations that there were negotiations between Macron's camp and Le Pen to arrive at Barnier.

Olly also wants to say that there is one non racist French cartoonist, whose work is our logo so shout out to Allan Barte.

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A document from the Ministry of Economy and Finance reveals that France's deficit is exploding, and might require 60 billion euros worth of cuts to get it down to where the EU wants it. Macron hid the document for over a month and a half.

And Marine Le Pen reveals what she wants from the next government: a golden egg which might ensure the National Rally steamrolls the next legislative elections, which her party also hopes come as soon as possible.

Plus, another name in the rotation as a potential PM: Michel Barnier.

Show Notes

- Dans un Barnier de crabes - Politico Newsletter (fr)

- Marine Le Pen pose ses conditions : « Que le futur Premier ministre ne nous traite pas comme des pestiférés » (fr)

- Budget 2025 : l’exécutif à la manœuvre pour continuer comme avant (fr)

- After Raising the Pension Age, Emmanuel Macron Is Planning “Unprecedented Austerity” (en)

- BeReal Power User (feat. FLAP24) - Corner Späti podcast (en)

More Context From Flap24

- Bruno's Bercy Boys Build A Budget (en)

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The right isn't thrilled about Xavier Bertrand, but they say they won't oppose him outright if Macron appoints him Prime Minister. A risky gamble.

And French Communist Party leader Fabien Roussel affirms that the party won't support LFI's impeachment proceedings.

Show Notes

- ⁠Fabien Roussel on BFMTV⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Matignon : comment la droite, sous pression, a assoupli sa position⁠ (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠Mélenchon Wants to Impeach Macron⁠ (en)

- ⁠The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis⁠ (en)

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Macron's first prime minister ever clarifies his plans in an interview with Le Point. He doesn't say it ambiguously - he's doing it.

And the Socialist Party released a statement clarifying their intentions with Macron too - no alliance.

Show Notes

- ⁠Édouard Philippe : « Je serai candidat à la prochaine élection présidentielle »⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Présidentielle 2027 : l’ancien premier ministre Édouard Philippe annonce officiellement sa candidature⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Socialist Party statement⁠ (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠The PS Wants To Govern With Macron⁠ (en)

- ⁠A Socialist Party and a Constitutional Coup⁠ (en)

- ⁠Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government⁠ (en)

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Two months out with no new prime minister, Macron might be drawing closer to the moment...but it looks like he still wants to name his own ministers to key positions. Macron's goal is clear: no change in policy whoever's leading the next government.

And apparently Marine Le Pen played a card to get her way with Macron. Is Xavier Bertrand out?

Show Notes

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Candidatures à Matignon : Macron maintient le flou (fr)

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Le président refuse une cohabitation (fr)

- Matignon : Bernard Cazeneuve, l’homme qui fracasse le PS (fr)

- The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis (en)

- The Bernard Cazeneuve Hypothesis (en)

- The PS Wants To Govern With Macron (en)

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Emmanuel Macron is taking another look at Bernard Cazeneuve - there's reporting that the French president met with the former Socialist Party Prime Minister recently to consider him again for the top position in the government after the New Popular Front's candidate Lucie Castets was definitively ruled out.

A look at Cazeneuve's political career and his policy priorities, from fiscal hawking to violent repression in the Interior Ministry.

Show Notes

- ⁠Retour à la case Bernard⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Les socialistes face à leurs vieux démons⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Bernard Cazeneuve, wikipedia⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Taxe tobin: de "l'ennemi de la finance" au refus de taxer la spéculation, itinéraire d'un reniement⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Ludivine Bantigny Twitter thread on Cazeneuve's politics⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Flap24: Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government ⁠(en)

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