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Scott Bauer (@prospertradingacademy) is paying closer attention to the bond market movement as investors prepare for the latest PCE print. Scott says the overall macro hasn't changed as investors await clarity and certainty in tariff policy, but now with hard data coming in the inflation picture will become clearer.
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Supermicro (SMCI) shares have plunged lower after preliminary 3Q figures came in much lower than expected. Starbucks (SBUX) is down after earnings as the company looks for a turnaround under a new CEO. And, Nike (NKE) faces a downgrade from Wells Fargo. Tom White has the latest movers ahead of Wednesday's open.
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Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders says the U.S. has begun to see impacts of the trade war with shipping ports taking in less Chinese cargo. However, she also urges investors to watch upcoming economic prints like jobless claims that may raise warning flags for recession. Liz Ann talks about "factor-based" investing and how it serves as a defensive strategy if economic weakness persists.
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Trade deal hopes and auto tariff cutbacks helped stocks close higher on the session. Those developments came after General Motors (GM) initially traded lower following its earnings. Amazon (AMZN) caught tariff headlines when it denied plans to display import charges on its website, triggering a response from the White House. Spotify (SPOT) bounced off session lows after a bottom line miss and short-term guidance concerns. Caroline Woods takes investors through the day's biggest stories.
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Markets have been surprisingly resilient this year. Mo Haghbin says "buy the dip" investors have been re-entering the market, but he's taking a more cautious approach with a slight overweight to fixed income. Mo says inflation and inflation expectations, including the impact of tariffs, are key concerns, and he's not convinced the Fed will cut rates as many as four times this year. He also expects earnings guidance to be crucial, particularly around the tariff impact.
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Jeremy Barnett says ad budgets are consolidating, but brands want "effective optimization" and to "waste less." He believes A.I. marketing solutions can help brands "hack their economics" by making better, unbiased decisions about their content campaigns. With clients like Skechers (SKX), Hasbro (HAS), and Sweetgreen (SG), RAD Intel is helping brands create content that resonates with consumers and drives sales.
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Kevin Green says bulls won today's session but points to a critical resistance level coming up in the SPX futures four-year weekly chart. Additionally, the 10Y-3MO treasury spread signals a potential pullback and reemergence of "bad news is good news" mentality on rate cut expectations.
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“We hold all the cards” with China, argues Sean O’Hara, and thinks resolution will come soon. He’s also watching progress on the tax bill. With oil lower, he doesn’t think inflation will be sticky, and with a slowdown in economic growth he thinks that makes the Fed free to lower rates. He says the market has found a bottom “for now,” but could see pain in the second half.
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"I don't think anything has changed" in the overall A.I. story, says Dave Nicholson, but he believes it can vastly change depending on which company you look into. He expects tariffs to shape A.I. cost structures, increase what Dave calls "co-opetition," and start a potential push away from Nvidia (NVDA). Meta Platforms (META) building its own ecosystem through LlamaCon is a model he expects other companies to follow.
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Ben Emons thinks we have hit the market bottom, comparing the market’s rebound against the 2020 Covid V-shaped movement. “Will we go back to the peak? We’ll see.” He also talks about inflation risks and what the Fed may do next – while he argues that tariffs are a major negative, he thinks that more members of the Fed may be focused on inflation metrics.
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